Thursday, the 2014 Baseball Winter Meetings ended in high fashion and teams throwing in deals last minute. Every year, the meetings witness overspending and clubs acquiring a lot of pieces. When attending the Winter Meetings, it almost feels out of obligation you must make a move. That wasn't the case for the Baltimore Orioles, Kansas City Royals, and the defending World Champion, San Francisco Giants. Brian Sabean engaged in conversations, went all-in for Jon Lester, but Sabean could have stayed back home in the Bay Area. Needless to say, Sabean looked like a failure. I wouldn't consider this a failure, but I would consider this all talk, and no action. Giants have three gaping holes that need patching for 2015 and beyond if they want to win more World Series. Pablo Sandoval left the Bay Area for Boston, Michael Morse looks to be on his way to another team, and Ryan Vogelsong and Jake Peavy find themselves still looking to be signed. With a starting pitcher, third base, and left field open, did Brian Sabean see anything he liked? Generally, at the meetings, it is to gather and discuss who's available and create trade scenarios. While some are ramblings at the time, there's a good chance at the meeting or weeks after, teams might put it into gear and make the deal possible. While we are not in the room, or on the floor for discussions, do we know if Brian Sabean got himself some creative ideas to make this club even better for the 2015 season? When a team is quiet, it sends mixed messages to a ball club and its fans. There's plenty of offseason left and players who are available currently, and who could be made available here in the coming weeks. The definition of "patience" should be changed in Webster's Dictionary to Brian Sabean, and patience is something Giants fans need to follow. Whether it is the offseason or near the trade deadline, Giants fans tend to get over ambitious and feel a move for a player outside the organization is the route to go. Brian is excellent when to pull the trigger on a move or when to look in-house. In 2010, Buster Posey was close to being ready in the minors and the Giants gambled on bringing him up. Buster turned out to be NL Rookie of the Year and a vital part to San Francisco's first World Series title. In 2014, Giants were stuck on how they wanted to approach their season, hoping to make the playoffs after a series of injuries and misfortunes. Sabean neglected the market and called up Joe Panik from Triple A - Fresno, who looked like a seasoned vet like Buster Posey in 2010. While it is easy to get excited for the big move, Sabean is precise on who he targets and what prospects fit best to be on the major league ball club. Although, he is not afraid to make big deals and sacrifice prospects such as the acquisition of Carlos Beltran in 2011, Hunter Pence and Marco Scutaro in 2012. It is a dream to land the big move and create the buzz headlines across the baseball media, but the ball is Brian Sabean's glove and he will decide when he wants to go for it or if he wants to pull back. With the 2015 roster getting up there in age, and with more free agents-to-be next offseason, Sabean may be brewing something in the front office to replenish the roster. While prospects might be crucial at this point, and an improving rival in the Dodgers, the Giants might have to pursue a move with players they are not willing to give up. This leaves the question to be answered: Who should the Giants pursue within the remaining free agent pool, and trade market? Here are three moves to consider:
Trade for Jay Bruce - This move needs to be pressed hard. I have been high on Jay Bruce as an option all offseason for the Giants after an atrocious and under-performed 2014 season for the Cincinnati Reds. With an inflated payroll, injuries to key players, and a new coach, the Reds need a fresh start, and during the Winter Meetings it may of indicated this is the start of a rebuilding period for the Reds (trading away Mat Latos and Alfredo Simon). Jay Bruce had one of the worst seasons of his career in 2014, after dealing with a knee injury and battling inconsistencies at the plate. Bruce is a big-time player for the Reds (not named Joey Votto), who's value is down a little after the poor season. While Walt Jocketty has claimed the Reds are not interested in a rebuild, it clearly looks like it is time for a rebuild. Even though you may not want to have a rebuild, the Reds are in desperation to get back to the team they were for the last five years. The only way to get better is trade off players to bring down the payroll and bring in young players. While Jay Bruce is a right fielder, the San Francisco Giants could use another big stick and excellent defender in the outfield and not have to use a platoon to receive that (eliminates Morse and Ishikawa). It worked in 2014, but I don't feel it is smart for the long term plan. Giants have not had an every day big bat outfielder since Barry Bonds. Pence has mastered the right field position and knowing how to play with the right field wall. Jay Bruce could learn, but his athleticism could shift him to left field. Bruce is the ideal Giant that Bruce Bochy needs. Bruce can pop out 22-30 home runs a season, a gap hitter, gets walked, and is a smart base runner. Pablo Sandoval's bat needs replaced in the middle of the lineup and Jay Bruce would be a great fit for the current mold of the team. I am not sure what the Reds would want in return in regards to prospects and major leaguers, but offering Kyle Crick, Juan Perez, and potentially Matt Duffy (odd man out due to Panik) could be enough. Duffy could replace the disappointing Zack Cozart, who could essentially be included in the deal for depth off the bench for the Giants.
Sign Asdrubal Cabrera - After a breakout season in 2011 with the Cleveland Indians, Asdrubal Cabrera has found himself in a small decline. Indians needed offense and Cabrera was all they had at one point. As Michael Brantley, Jason Kipnis, and Carlos Santana came along, Cabrera was no longer in the run supporter role. Cabrera has batted all over the lineup throughout his career and has found himself batting in the bottom half now. Cabrera is still in his prime and his decline should not be concerning. Cabrera;s mitt and defense is Gold Glove material every year, and still has some pop in his bat (14 home runs in '14). While second base and shortstop are his primary positions, the Giants could take a look at him at the hot corner. His defense would certainly be an upgrade from Pablo Sandoval, but he needs to get his hitting going again. The vast AT&T Park may help out his numbers, as he is a great gap hitter and his extra base totals would inflate. Cabrera most likely would want to play second base since it is a natural position for him, but the Giants future, Joe Panik, is currently in the way and the organization doesn't plan on shifting him to third base anytime soon. If Cabrera wants to be a Giant, he will have to make the switch. In the end, I could see a switch to third base. Cabrera would be able to bat sixth or seventh in the lineup or even second on occasion. The third base market is dry now, and to get a Evan Longoria would require a lot of players in return. Cabrera can make the switch, and it would be a safe and good move. 3 Yrs./$30 Million
Trade for Trevor Plouffe - Trevor Plouffe had a breakout year despite the low batting average in 2014. Plouffe collected 40 doubles, 14 home runs, and 80 RBI's. With Miguel Sano up on deck and looking to start this season in Minnesota, Plouffe may be on his way out. The only weaknesses Plouffe brings is he streaky as a hitter and provides average defense. While Pablo Sandoval wasn't always the greatest defender, he still found ways to make big defensive stops and was one of the best defending third baseman in the National League in 2014. Plouffe did drive in more runs than Sandoval in 2014 and had a better OPS. Essentially, could say Plouffe had a better season than Sandoval, subtracting the playoffs from this analysis. The Twins would be giving up Plouffe for possibly one or two prospects. Giants could offer Adam Duvall and Ricky Oropesa and not lose any big leaguers. Plouffe would be a nice addition to that offense and allows the Giants to save money towards pitching.
Friday, December 12, 2014
Wednesday, December 10, 2014
Giants Miss Out On Lester: What Is Next?
San Francisco Giants, the defending World Champs, went into the offseason with a mission to fill the position vacancies and then some. Pablo Sandoval was priority number one, and failed to come back to San Francisco. The Giants then turned their focus to what they do best: their pitching. On the market, there is Max Scherzer, Jon Lester, James Shields, Francisco Liriano, and others. Giants did the unthinkable and went all out on Jon Lester. Giants hung in the discussion until the decision was made, when Lester announced a 6 year/$155 million dollar deal with the Chicago Cubs. Giants did what they could and were going to be the only team who offered 7 years and the highest guaranteed money. Giants were not bluffing in their attempt to sign Lester, who they had a very good chance of signing. Ultimately, Lester appreciated what the Giants had to offer and was impressed, but Lester's heart didn't have room to include the Giants. Lester still has a spot for Theo Epstein, who left Boston years ago to join the front office for the Chicago Cubs. Jon decided to reconnect and go with comfort over choosing the money. The offseason is far from over for the Giants, who can definitely step back into the race for other free agents still on the market, or look to make some trades. Giants still have holes to fill as third base, left field, and another starting pitcher remain open. Where do the Giants go from here? Here are some free agent ideas and trade scenarios the Giants could look to approach here this week at the Winter Baseball Meetings and the rest of the offseason.
Sign Ervin Santana: Santana finds himself in the same position as last season, in the free agent market. When the Braves lost Brandon Beachy and Kris Medlen both to season ending arm injuries during Spring Training, they turned to Ervin Santana who was still looking for a team to sign with. Santana was looking for a multiple year deal which teams were ignoring to meet, so Santana settled for a one year deal. Once again, Santana is looking for a multi-year deal and has certainly earned the consideration. His last two seasons have been a success, and he made a case in 2014 with the Braves posting these numbers: 196 IP 14-10 3.95 ERA 179 K's. While Santana is turning 32, he is still in the prime of his career, and heading into possibly the last large contract of his career. The National League suits Santana the best at this point of his career, and what a better place to finish a career in a San Francisco Giants uniform. A team coming off three World Series Championships in the last five seasons, with a coaching staff that has done a phenomenal job, Dave Righetti would love to coach a talent like Ervin Santana. Playing at a pitcher's park like AT&T park, as Santana ages, his numbers should still continue to stay inflated. Giants missed out on Lester, but it is not the end. Prediction: 4 Years/$58 Million Deal
Sign James Shields: While Scherzer and Shields still loom on the market, these are still two aces who are looking to get signed. Shields came off a season where he helped lead the Royals into the playoffs, what he was brought in there all along to do. Shields is an innings eater who continues year-after-year to throw over 210 innings per season. The guy is reliable to go out there almost every game and throw seven innings. That is what you want in a pitcher and the guy at the top of the rotation. Shields has been around the game for awhile now, and is looking for his last big contract just like Ervin Santana and others are. Shields could make a nice transition to the National League to keep his numbers inflated to finish out his career. Shields had tough bouts with having to go against David Price, Max Scherzer, Chris Sale, and other aces in baseball and always seemed to come up empty-handed. It might be time for Shields to step back from being the main guy, and slide into the 2 or 3 slot in the rotation. The pressure will be off his shoulders while allowing someone else to guide the rotation. Shields still has game and he isn't on the decline. Just his time as a number 1 starter soon seem to be over where his best value should come from falling back in rotation. Shields is going to get paid good money regardless where he finds himself in a rotation, but pitching in Kauffman field (arguably, one of the best pitcher's parks in baseball) he can make a nice swap over to the National League and find himself in the ballpark where he and the Royals were defeated, AT&T Park. Giants have a starter vacancy and the Giants can add another top name to their rotation. Shields would be a nice option. Prediction: 5 Years/$85 Million Deal
Trade for Jay Bruce: Jay Bruce had a bad 2014 season, as did the Cincinnati Reds team in general. Only bright spot of their season was development of speedster Billy Hamilton and NL Cy Young Candidate, Johnny Cueto. Bruce has been a guy who was improving each season and didn't show signs of slowing down. Bruce did not have any struggle, and that came to him this season. This is not a long term concern or even a concern for next year. The team relied on him and Todd Frazier to carry the run support in a hitter's ball park. Bruce still finished with 18 Home Runs, but we all know he is capable to finishing above that. Bruce's value is down a little which could make him an interesting get before he returns to the old Jay Bruce. Already having signed an extension, Bruce makes $10 million per year, which is half of what Pablo Sandoval is going to make with Boston. The Giants have been using a platoon in left field ever since Barry Bonds retired from the game. While the Giants have not had an everyday left fielder since Bonds, now is the time for the team to add more bats into their lineup with the absence of Pablo Sandoval, possibly Michael Morse, and free agents here in the next offseason. Bruce has great numbers at AT&T Park, and can provide the big stick for a Giants offense who generally lacks the long ball. Not sure what the Reds want in return as they are experiencing a to-be rebuilding effort. I think the Giants could offer Kyle Crick, Matt Duffy, and Jarrett Parker to acquire Jay Bruce.
Trade for Mat Latos: The National League West is not unfamiliar territory for Mat Latos, who pitched for the San Diegos from 2009-2011. Latos had unfortunate luck of missing part of the season, and slowly regained form. Once fully healed, Latos showed flashes of his old self. Latos is entering a contract year in 2015, where he looks to perform to earn himself an extension or bids for free agency to receive more money. Latos is 27, and has a lot of baseball left. Latos is just now tasting glimpses of prime years, and a new home may be best for him. Reds look to be rebuilding and Latos has value attached to him which can aid in the rebuilding process. Giants are looking to fill a starter spot in the rotation when they failed to get Jon Lester. If the Giants elect to forgo signing a free agent for big money, they could look to trade for Latos where they have the option of extending him. Latos, who is a fly-ball pitcher, would benefit by being traded to San Francisco. The vast park should aid his high home runs given-up rate, and post good numbers. Giants are looking to continue their winning ways, and Latos can help an aging rotation and pitching staff stay young. Giants could offer Kyle Crick & Matt Duffy. Duffy would be a nice option to replace Zack Cozart who has been a disappointment for the Reds.
Trade for Cole Hamels: The Phillies have been a disappointment the last three seasons and they are a team full of bad contracts, except Cole Hamels. Cole Hamels may not seem like an ace because he plays for the Phillies, but what he possesses is top of the rotation stuff and a guy who should be averaging 16-17 Wins a season. Hamels signed a big extension with the Phillies, but only has 4 years/$96 Million left on his contract. For an ace, that is a very likable contract for a team to manage. If Cole Hamels was a free agent today, he would probably be looking for a large contract to approach Clayton Kershaw contract status. With a lack of run support and a weak bullpen, Hamels earned losses that weren't his fault. Giants pushed for Jon Lester and came up empty, maybe it is time to focus attention to another big time starter who can fit along the top of the rotation with Madison Bumgarner. Hamels would have to accept being second in the rotation, as Bumgarner has simply become the ace of the rotation and top 5 pitchers in baseball. Phillies are in full rebuild mode, and Hamels is going to require extraction of three good prospects. For the Giants, this season and next season they have a lot of free agents to address, and they may want to keep some guys in the farm. As the Giants are entering a "dynasty", they might need to go all out to maintain this dominance. Hamels I think is worth targeting, more than the Giants interest they had in Jon Lester. For the Giants to please the Phillies, I think Kyle Crick. Matt Duffy, Hector Sanchez, and Chris Heston would do it.
Trade for Jordan Zimmermann: The Nationals last season were the best team record-wise when it came to winning the National League regular season. When the playoffs came around, the Nationals fell a part, but Jordan Zimmermann did not. Of the star power the Nationals have, Doug Fister and Jordan Zimmermann are the ones who played consistently all year. Zimmermann is entering a contract year and has earned whatever extension or money he will receive in free agency. Zimmermann isn't much of a strike out pitcher, but his craft works to his advantage and helped contribute a big part to the Nationals season. Not sure how much the Nationals value Jordan Zimmermann, but he appears to be dangled out there for offers as he is looking to get paid. Zimmermann should be of interest across country for the San Francisco Giants. Giants are all about pitching and Righetti would love to have another big time starter in the rotation with Bumgarner and Cain. With Cain's uncertainty on his return from injury, the aging Tim Hudson, and the shaky Tim Lincecum, pitching just became the Giants main priority. To acquire Zimmermann, the Giants could offer Kyle Crick & Ty Blach
Trade for Evan Longoria & Ben Zobrist: The likelihood of acquiring both Evan Longoria and Ben Zobrist in the same deal is far from likely, even though the Tampa Bay Rays have taken a hit this offseason. The Rays lost David Price last season. In this offseason, the Rays have lost manager Joe Maddon, bench coach Dave Martinez, Vice President Andrew Friedman, Starting Pitcher Jeremy Hellickson, and Relief Pitcher Joel Peralta. With uncertainty with their future in Tampa Bay, the Rays may be approaching a rebuild with new manager, Kevin Cash. Evan Longoria is the face of the Rays franchise, but if they rebuild, he doesn't need to be around for that; as the same goes for Ben Zobrist too. Attendance is already poor in Tampa Bay. It might be worth looking to trade Longoria and Zobrist separately, or possibly together. For a season looking to be cloudy despite having one of the best rotations in the American League East, Rays will be looking to acquire what they can in return for their two best players. Zobrist has eligibility for multiple positions (2B/SS/RF), and Longoria provides a solid glove and a power bat at the hot corner. Giants have openings at third base where Longoria fits perfectly and the middle of the batting order, but Zobrist is the only iffy player. If Zobrist can adapt to left field which he does not play regularly at any point of his career, it may be a learning experience. While it possesses a challenge to the trade, it is nothing I wouldn't put past Zobrist. Giants looked hard at Zobrist in 2014, but the Rays were wanting a lot in return at that point of the season; where the Giants were not positive how they wanted to approach the rest of 2014. For a hefty return, the Rays would most likely require Kyle Crick, Brandon Belt, Adam Duvall, and Matt Duffy, and Erik Cordier. Losing Belt would be a hit, but he soon will require to be paid, and holds up first base for when Buster Posey. Posey will need to play first full time at some point of his career. If the Giants called and made this offer, Rays might consider as a possible rebuild looms.
Trade for Justin Upton & Chris Johnson: The Braves under-performed in 2014, which led to a very disappointing season. Braves now have lost Jason Heyward and Jordan Walden via trade to the St. Louis Cardinals and Tommy La Stella to the Chicago Cubs. While it is not a full rebuild, the Braves seems to be adding pieces to prepare for 2016 when they leave Turner Field, and open a new ballpark in Cobb County, Georgia. Justin Upton was acquired in a big trade between the D'Backs and Braves back in 2013 with a lot of prospects involved. With two seasons in Atlanta, Upton has lived up to expectation, but the team has fell short in production. Upton is entering his contract year, and Braves don't seem eager to sign him to an extension. Braves may be looking to deal Upton and receive a nice return, and let another team be financially responsible for him. Giants have holes at third base and left field, as left field would highlight a trade between the Braves and Giants. Back in 2011, according to Comcast Sportsnet Bay Area California, Upton was quoted saying "I hate going to SF. The ball travels like crap there." Alfonso Soriano is another player who refused to come play in San Francisco because he hated the weather in San Francisco. While this was 2011, money has its ways of talking sometimes, especially when you hit 29 Home Runs and 102 RBI's in 2014. Entering a contract year, Upton would be a great option and the Giants might entertain him to a nice extension if traded. Chris Johnson is just the icing on the cake, and a good ball player who plays hard. Above-average defender and solid contact hitter, Johnson is a safe option at third base and allows the Giants not having to turn to rookie Adam Duvall, who could be used in a deal to acquire both Upton and Johnson. Rumor has it that Upton and Johnson was a discussed in a trade to San Francisco a week ago, but talks died off. Upton and Johnson should be discussed again especially how the market has been going and how the trade market is starting to heat up. Before other teams reach out to the Braves, the Giants should consider shopping Kyle Crick. Matt Duffy, Adam Duvall, and Gary Brown. These players should be able to get the deal done, with the limited prospects the Giants have.
These are all assumptions and predictions I feel would help benefit the Giants to remain relevant and consistent for awhile. Three World Series Championships in five years is an incredible feat, but it may be time for the Giants to start spending to keep the dominance intact and remain consistent. Lester was a big miss, but there are plenty of valuable options still out there for the Giants to take advantage of and get involved.
Sunday, December 7, 2014
San Francisco Giants Wishful Thinking
2014 was once again a fun ride for the San Francisco Giants, with three championships in the last five years. The last thing you want to do is disband a team that seems to have a flow going on. Pablo Sandoval has left, Michael Morse looks to be gone, and two starter spots have opened with Jake Peavy and Ryan Vogelsong in free agency. There is definite openings the Giants need to address. Here are some wild assumptions, but honestly don't seem too unrealistic.
San Francisco Giants trade P Kyle Crick, P Chris Stratton, and 3B Adam Duvall to the Kansas City Royals for 1B Eric Hosmer: Hosmer was Kansas City's top draft pick in 2008 straight out of high school from Florida and was looked at to be their next star. Royals may be a little hesitant to trade Hosmer now or in the near future since they sent Wil Myers their other top prospect to Tampa Bay to acquire James Shields. Shields is most likely gone and it is a bat the Royals lost. Royals are a small market team and Hosmer's price will eventually rise to a sum I don't think the Royals will be able to support. Hosmer is a great defender, finds a way to put the ball in play, and is athletic with a lot of upside. Hampered by injuries and inconsistencies, Hosmer has not become the player they have hoped so far. While he is young and total value isn't up yet, Giants could part with three of their prospects to acquire Hosmer. Why bring Hosmer in? Brandon Belt was originally an outfielder in the minor leagues and was moved to first base. He is athletic enough that they could move him to left field just like they did with Travis Ishikawa. Belt and Hosmer are both great defenders but bringing in Hosmer and shifting Belt to left field would allow the Giants to stop the platoon in left field and have their every day player. Hosmer is 25 and has a lot of ball left and should be entering his prime in the next 2-3 years and would be a nice addition to the Giants, while still allowing them to spend money on free agents to sign a pitcher and third baseman.
San Francisco Giants trade P Kyle Crick and P Derek Law to Kansas City for P Greg Holland:
Another Kansas City player showing up on my list, but it is for a pretty important reason. The money their top players will be requiring, they can't pay all of them. Wade Davis, Kelvin Herrera, and Greg Holland formed one of baseball's fearful trios in 2014, and all are going to demand to be paid at some point. Davis and Herrera look more valuable to skill and age, and Holland is the odd man out. Still fairly young and in his prime, Greg Holland would be a big boost to an aging and dominant bullpen in San Francisco. Jeremy Affeldt, Javier Lopez, and Santiago Casilla all look to be gone in the next two to three years due to age, and Giants have young-and-ready guys to come up, and Holland would be a nice mentor to them. Holland is consistent with his high fastball and stellar with his slider which is hard to hit. Giants have the money and experience, adding Holland would just continue to their brilliance in the bullpen and take over for Casilla.
San Francisco Giants trade P Kyle Crick, 3B Adam Duvall, and P Chris Heston to Kansas City Royals for OF Alex Gordon:
Alex Gordon looks like the ideal San Francisco Giants player. He was the guy who nearly helped the Kansas City Royals win with one swing of the bat in the World Series in Game 7. Alex Gordon took awhile to develop into the player he is today but better now than never. Gordon is a gap hitter, smart base-runner who knows how to score, and arguably one of the best defenders in the game today. Gordon plays all out and hustles, solid arm, and makes acrobatic catches to save runs. Already playing in a pitcher's park in Kansas City, the shift would not be difficult and would help contribute to solid defensive group already fielded in San Francisco. His competitiveness fits well with this ball club, and the Giants would be able to meet his demands for a contract extension, as opposed to the Kansas City Royals. If this is not a move that could occur this offseason, maybe during the trade deadline, or next offseason. I would approve much of this move.
San Francisco Giants trade P Kyle Crick, 1B Brandon Belt, P Ty Blach to the Tampa Bay Rays for 3B Evan Longoria:
Highly admired since being drafted by the Rays, Evan Longoria has had high expectations every season. He has performed well or he doesn't seems to be the pattern. At age 29, Longoria is in his prime now, and possesses a big bat at a position where the Giants currently have a vacancy. Giants have won three World Series, and have plenty of money to spend and belong in the big market talk. San Francisco is a great city and is a sports city. Longoria signed a large extension with Tampa Bay, but their future is looking bleak with being stuck in Tampa Bay and Longoria is one of their most valuable assets. Giants need another right handed power bat in the line up and Longoria is that guy. Longoria has above average defense too and is athletic to make big stops. If he can continue to show he can stay health like he did in all 162 games in 2014 games, this a trade the Giants should bug the Rays with, as it would be good for the Giants and the Rays and a player who teams have not decided to contact yet. Giants would be ahead of the game and should continue to see themselves in playoff contention. Losing Belt would hurt, but receiving Evan Longoria back in return is not a bad move.
San Francisco Giants trade P Kyle Crick, P Chris Stratton, and 3B Adam Duvall to the Kansas City Royals for 1B Eric Hosmer: Hosmer was Kansas City's top draft pick in 2008 straight out of high school from Florida and was looked at to be their next star. Royals may be a little hesitant to trade Hosmer now or in the near future since they sent Wil Myers their other top prospect to Tampa Bay to acquire James Shields. Shields is most likely gone and it is a bat the Royals lost. Royals are a small market team and Hosmer's price will eventually rise to a sum I don't think the Royals will be able to support. Hosmer is a great defender, finds a way to put the ball in play, and is athletic with a lot of upside. Hampered by injuries and inconsistencies, Hosmer has not become the player they have hoped so far. While he is young and total value isn't up yet, Giants could part with three of their prospects to acquire Hosmer. Why bring Hosmer in? Brandon Belt was originally an outfielder in the minor leagues and was moved to first base. He is athletic enough that they could move him to left field just like they did with Travis Ishikawa. Belt and Hosmer are both great defenders but bringing in Hosmer and shifting Belt to left field would allow the Giants to stop the platoon in left field and have their every day player. Hosmer is 25 and has a lot of ball left and should be entering his prime in the next 2-3 years and would be a nice addition to the Giants, while still allowing them to spend money on free agents to sign a pitcher and third baseman.
San Francisco Giants trade P Kyle Crick and P Derek Law to Kansas City for P Greg Holland:
Another Kansas City player showing up on my list, but it is for a pretty important reason. The money their top players will be requiring, they can't pay all of them. Wade Davis, Kelvin Herrera, and Greg Holland formed one of baseball's fearful trios in 2014, and all are going to demand to be paid at some point. Davis and Herrera look more valuable to skill and age, and Holland is the odd man out. Still fairly young and in his prime, Greg Holland would be a big boost to an aging and dominant bullpen in San Francisco. Jeremy Affeldt, Javier Lopez, and Santiago Casilla all look to be gone in the next two to three years due to age, and Giants have young-and-ready guys to come up, and Holland would be a nice mentor to them. Holland is consistent with his high fastball and stellar with his slider which is hard to hit. Giants have the money and experience, adding Holland would just continue to their brilliance in the bullpen and take over for Casilla.
San Francisco Giants trade P Kyle Crick, 3B Adam Duvall, and P Chris Heston to Kansas City Royals for OF Alex Gordon:
Alex Gordon looks like the ideal San Francisco Giants player. He was the guy who nearly helped the Kansas City Royals win with one swing of the bat in the World Series in Game 7. Alex Gordon took awhile to develop into the player he is today but better now than never. Gordon is a gap hitter, smart base-runner who knows how to score, and arguably one of the best defenders in the game today. Gordon plays all out and hustles, solid arm, and makes acrobatic catches to save runs. Already playing in a pitcher's park in Kansas City, the shift would not be difficult and would help contribute to solid defensive group already fielded in San Francisco. His competitiveness fits well with this ball club, and the Giants would be able to meet his demands for a contract extension, as opposed to the Kansas City Royals. If this is not a move that could occur this offseason, maybe during the trade deadline, or next offseason. I would approve much of this move.
San Francisco Giants trade P Kyle Crick, 1B Brandon Belt, P Ty Blach to the Tampa Bay Rays for 3B Evan Longoria:
Highly admired since being drafted by the Rays, Evan Longoria has had high expectations every season. He has performed well or he doesn't seems to be the pattern. At age 29, Longoria is in his prime now, and possesses a big bat at a position where the Giants currently have a vacancy. Giants have won three World Series, and have plenty of money to spend and belong in the big market talk. San Francisco is a great city and is a sports city. Longoria signed a large extension with Tampa Bay, but their future is looking bleak with being stuck in Tampa Bay and Longoria is one of their most valuable assets. Giants need another right handed power bat in the line up and Longoria is that guy. Longoria has above average defense too and is athletic to make big stops. If he can continue to show he can stay health like he did in all 162 games in 2014 games, this a trade the Giants should bug the Rays with, as it would be good for the Giants and the Rays and a player who teams have not decided to contact yet. Giants would be ahead of the game and should continue to see themselves in playoff contention. Losing Belt would hurt, but receiving Evan Longoria back in return is not a bad move.
Predictions for Winter Meetings
Baseball season has been already in the works, but December 7th-11th may be the most exciting time of the offseason. General managers and members of each organization will be present in San Diego to work on deals to help out their ball clubs. Whether it is a trade or free agent signing, here are some moves I predict may go down. These are moves either not talked about, or moves that have been looking to get traction.
Cincinnati Reds trade P Mat Latos and SS Zack Cozart to the Los Angeles Dodgers for OF Andre Ethier, INF Justin Turner, and P Zach Lee: Dodgers are looking to surpass the Giants and find success in the NL West and make a playoff push. Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke can't do it all themselves, and the rotation could use a boost with Mat Latos. Dodgers have been rumored to be in the running for Jon Lester and looking at trades to land Cole Hamels, but a trade with Cincinnati can be a nice piece in return to that rotation in Mat Latos. Reds look to be in a small rebuild, and the Dodgers need to unload outfielders. Dodgers don't look willing to play Ethier every day and his demand will force him out of Los Angeles. A decent left fielder who has some left in the tank may feel motivated and provide a surprise for the Reds. Turner had a solid year off the bench for the Dodgers and Zack Cozart hasn't lived up to expectation in Cincinnati and a new change of scenery may be the solution. Turner would immediately start at shortstop and provide a bat in the lineup. Win-win situation for the Reds and Dodgers.
3B Chase Headley signs with San Francisco for 5 years/$68 Million: Currently, Headley has a deal set on the table by a mystery team for 4 years/$65 million. The team has not been identified yet, and it was rumored for a little while it was the Miami Marlins. Marlins recently have been reported to have dropped out on offering Headley. Could this offer be the Giants? $16 million a year for a player who has not seen consistent success since his almost MVP-worthy 2012 season, that seems a substantial amount for an average player. If the offer happens to not be the Giants who are aggressive in finding a Pablo Sandoval replacement, I could seem them upping the ante in money or throwing in an extra year. Look for Chase Headley to sign with the World Series Champs and pursue another playoff run in 2015.
Boston Red Sox trade OF Yoenis Cespedes to the Seattle Mariners for P Roenis Elias & OF Dustin Ackley: Boston Red Sox once again are big spenders in the offseason signing Pablo Sandoval and Hanley Ramirez, and seem to be pressing hard for Jon Lester. Mariners were one game removed from making the playoffs in 2014 and it seems they are trying to make a stance in improving the offense and jolting them into the 2015 playoffs and beyond. Already signing Nelson Cruz, who looks to be their big bat at DH, the Mariners need another corner outfielder with power. Matt Kemp and Justin Upton have contracts that are unfavorable, and Yoenis Cespedes has one year left who will most likely still be cheaper with a new contract. Cespedes defense cannot be ignored, and provides a powerful bat who drove in a lot of runs between Oakland and Boston. Boston wants Hisashi Iwakuma but he is more valuable than just Yoenis Cespedes. Dustin Ackley has had a hard time proving his worth after being a top 5 draft pick in his class. Ackley may need to find a new home and would be nice piece for Boston to use since he can play multiple positions.
New York Yankees trade OF Mason Williams, P Manny Banuelos, & C Austin Romine to the Atlanta Braves for OF Justin Upton: This I think is a move out of desperation both by Atlanta Braves and the New York Yankees. Yankees are in desperation due to watching Toronto and Boston spend and trade their way to the top. Yankees have already made moves with Andrew Miller and Didi Gregorius and look to kick off their offseason here in San Diego. While Upton has been mulled with Baltimore, Oakland, and Seattle, his age, upside, and the chance for an extension is intriguing. With age and injuries getting to Brian McCann, Mark Teixeira, and Carlos Beltran, the Yankees need a new young slugger in their lineup to bring in the runs. Driving in over 100 runs in 2014, Justin Upton would be a great fit for the New York Yankees. Yankees system is always slim every year, but they do have three prospects who could help the Braves in their look to rebuild to get ready for 2016 in their new ballpark.
San Francisco loses out on Jon Lester and signs P Ervin Santana for 5 Years/$62 Million: For the past three days, Giants growing interest for starting pitching has grown. With Jon Lester being at the top of the list and being reported as "all-in", the Giants are going to fall short. I think they truly want Jon Lester but at terms where they feel comfortable, and ultimately the Cubs, Red Sox, and the Dodgers are willing to risk a lot for him. Giants just came off another championship season and I don't think they want to risk a lot. By also reporting that they are looking at Santana and others, I think that is realistically their target. Ervin Santana signed a quick contract with the Braves in 2014 after losing Kris Medlen and Brandon Beachy to season-ending injuries. Then, the Braves became pitcher-hungry. Looking for a longer contract now to finish the remainder of his career, Giants would be a great fit for him. Santana pitched well in the National League, and would thrive in a pitchers park like AT&T park. While Lester would be fun and exciting to have in San Francisco, Santana is a nice fall back option and who could help the Giants.
P Jon Lester signs with... the Chicago Cubs: Chicago has it all going for them right now. They recently signed Joe Maddon to be their new manager, a plethora of young talent who look to be very good players in this league, and new ballpark renovations. Most importantly, they have hope. Cubs have been struggling for years and they deserve a championship. Theo Epstein has been scrutinized for his plan with the Cubs, but all those miserable seasons look to be coming together. Hiring a manager in Joe Maddon who knows how to build young talent into good ball players, he needs a good leader at the top like he had in David Price in Tampa Bay. Theo Epstein has money to spend, and safe to say, he misses Jon Lester. Personally, I think Lester had a better relationship with Jon Lester than the Boston organization itself. Boston and Chicago look to be the top choices, and Theo Epstein is looking more and more likely to land Lester. With young talent, Lester can guide them.
Chicago Cubs trade SS Starlin Castro to the New York Mets for P Rafael Montero & Jonathon Niese: The New York Mets are looking to move pitching between Bartolo Colon, Jonathon Niese, and Dillon Gee. Cubs have the youth right now but need the veteran leadership. If the Cubs are probably on to Jon Lester, adding another vet in Jonathon Niese would be good. Mets have a gaping hole at shortstop as well too, and upgrading with a proven shortstop in Starlin Castro who's still young would be a nice target. Mets seem to like Syndergaard, and they can part with Rafael Montero.
Baltimore Orioles trade P Wei-Yin Chen and P Tommy Hunter to Colorado Rockies for OF Charlie Blackmon: Rockies continually field solid offensive teams, but lack pitching. Generally finishing last in the majors in pitching, Rockies could finally see some hope in receiving a starting pitcher. Orioles need to find an outfield replacement for Nelson Cruz and Nick Markakis, and Charlie Blackmon would be a nice addition who had a breakout year in 2014. Wei-Yin Chen had 16 wins for the Orioles in 2014, and pitched in a hitter-friendly park. Coors Field is a hitter-friendly park, but he does not have to throw to a DH now.
Monday, December 1, 2014
3 Moves Giants Need To Make in December
The MLB offseason has been a wild one so far, with surprising trades and stars on the move. While guys seem to flying off the market, there's quite a bit of players still out there unsigned, including Max Scherzer, Jon Lester, and James Shields. The Giants were the 2014 World Series Champions and what they've done in most recent years is try to keep their championship teams together. This season it is a little bit different with a little more holes to fill. Pablo Sandoval's decision to not return to San Francisco caught fans and baseball by surprise. Michael Morse was brought in as a risk/reward type of contract, with the Giants not knowing what he would provide. Morse flashed signs of his Washington Nationals days and it certainly bumped up his value in the market, making it seem less-likely he returns to the Bay Area. Sergio Romo was demoted to set-up man mid-season, which turned out to be a blessing in disguise because he went on to having a solid finish to the year with his slider back in order. As much as San Francisco would want a big fan favorite and solid reliever back in Sergio Romo, I am wondering if his value would be too high for what the Giants would want to pay him. With a stocked minor league system in bullpen help (regardless of what experts rank the farm system), Giants have Brett Bochy, Hunter Strickland (who showed signs of a future closer for the Giants), Derek Law who is coming off Tommy John surgery, Cody Hall, and Erik Cordier who are ready when they are called up. With letting Romo walk, that would open up a spot this year, and next season, Jeremy Affeldt and Javier Lopez could open two more spots. Focusing onto 2015, this could be a year where the Giants look in-house to replenish their roster and fill the voids, or maybe it is time to spend some money. It is no secret the Giants are well-off as a franchise who could place themselves Top 5 in team payroll in all of baseball. These are players I feel with the money to spend, Giants should look at all possibilities.
SP Justin Masterson (7-9, 5.88 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 116 K's) - When you look at these numbers, you wonder why would this player even be considered, especially even on a minor league deal? Coming off a career year in 2013 for the Indians, what he couldn't do in Boston, it had looked like Masterson had found his stuff. Indians looked like they possibly had a solid starting pitcher. 2014 came along and it was awful to say the least. It was an apocalyptic-like type of season which made us forget about 2013, back to where Masterson originally was, mediocre seasons and overlooked, not what he probably imagined. St. Louis thought they would give it a try at the trade deadline to bring in Masterson and the awful season continued there. Masterson dealt with an array of injuries, his command was off, and was left off the playoff roster. It was just not a great year. What Masterson did two years ago is encouraging that it is still not too late for the 29 year old to build some value up for a team on a risk/reward type contract. Masterson will not earn a lot in 2015, and that should fuel the fire for him to produce again. Dave Righetti is one of the great current pitching coaches in baseball and probably might be in a list among some of the greatest pitching coaches of all-time. Righetti would love to have a type of player with something to prove, and what better way than to bring Masterston to San Francisco. For a pitcher who puts a lot of balls in play, a vast pitchers park, AT&T park , would be ideal for Masterson to build some confidence. Defensively, the Giants don't possess a bad defense, and they are above average. Giants have worked with journeymen Ryan Vogelsong and Yusmiero Petit and turned them into good pitchers, most notably Petit who filled in for Matt Cain and took advantage of the opportunity. With a guy trying to prove his worth, and a team looking to continue on their success, Justin Masterson might be the Giants "San Francisco Treat".
RF Alex Rios (.280 BA, 4 HR, 54 RBI, 17 SB) - What has looked like for years, the Giants have been keeping their eye and trying to acquire Alex Rios via trade. A trade is no longer necessary for the 33 year old. To some, what may seem like a down year is a guy who was constantly moved around the Rangers lineup that can never be determined. What might be his last big contract of his career, Rios would probably be looking to settle somewhere for the rest of his career with a contender. Rios has been with the Blue Jays, White Sox, and most recently the Rangers. Rios has hit for power in the past but has balanced out his game and has seen the home runs take a dip. Back in 2008, the Giants pressed hard for Rios, but it would've come at the expense of losing a Cy Young winning pitcher at the time, Tim Lincecum. Rios now can be looking where he would like to play. Giants are tired of a platoon in left field between Blanco and whoever they can find. Rios has never played left field in his career, but an athletic player that Rios is, playing in left should be a nice transition. Giants stole little bases last season, and Rios can produce that. For being a gap-hitter, the Giants should be able to court Alex Rios who still can play at a high level minus the power numbers, would be a nice right-handed bat addition and the platoon can be dropped. Rios clubhouse leadership would also be a benefit to the World Series Champions.
3B Chase Headley (.243 BA, 13 HR, 49 RBI, 7 SB) - Pablo Sandoval was a large surprise leaving San Francisco for Boston changing the landscape at third base. Sandoval was the fan favorite, but his decision has left a thin third base market for the Giants to pursue, since resigning him was expected. Life after Pablo is here, and Giants have options in-house with Joaquin Arias, Adam Duvall, and a wild notion of moving Buster Posey to third base. Those two don't look ready to man the bag full-time. The top remaining third baseman on the free agent market is Chase Headley. 2013 and 2014 was injury plagued for Headley who may look to perform and get his numbers back up. In reality, Chase Headley and Pablo Sandoval have similar numbers and Headley is a better defender. Familiar with the NL West, having played for the Padres, Headley has played at AT&T park a handful of times, Giants would be silly not to pursue Headley with a thin free agent pool and a lack of people on the trade market. Headley would be a great voice and what he provides as a switch hitter, just like Pablo was. Headley may not sell Panda hats, but he can sell that he is a perfect fit for the San Francisco Giants. Yankees look to be the Giants biggest threat.
SP Justin Masterson (7-9, 5.88 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 116 K's) - When you look at these numbers, you wonder why would this player even be considered, especially even on a minor league deal? Coming off a career year in 2013 for the Indians, what he couldn't do in Boston, it had looked like Masterson had found his stuff. Indians looked like they possibly had a solid starting pitcher. 2014 came along and it was awful to say the least. It was an apocalyptic-like type of season which made us forget about 2013, back to where Masterson originally was, mediocre seasons and overlooked, not what he probably imagined. St. Louis thought they would give it a try at the trade deadline to bring in Masterson and the awful season continued there. Masterson dealt with an array of injuries, his command was off, and was left off the playoff roster. It was just not a great year. What Masterson did two years ago is encouraging that it is still not too late for the 29 year old to build some value up for a team on a risk/reward type contract. Masterson will not earn a lot in 2015, and that should fuel the fire for him to produce again. Dave Righetti is one of the great current pitching coaches in baseball and probably might be in a list among some of the greatest pitching coaches of all-time. Righetti would love to have a type of player with something to prove, and what better way than to bring Masterston to San Francisco. For a pitcher who puts a lot of balls in play, a vast pitchers park, AT&T park , would be ideal for Masterson to build some confidence. Defensively, the Giants don't possess a bad defense, and they are above average. Giants have worked with journeymen Ryan Vogelsong and Yusmiero Petit and turned them into good pitchers, most notably Petit who filled in for Matt Cain and took advantage of the opportunity. With a guy trying to prove his worth, and a team looking to continue on their success, Justin Masterson might be the Giants "San Francisco Treat".
RF Alex Rios (.280 BA, 4 HR, 54 RBI, 17 SB) - What has looked like for years, the Giants have been keeping their eye and trying to acquire Alex Rios via trade. A trade is no longer necessary for the 33 year old. To some, what may seem like a down year is a guy who was constantly moved around the Rangers lineup that can never be determined. What might be his last big contract of his career, Rios would probably be looking to settle somewhere for the rest of his career with a contender. Rios has been with the Blue Jays, White Sox, and most recently the Rangers. Rios has hit for power in the past but has balanced out his game and has seen the home runs take a dip. Back in 2008, the Giants pressed hard for Rios, but it would've come at the expense of losing a Cy Young winning pitcher at the time, Tim Lincecum. Rios now can be looking where he would like to play. Giants are tired of a platoon in left field between Blanco and whoever they can find. Rios has never played left field in his career, but an athletic player that Rios is, playing in left should be a nice transition. Giants stole little bases last season, and Rios can produce that. For being a gap-hitter, the Giants should be able to court Alex Rios who still can play at a high level minus the power numbers, would be a nice right-handed bat addition and the platoon can be dropped. Rios clubhouse leadership would also be a benefit to the World Series Champions.
3B Chase Headley (.243 BA, 13 HR, 49 RBI, 7 SB) - Pablo Sandoval was a large surprise leaving San Francisco for Boston changing the landscape at third base. Sandoval was the fan favorite, but his decision has left a thin third base market for the Giants to pursue, since resigning him was expected. Life after Pablo is here, and Giants have options in-house with Joaquin Arias, Adam Duvall, and a wild notion of moving Buster Posey to third base. Those two don't look ready to man the bag full-time. The top remaining third baseman on the free agent market is Chase Headley. 2013 and 2014 was injury plagued for Headley who may look to perform and get his numbers back up. In reality, Chase Headley and Pablo Sandoval have similar numbers and Headley is a better defender. Familiar with the NL West, having played for the Padres, Headley has played at AT&T park a handful of times, Giants would be silly not to pursue Headley with a thin free agent pool and a lack of people on the trade market. Headley would be a great voice and what he provides as a switch hitter, just like Pablo was. Headley may not sell Panda hats, but he can sell that he is a perfect fit for the San Francisco Giants. Yankees look to be the Giants biggest threat.
Sunday, November 23, 2014
Giants Plans If Pablo Sandoval Leaves
In 2010, Pablo Sandoval struggled with his weight, and found himself left off the World Series roster. Being left off the roster seemed to bode well for him because it served as motivation to get better. That motivation has led him to helping the Giants win 2 World Series titles in 2012 and most recently 2014. While Pablo's skills improved, he still couldn't find a way to keep the weight off for a whole season. With one of baseball's best postseason players, weight has always been an issue, but Pablo has managed to become a fan favorite. This off-season could be one where Giants fans will be thrilled or they will be disappointed with a departure of Sandoval. Pablo has stated he wants to return to the Giants and loves San Francisco, but do the Giants have enough to offer, or will they be outbid by another team. Boston Red Sox have been the Giants biggest threat for Sandoval's services, who are aggressively pursuing the top third baseman in free agency. With an offer of 5 years and $95 million dollars, from numerous reports, Boston seems to be the clear favorite for Sandoval. For a player who has weight issues, shown signs of inconsistency in the regular season, and who's true value comes in the playoffs, is he truly worth $19 million a season? The Red Sox are in desperate need of a third baseman with financial stability, so I think they are willing to make the risk. Giants, who may be looking to retain all players from the World Series roster may not view Sandoval as a $19 million dollars-a-year player, but love his play and would want him back. To cut back on cost and add an extra year to Boston's deal, I think that would be the route. If the Giants lose out on Pablo Sandoval, all is not lost for the franchise. If Pablo leaves, that allows them $19 million dollars to sign other players to their roster. Giants have other holes potentially where they need to address as well. Giants needs are a permanent left fielder (where a platoon is no longer necessary), a starting pitcher, and possibly a third baseman if Pablo Sandoval leaves. Here are some targets the Giants should look to bring in to help the 2014 World Champions get back into familiar territory.
3B Chase Headley (4 Years/$49 Million): Headley who was traded to the Yankees last season had a decent year after an atrocious 2013 season plagued by inconsistency and injuries. Headley in 2014 showed signs of his breakout season in 2012 with the Padres, in which he was in consideration for MVP. Whether Headley can return to his MVP form or not, Giants wouldn't need him to do that. He provides a middle of the lineup bat, and he is a switch hitter. Sandoval had an amazing season defensively, but Headley brings that kind of defense consistently year-after-year. Headley also possesses some experience in left field so if they wanted to give an outfielder a day off, they wouldn't have to worry as much. I assume the Yankees are going to push to resign Headley, but I think Headley would be a great fit in AT&T Park and it would be familiar ground in the NL West.
3B David Freese (Via Trade sending Ty Blach): We talk about Pablo Sandoval being Mr. October 2.0, David Freese was that guy not too long ago for the St. Louis Cardinals. After that magical season he kind of fell off the planet and provided mediocre seasons for Cardinals, eventually sending him to the Angels for OF Randall Grichuk. With the Angels, he had a decent season for the best offense in the Major Leagues last season. Pressure was taken off in Anaheim which helped contribute to help David Freese show some signs of his old self. A solid defender with the glove, Freese seems to vanish in the regular season. Giants always provide a regular season where they look like the best team in the majors for part of the year, and the rest of the year it leaves your head scratching. Bochy is a wonderful manager, and inviting David Freese in could provide some consistency at third base and wouldn't lose much production if Pablo left. Bochy can add another playoff hero to the roster.
3B Casey McGehee (2 Years/$13 Million): McGehee is not your flashy home run hitter like he once was when he was with his days in Milwaukee before bolting to Japan for a little bit. Marlins essentially got him from nothing and he served protection behind Giancarlo Stanton. Not a lot of pop in his swing anymore, has translated it to safe base hits and bringing in runs. Batting clean up for the Marlins, he did just that. Last season proved he did build some value, so his contract could go up wherever he signs, but San Francisco would be a nice fit, and someone who can help lead on that team.
3B Trevor Plouffe (Via Trade sending Ty Blach, Jarret Parker): Quietly, Trevor Plouffe had himself a good 2014 season despite the low batting average due to being a streaky hitter. He managed to record a lot of runs driven in (80 RBI) and racked up the doubles (40). AT&T Park is a vast pitchers park with a lot of gaps for hitters to hit to, resulting in lots of extra base hits. Coming from a hitters-friendly league, and the size of the gaps in the field in San Francisco, Plouffe could see his numbers rise some. An average defender, but more known for his bat. Minnesota has a highly-regarded star in the minors Miguel Sano who I feel they may be ready to call up, who would replace Plouffe. Allows him to be more expendable, even though there is not a lot of chatter about him. As we know, mid-level tier players, Giants thrive on those via free agency or trades (Melky Cabrera, Angel Pagan, Hunter Pence, Tim Hudson, Jake Peavy, etc.). Plouffe would be a nice candidate to replace Pablo Sandoval.
Ultimately, I would like to see Pablo back in San Francisco since he is entering his prime years, but for the Giants, it may be best to let him go. He has got 3 World Series rings, what left does he need to accomplish? He has done well, and now deserves to earn some money. While Sandoval may not thrive in a new location, ideally Giants can put the money they would pay him towards improving the whole team and not just one position. If Pablo leaves, it is not the end of the world, and Giants can still compete.
3B Chase Headley (4 Years/$49 Million): Headley who was traded to the Yankees last season had a decent year after an atrocious 2013 season plagued by inconsistency and injuries. Headley in 2014 showed signs of his breakout season in 2012 with the Padres, in which he was in consideration for MVP. Whether Headley can return to his MVP form or not, Giants wouldn't need him to do that. He provides a middle of the lineup bat, and he is a switch hitter. Sandoval had an amazing season defensively, but Headley brings that kind of defense consistently year-after-year. Headley also possesses some experience in left field so if they wanted to give an outfielder a day off, they wouldn't have to worry as much. I assume the Yankees are going to push to resign Headley, but I think Headley would be a great fit in AT&T Park and it would be familiar ground in the NL West.
3B David Freese (Via Trade sending Ty Blach): We talk about Pablo Sandoval being Mr. October 2.0, David Freese was that guy not too long ago for the St. Louis Cardinals. After that magical season he kind of fell off the planet and provided mediocre seasons for Cardinals, eventually sending him to the Angels for OF Randall Grichuk. With the Angels, he had a decent season for the best offense in the Major Leagues last season. Pressure was taken off in Anaheim which helped contribute to help David Freese show some signs of his old self. A solid defender with the glove, Freese seems to vanish in the regular season. Giants always provide a regular season where they look like the best team in the majors for part of the year, and the rest of the year it leaves your head scratching. Bochy is a wonderful manager, and inviting David Freese in could provide some consistency at third base and wouldn't lose much production if Pablo left. Bochy can add another playoff hero to the roster.
3B Casey McGehee (2 Years/$13 Million): McGehee is not your flashy home run hitter like he once was when he was with his days in Milwaukee before bolting to Japan for a little bit. Marlins essentially got him from nothing and he served protection behind Giancarlo Stanton. Not a lot of pop in his swing anymore, has translated it to safe base hits and bringing in runs. Batting clean up for the Marlins, he did just that. Last season proved he did build some value, so his contract could go up wherever he signs, but San Francisco would be a nice fit, and someone who can help lead on that team.
3B Trevor Plouffe (Via Trade sending Ty Blach, Jarret Parker): Quietly, Trevor Plouffe had himself a good 2014 season despite the low batting average due to being a streaky hitter. He managed to record a lot of runs driven in (80 RBI) and racked up the doubles (40). AT&T Park is a vast pitchers park with a lot of gaps for hitters to hit to, resulting in lots of extra base hits. Coming from a hitters-friendly league, and the size of the gaps in the field in San Francisco, Plouffe could see his numbers rise some. An average defender, but more known for his bat. Minnesota has a highly-regarded star in the minors Miguel Sano who I feel they may be ready to call up, who would replace Plouffe. Allows him to be more expendable, even though there is not a lot of chatter about him. As we know, mid-level tier players, Giants thrive on those via free agency or trades (Melky Cabrera, Angel Pagan, Hunter Pence, Tim Hudson, Jake Peavy, etc.). Plouffe would be a nice candidate to replace Pablo Sandoval.
Ultimately, I would like to see Pablo back in San Francisco since he is entering his prime years, but for the Giants, it may be best to let him go. He has got 3 World Series rings, what left does he need to accomplish? He has done well, and now deserves to earn some money. While Sandoval may not thrive in a new location, ideally Giants can put the money they would pay him towards improving the whole team and not just one position. If Pablo leaves, it is not the end of the world, and Giants can still compete.
Wednesday, November 19, 2014
Moves That Would Never Happen but I Would Want to See Happen
Feeling a bit creative when it comes to the MLB offseason. These are some moves that would never happen, but I would like to see happen.
Houston Astros - Sign Nelson Cruz for 3 Years/ $50 Million: Houston has a weak budget and don't look to add to their payroll anytime soon, but this would be a nice move. PED issues or not, Nelson Cruz can still rake. Cruz can stay in the American League to DH, and lead a few power hitters in George Springer and Jonathan Singleton, with Carlos Correa looking to come up eventually. The Astros already have superstar Jose Altuve, and solid player in Dexter Fowler. Adding Cruz to a hitters park and middle of an Astros lineup who longs for a power hitter to drive in runs, I would like to see a wild signing of the Astros getting Nelson Cruz.
San Diego Padres Trade Tyson Ross, Jed Gyorko, Odrimaser Despaigne, and Yonder Alonso to Cincinnati Reds for Joey Votto and Brandon Phillips: Last season the Reds had a season for the worst with the only bright spot being Johnny Cueto who could've won the Cy Young if it wasn't for Clayton Kershaw. The Reds need to rebuild quickly and get young and healthy. Joey Votto is a league superstar when healthy and Brandon Phillips can show signs of his All-Star past. San Diego wants hitters and these two would generate revenue for a ball club that longs for run production. Votto looks to be healthy for 2015 and bounce back season would be nice. This deal would be beneficial for both.
Philadelphia Phillies Trade Cole Hamels to the Seattle Mariners for Mike Zunino, James Paxton, and Danny Hultzen: Jack Z's goal for the Mariners is to acquire bats, but if he fails to do so, M's can stick with pitching. Cole Hamels is one of the elite talents in baseball just stuck on potentially the worst team in baseball in 2015. Phillies are now in rebuild mode and starting over with Mike Zunino catching and James Paxton added to the rotation can be a win for the Phillies. Felix Hernandez, Hishashi Iwakuma, and Cole Hamels would be one of the nastiest 1-2-3 punches in baseball who I would fear.
Milwaukee Brewers - Sign Max Scherzer 6 years/ $152 Million: Brewers had a magical run in the regular season for awhile then collapsed and missed the 2014 playoffs. Brewers had some key veterans on their pitching staff, but failed them towards the end of the season. Bringing in a big time pitcher like they have in the past via trade (C.C. Sabathia & Zack Greinke), wouldn't be surprising if they would sign a big time pitcher. Scherzer may want this kind of money in Detroit, but his numbers could improve even more in the National League, not having to throw to an extra hitter. Former teammate Doug Fister made a nice transition from the American to the National League, and Max Scherzer wouldn't be on a bad team either. The Brewers youth have developed on offense, and Jonathan Lucroy has turned into a dangerous offensive weapon in the lineup. I like this signing, but don't see it happening.
White Sox, Rays, and Cardinals in a Three Team Trade - Cardinals Receive Chris Sale & Zack Putnam, White Sox Receive Evan Longoria & Marco Gonzales, and the Rays Receive Stephen Piscotty, Carlos Martinez, and Alexei Ramirez: Crazy trade but would be exciting for all teams. Adam Wainwright is one of the best pitchers in the game right now, and who knows how many years he has left. Bringing in Chris Sale now to that rotation who would eventually take over that rotation would be electrifying and Putnam adding some insurance to the bullpen. For the White Sox, they struck gold with signing Jose Abreu in 2014, and he put up outstanding numbers. Abreu is their run producer, but the White Sox could use another power bat ahead of Abreu or after him in the lineup. Longoria could use a change of scenery and the Rays look to eventually rebuild after the departure of Joe Maddon and GM Andrew Friedman. Marco Gonzales was a nice left hander who looks to potentially be a top of the rotation type starter and the White Sox also have Carlos Rodon in the minors knocking on Major League Baseball's door. Teaming those two up to lead a young White Sox rotation with Jose Quintana still there would be nice for the city of Chicago, and the power bat of Longoria. Rays have always lacked a big time shortstop and Alexei Ramirez would be a solid guy to fill that void. Stephen Piscotty is the Cardinals next big time prospect who can play third base or the outfield and with the departure of Longoria, it would open the spot for him and the Rays future along with Wil Myers and a solid young pitching staff. Adding Carlos Martinez to the bullpen would boost the Rays as well. This trade would be nuts but I see it as a big trade that would steal the headlines for sure.
Houston Astros - Sign Nelson Cruz for 3 Years/ $50 Million: Houston has a weak budget and don't look to add to their payroll anytime soon, but this would be a nice move. PED issues or not, Nelson Cruz can still rake. Cruz can stay in the American League to DH, and lead a few power hitters in George Springer and Jonathan Singleton, with Carlos Correa looking to come up eventually. The Astros already have superstar Jose Altuve, and solid player in Dexter Fowler. Adding Cruz to a hitters park and middle of an Astros lineup who longs for a power hitter to drive in runs, I would like to see a wild signing of the Astros getting Nelson Cruz.
San Diego Padres Trade Tyson Ross, Jed Gyorko, Odrimaser Despaigne, and Yonder Alonso to Cincinnati Reds for Joey Votto and Brandon Phillips: Last season the Reds had a season for the worst with the only bright spot being Johnny Cueto who could've won the Cy Young if it wasn't for Clayton Kershaw. The Reds need to rebuild quickly and get young and healthy. Joey Votto is a league superstar when healthy and Brandon Phillips can show signs of his All-Star past. San Diego wants hitters and these two would generate revenue for a ball club that longs for run production. Votto looks to be healthy for 2015 and bounce back season would be nice. This deal would be beneficial for both.
Philadelphia Phillies Trade Cole Hamels to the Seattle Mariners for Mike Zunino, James Paxton, and Danny Hultzen: Jack Z's goal for the Mariners is to acquire bats, but if he fails to do so, M's can stick with pitching. Cole Hamels is one of the elite talents in baseball just stuck on potentially the worst team in baseball in 2015. Phillies are now in rebuild mode and starting over with Mike Zunino catching and James Paxton added to the rotation can be a win for the Phillies. Felix Hernandez, Hishashi Iwakuma, and Cole Hamels would be one of the nastiest 1-2-3 punches in baseball who I would fear.
Milwaukee Brewers - Sign Max Scherzer 6 years/ $152 Million: Brewers had a magical run in the regular season for awhile then collapsed and missed the 2014 playoffs. Brewers had some key veterans on their pitching staff, but failed them towards the end of the season. Bringing in a big time pitcher like they have in the past via trade (C.C. Sabathia & Zack Greinke), wouldn't be surprising if they would sign a big time pitcher. Scherzer may want this kind of money in Detroit, but his numbers could improve even more in the National League, not having to throw to an extra hitter. Former teammate Doug Fister made a nice transition from the American to the National League, and Max Scherzer wouldn't be on a bad team either. The Brewers youth have developed on offense, and Jonathan Lucroy has turned into a dangerous offensive weapon in the lineup. I like this signing, but don't see it happening.
White Sox, Rays, and Cardinals in a Three Team Trade - Cardinals Receive Chris Sale & Zack Putnam, White Sox Receive Evan Longoria & Marco Gonzales, and the Rays Receive Stephen Piscotty, Carlos Martinez, and Alexei Ramirez: Crazy trade but would be exciting for all teams. Adam Wainwright is one of the best pitchers in the game right now, and who knows how many years he has left. Bringing in Chris Sale now to that rotation who would eventually take over that rotation would be electrifying and Putnam adding some insurance to the bullpen. For the White Sox, they struck gold with signing Jose Abreu in 2014, and he put up outstanding numbers. Abreu is their run producer, but the White Sox could use another power bat ahead of Abreu or after him in the lineup. Longoria could use a change of scenery and the Rays look to eventually rebuild after the departure of Joe Maddon and GM Andrew Friedman. Marco Gonzales was a nice left hander who looks to potentially be a top of the rotation type starter and the White Sox also have Carlos Rodon in the minors knocking on Major League Baseball's door. Teaming those two up to lead a young White Sox rotation with Jose Quintana still there would be nice for the city of Chicago, and the power bat of Longoria. Rays have always lacked a big time shortstop and Alexei Ramirez would be a solid guy to fill that void. Stephen Piscotty is the Cardinals next big time prospect who can play third base or the outfield and with the departure of Longoria, it would open the spot for him and the Rays future along with Wil Myers and a solid young pitching staff. Adding Carlos Martinez to the bullpen would boost the Rays as well. This trade would be nuts but I see it as a big trade that would steal the headlines for sure.
Safe Moves Teams Should Make
Major League Baseball offseason has officially gone into full-swing, and blockbuster trades or big free agent signings have been stealing the headlines. Teams are going to reach with money or sacrifice talent to get better. While it may seem smart for some teams to spend big, it's the safe moves that usually provide the most impact. Here is a group of players teams should consider signing or trading for to give a boost:
Seattle Mariners - OF/DH Delmon Young: Still only 29 years old, Delmon Young is probably in the prime of his career. Mariners are desperate for bats and GM Jack Zduriencik has made that a priority this offseason. The M's were one game away from making the playoffs, and their bats failed them to get there. While the M's can still spend or trade to bring in a big time bat, with Baltimore and Detroit, Delmon Young has provided clutch hits and production in the lineup. With Young, you're getting his bat for pinch hitting, designated hitting, and occasional defense to give rest for some of the other better defensive options in the outfield. He can be signed for anywhere from one to three years for a very reasonable price.
San Francisco Giants - 3B/1B Chase Headley: This prediction is if Pablo Sandoval leaves San Francisco. Losing Pablo would be a big loss for a guy who improved his defense tremendously and is one of the most clutch playoff players in baseball. While it would be a sad day for Giants fans, this option wouldn't be so bad. Headley is an NL West guy who was traded to New York last season to fill the third base void for the Yankees. Headley is a switch hitter just like Pablo Sandoval and is a good defensive third baseman when healthy. The last couple years he has been dealing with injuries after his big 2012 season. While he strikes out quite a bit, he is a patient hitter and finds ways to get on base. It wouldn't be a bad thing if Pablo Sandoval leaves, since this move would allow the Giants to feel comfortable and not worry how to fill the third base void. Headley can bat anywhere from third in the lineup to sixth. Pablo is going to want big money so this is a good option if they wish to add additional players as well.
New York Mets - SS/2B Jed Lowrie: Each year, there is one position the Mets fail to find some consistency and that is the infield. Mets were hampered by injuries last season and Terry Collins led them to a decent season. Mets found a solution that worked where they could trade Ike Davis to open up first base for Lucas Duda, and the outfield filled its holes with Curtis Granderson, Juan Lagares, and newly signed Michael Cuddyer. The Mets weakest position last season was shortstop and a move to sign Jed Lowrie may not be such a bad idea. Mets have Wilmer Flores waiting but shortstop may not be the best fit for him. Daniel Murphy is still at second base and some day the Mets may look to deal him for some players in return. Flores could be moved to second base or when David Wright moves on, they could slide him to third base. Mets have the starting pitching to keep them in games, and some consistency at shortstop is what they need. Lowrie is a veteran who has been to the playoffs with the Red Sox and the A's and has leadership. Lowrie is a gap hitter where he should thrive in Citi Field. If the Mets try to acquire a big time shortstop via trade such as Starlin Castro, it would come at the cost of Zack Wheeler or Noah Syndergaard, which I doubt the Mets want to lose at this point. Lowrie would be a two to three year deal type of player who could earn an extension. Another veteran too to go along with newly acquired Michael Cuddyer to lead this young team.
San Francisco Giants - P Francisco Liriano: Bring home Francisco Liriano. Liriano was originally drafted by the San Francisco Giants and was a part of a trade being sent to Minnesota along with Joe Nathan for A.J. Pierzynski. In Minnesota, Liriano had a decent amount of good seasons and started battling serious arm injuries. Liriano had the surgeries and came back and found a home in Pittsburgh. Clint Hurdle revived the once dominant Liriano, Another team who knows how to revive pitchers is San Francisco. Ryan Vogelsong is a name who battled to make rosters and bounced around and found life in San Francisco. Giants look to let Vogelsong walk and Hudson seems to set 2015 his last season of his career, and another veteran would be a nice add. For a two to three deal, I think working with the World Series Champion pitching staff led by Dave Righetti would be a nice fit for Liriano and the Giants.
Pittsburgh Pirates - Trade 1B/3B Pedro Alvarez to San Diego Padres for P Ian Kennedy: This trade is beneficial for both teams needing a change of scenery. Pedro Alvarez has 25-35 home run potential every season and the Padres let Anthony Rizzo go in a trade to the Cubs. Pirates look to lose Francisco Liriano and Edinson Volquez and their rotation could use a boost. In Pittsburgh, Ian Kennedy can still use his dominant stuff and not be required to be the team's number 1 starter like he was in San Diego. Sliding Kennedy into the two or three slot to accompany Gerrit Cole and A.J. Burnett would make a scary 1-2-3 punch. Pedro Alvarez needs the biggest fresh start of anyone, and San Diego is looking for bats. He would be a nice acquisition in the middle of a runs-depleted offense in San Diego. Great trade for the Pirates and Padres.
Seattle Mariners - OF/DH Delmon Young: Still only 29 years old, Delmon Young is probably in the prime of his career. Mariners are desperate for bats and GM Jack Zduriencik has made that a priority this offseason. The M's were one game away from making the playoffs, and their bats failed them to get there. While the M's can still spend or trade to bring in a big time bat, with Baltimore and Detroit, Delmon Young has provided clutch hits and production in the lineup. With Young, you're getting his bat for pinch hitting, designated hitting, and occasional defense to give rest for some of the other better defensive options in the outfield. He can be signed for anywhere from one to three years for a very reasonable price.
San Francisco Giants - 3B/1B Chase Headley: This prediction is if Pablo Sandoval leaves San Francisco. Losing Pablo would be a big loss for a guy who improved his defense tremendously and is one of the most clutch playoff players in baseball. While it would be a sad day for Giants fans, this option wouldn't be so bad. Headley is an NL West guy who was traded to New York last season to fill the third base void for the Yankees. Headley is a switch hitter just like Pablo Sandoval and is a good defensive third baseman when healthy. The last couple years he has been dealing with injuries after his big 2012 season. While he strikes out quite a bit, he is a patient hitter and finds ways to get on base. It wouldn't be a bad thing if Pablo Sandoval leaves, since this move would allow the Giants to feel comfortable and not worry how to fill the third base void. Headley can bat anywhere from third in the lineup to sixth. Pablo is going to want big money so this is a good option if they wish to add additional players as well.
New York Mets - SS/2B Jed Lowrie: Each year, there is one position the Mets fail to find some consistency and that is the infield. Mets were hampered by injuries last season and Terry Collins led them to a decent season. Mets found a solution that worked where they could trade Ike Davis to open up first base for Lucas Duda, and the outfield filled its holes with Curtis Granderson, Juan Lagares, and newly signed Michael Cuddyer. The Mets weakest position last season was shortstop and a move to sign Jed Lowrie may not be such a bad idea. Mets have Wilmer Flores waiting but shortstop may not be the best fit for him. Daniel Murphy is still at second base and some day the Mets may look to deal him for some players in return. Flores could be moved to second base or when David Wright moves on, they could slide him to third base. Mets have the starting pitching to keep them in games, and some consistency at shortstop is what they need. Lowrie is a veteran who has been to the playoffs with the Red Sox and the A's and has leadership. Lowrie is a gap hitter where he should thrive in Citi Field. If the Mets try to acquire a big time shortstop via trade such as Starlin Castro, it would come at the cost of Zack Wheeler or Noah Syndergaard, which I doubt the Mets want to lose at this point. Lowrie would be a two to three year deal type of player who could earn an extension. Another veteran too to go along with newly acquired Michael Cuddyer to lead this young team.
San Francisco Giants - P Francisco Liriano: Bring home Francisco Liriano. Liriano was originally drafted by the San Francisco Giants and was a part of a trade being sent to Minnesota along with Joe Nathan for A.J. Pierzynski. In Minnesota, Liriano had a decent amount of good seasons and started battling serious arm injuries. Liriano had the surgeries and came back and found a home in Pittsburgh. Clint Hurdle revived the once dominant Liriano, Another team who knows how to revive pitchers is San Francisco. Ryan Vogelsong is a name who battled to make rosters and bounced around and found life in San Francisco. Giants look to let Vogelsong walk and Hudson seems to set 2015 his last season of his career, and another veteran would be a nice add. For a two to three deal, I think working with the World Series Champion pitching staff led by Dave Righetti would be a nice fit for Liriano and the Giants.
Pittsburgh Pirates - Trade 1B/3B Pedro Alvarez to San Diego Padres for P Ian Kennedy: This trade is beneficial for both teams needing a change of scenery. Pedro Alvarez has 25-35 home run potential every season and the Padres let Anthony Rizzo go in a trade to the Cubs. Pirates look to lose Francisco Liriano and Edinson Volquez and their rotation could use a boost. In Pittsburgh, Ian Kennedy can still use his dominant stuff and not be required to be the team's number 1 starter like he was in San Diego. Sliding Kennedy into the two or three slot to accompany Gerrit Cole and A.J. Burnett would make a scary 1-2-3 punch. Pedro Alvarez needs the biggest fresh start of anyone, and San Diego is looking for bats. He would be a nice acquisition in the middle of a runs-depleted offense in San Diego. Great trade for the Pirates and Padres.
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Why Mike Trout Should Not Win the AL MVP
With the MVP awards for the National and American League coming up, for both leagues there is a lot of questions and uncertainty who the award should go to. In the NL, you have Clayton Kershaw who had a historical season and was basically dominant, with the question looming should a pitcher win the MVP award? In the American League, that question isn't an issue. For the last two seasons, we have seen Miguel Cabrera dominate the American League on his way to two MVP's. In each of those two seasons, Mike Trout continually fell short. In 2014, Miguel is not in discussion or eligible for the award with the finalists being another Detroit Tiger; Victor Martinez, Cleveland Indians outfielder Michael Brantley, and another appearance from Mike Trout. Since Miguel Cabrera is not in the running, some are finally saying Mike Trout deserves an MVP award. Yes he does deserve one and I don't doubt that he will win at least once in my generation, but is 2014 the year he gets his first MVP? If a vote was awarded to me, I wouldn't pick Mike Trout. Here are four reasons why:
1. High Strike Outs for Trout - I am not sure why his strike out rate was high this season, but my guess is he was trying hard for power, or pitchers have known how to throw to him. Trout hit an impressive 36 home runs this year, but a knack for the fences and the desire to destroy the ball when he hit resulted in a lot of strike outs. Here is a comparison of the amount of at-bats and the strikeouts Trout, Martinez, and Brantley had:
Trout: 602 AB; 184 Strike Outs
Martinez: 561 AB: 42 Strike Outs
Brantley: 611 AB: 56 Strike Outs
2. 98 Wins for the Angels is Deceiving - Those MLB-leading 98 wins are impressive, but Mike Trout is not responsible for all of those wins. Angels saw a significant change in their pitching staff this season with the reemergence of Jered Weaver and the rise of Garret Richards and the rookie Matt Shoemaker. Angels also found a way to develop a decent bullpen. Albert Pujols and Howie Kendrick were a significant part of producing runs in that offense. Those 98 wins were a team effort.
3. Trout Shied Away from Steals in 2014 - When Mike Trout came up to the majors, he played hard-nosed baseball, with the hustle of the greatest effort baseball the game has ever seen, Pete Rose. Trout was a balanced hitter who used speed to his advantage, Trout has athleticism like no other, and this season he shied away from relying on his athletic ability and worked on just skilled hitting. That is not a bad thing, but for a guy who was going for 40-50 steals a season to 16 is an odd decrease. Trout's attempts were down majorly this year as well. Not sure if it was a personal choice or a coaching staff decision how to use Mike Trout, but the lack of steals I think is one of the top reasons why he shouldn't win the award. Here are Trout's stealing statistics from 2012 to 2014.
2012 - 49
2013 - 33
2014 - 16
4. Trout's Batting Average Took a Huge Hit in 2014 - In 2012 & 2013, Trout was hitting in the .320's to .330's. In 2014, Trout finished with a career low .287. For some, that is considered a good batting average for the whole season, but for a guy who is being considered by some to be the next face of Major League Baseball, they shouldn't be batting below .290. Towards the end of the regular season, Trout was having a large slump and his average kept dipping. To the likes of the other finalists for the AL MVP (Martinez and Brantley), they separate themselves largely from Trout. Here is their batting average comparisons:
Martinez - .335
Brantley - .327
Trout - .287
Mike Trout should be considered an MVP candidate every year and he is going to get an MVP award. There's a good chance that the media pushes for it to happen this season. Victor Martinez doesn't play in the field anymore and focuses strictly on batting. As a designated hitter, Martinez should be a good hitter and he had an incredible season for a guy a couple seasons removed from a serious knee injury and at the age he is. Michael Brantley, continually gets better each season, and this season broke out in almost every category and finished top 5 in a lot of categories. Brantley also had no offense to back him up so he was responsible for a bulk load of it. If I had the vote, I would crown Michael Brantley, who's attention could be stolen from the 2014 AL Cy Young Award winner, Corey Kluber. Also, Michael Brantley was one of two players to finish at 200 hits or more (Jose Altuve the other). Mike Trout I feel is going to receive votes to make up for the 2012 and 2013 seasons, because of guilt and not strictly baseball-related. The baseball writers need to get the vote right and it should come down to Martinez vs. Brantley for the MVP award. Mike Trout does not deserve the 2014 AL MVP.
1. High Strike Outs for Trout - I am not sure why his strike out rate was high this season, but my guess is he was trying hard for power, or pitchers have known how to throw to him. Trout hit an impressive 36 home runs this year, but a knack for the fences and the desire to destroy the ball when he hit resulted in a lot of strike outs. Here is a comparison of the amount of at-bats and the strikeouts Trout, Martinez, and Brantley had:
Trout: 602 AB; 184 Strike Outs
Martinez: 561 AB: 42 Strike Outs
Brantley: 611 AB: 56 Strike Outs
2. 98 Wins for the Angels is Deceiving - Those MLB-leading 98 wins are impressive, but Mike Trout is not responsible for all of those wins. Angels saw a significant change in their pitching staff this season with the reemergence of Jered Weaver and the rise of Garret Richards and the rookie Matt Shoemaker. Angels also found a way to develop a decent bullpen. Albert Pujols and Howie Kendrick were a significant part of producing runs in that offense. Those 98 wins were a team effort.
3. Trout Shied Away from Steals in 2014 - When Mike Trout came up to the majors, he played hard-nosed baseball, with the hustle of the greatest effort baseball the game has ever seen, Pete Rose. Trout was a balanced hitter who used speed to his advantage, Trout has athleticism like no other, and this season he shied away from relying on his athletic ability and worked on just skilled hitting. That is not a bad thing, but for a guy who was going for 40-50 steals a season to 16 is an odd decrease. Trout's attempts were down majorly this year as well. Not sure if it was a personal choice or a coaching staff decision how to use Mike Trout, but the lack of steals I think is one of the top reasons why he shouldn't win the award. Here are Trout's stealing statistics from 2012 to 2014.
2012 - 49
2013 - 33
2014 - 16
4. Trout's Batting Average Took a Huge Hit in 2014 - In 2012 & 2013, Trout was hitting in the .320's to .330's. In 2014, Trout finished with a career low .287. For some, that is considered a good batting average for the whole season, but for a guy who is being considered by some to be the next face of Major League Baseball, they shouldn't be batting below .290. Towards the end of the regular season, Trout was having a large slump and his average kept dipping. To the likes of the other finalists for the AL MVP (Martinez and Brantley), they separate themselves largely from Trout. Here is their batting average comparisons:
Martinez - .335
Brantley - .327
Trout - .287
Mike Trout should be considered an MVP candidate every year and he is going to get an MVP award. There's a good chance that the media pushes for it to happen this season. Victor Martinez doesn't play in the field anymore and focuses strictly on batting. As a designated hitter, Martinez should be a good hitter and he had an incredible season for a guy a couple seasons removed from a serious knee injury and at the age he is. Michael Brantley, continually gets better each season, and this season broke out in almost every category and finished top 5 in a lot of categories. Brantley also had no offense to back him up so he was responsible for a bulk load of it. If I had the vote, I would crown Michael Brantley, who's attention could be stolen from the 2014 AL Cy Young Award winner, Corey Kluber. Also, Michael Brantley was one of two players to finish at 200 hits or more (Jose Altuve the other). Mike Trout I feel is going to receive votes to make up for the 2012 and 2013 seasons, because of guilt and not strictly baseball-related. The baseball writers need to get the vote right and it should come down to Martinez vs. Brantley for the MVP award. Mike Trout does not deserve the 2014 AL MVP.
Friday, October 17, 2014
The Giants Understand the Playoffs
The San Francisco Giants wrapped up the 2014 NLCS series in exciting fashion on journeyman and familiar face in the organization, Travis Ishikawa's three-run home run in the bottom of the 9th inning of Game 5. Giants had the fight and drive to do all in their power and what was given to them to stay in San Francisco and finish off the series. Cardinals were a familiar opponent and both teams excel at handling tough situations. Mike Matheny, a former catcher of Bruce Bochy's San Francisco ball club, came up empty-handed once again, but both show much respect for one another. A series of fielding errors, pitching decisions, and a series-changing injury to Yadier Molina hurt the Cardinals chances for advancement to the 2014 World Series and for an anticipated Missouri World Series. Giants are a hard team to figure out who seem lately to excel in seasons where it is an even year. During the regular season, they dealt with injuries to key guys and inconsistencies from positions that needed to be addressed. Quietly, Brian Sabean made all the right moves for this team, but not in a way most fans would've directed their attention to. Opposed to making a move "just because", Brian Sabean chose to look down in the minors and pick out guys who he felt were ready to make the jump to the big leagues. Pulling out players from Richmond and Fresno with names such as: Joe Panik, Andrew Susac, Juan Perez, Matt Duffy, Hunter Strickland, Adam Duvall, and Bruce Bochy's own son, Brett. When Angel Pagan went down to back injuries, Hector Sanchez dealing with a concussion, Matt Cain having season-ending surgery, Tim Lincecum being removed from the starting rotation, and Brandon Belt's broken wrist and concussion, the Giants season looked bleak and headed south with looks of preparation for next season. Giants started the year with an impressive start, but the injuries soon took storm and left the season with questions. As a result, Sabean won the day and this team saw a spark to finish out the year and found a way to lock up a wild-card spot. Is this a sign of luck or is this done from remarkable work of the Giants front office and coaching staff? It boils down to whatever situations are handed to the Giants, they seem to find solutions to their problems and respond. It is safe to say, the San Francisco Giants aren't lucky, they just understand the playoffs. The Giants have had the likes of Willie Mays, Barry Bonds, Willie McCovey, Juan Marichal, Jeff Kent, Will Clark, Matt Williams, and not once could any of them bring a World Title to San Francisco. The genius of Bruce Bochy, his staff, and the Giants front office started in 2010 with the World Series championship. Playoffs always bring out heroes, but Giants always find a way to have multiple heroes to their seasons. In 2010, Cody Ross, Tim Lincecum, Buster Posey, Edgar Renteria, Madison Bumgarner, and Juan Uribe were the key contributors to their first World Championship. When 2012 came, Angel Pagan, Marco Scutaro, Hunter Pence, Tim Lincecum (from the bullpen), Javier Lopez, Pablo Sandoval, and Brandon Belt were big parts to their second championship. In 2014, Joe Panik, Pablo Sandoval, Madison Bumgarner, Yusmiero Petit, Travis Ishikawa, Brandon Crawford, Hunter Pence, and Matt Duffy have been key contributors to the success they've earned this postseason. Giants know how to bring the best out of their players The World Series is now here and the Giants face a tough Royals team who plays with the same grit the Giants play with. The winner of this World Series will come down to experience and coaching, and that falls in the favor of the San Francisco Giants, who will look to end the mojo the Royals have created this postseason. For a team who looks to ride the regular season comfortably and make you scratch your head, when October comes around, the Giants seem to find a new identity and use it well to their advantage. Royals are a great ball club this season, but the playoffs speaks for the Giants DNA when Bruce Bochy is at the helm. The great coaches are the ones who can adjust what is thrown their way and find a way to respond, and that is Bruce Bochy. It can be called luck or skill, but as I stated earlier, the Giants understand the playoffs and know how to win.
13 Potential Break Out Players for the 2014-2015 NBA Season
In the 2013-2014 NBA season, we saw a Miami Heat team lose to the San Antonio Spurs in the finals which officially broke up "The Big 3". Chris Bosh and Dwayne Wade decided to stay in Miami, while LeBron left to go back to Cleveland. Other surprising moves in the offseason was the 3 team trade of Kevin Love to Cleveland, with Minnesota receiving Andrew Wiggins, Anthony Bennett, and Thaddeus Young in return. Lance Stephenson bolted Indiana and find his way in Charlotte who was a surprising team who made it to the playoffs. Stephenson boosts their guard play and should see a duplicate season from the Hornets. The 2014-2015 season is a season to start fresh and we always see guys outperform their projections. Here is a list of ten guys, some who are already solid players or guys waiting to break out, I predict to have the projections exceeded:
1. SG Bradley Beal (Washington Wizards) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.9% FG, 40.2% 3P FG, 78.8% FT, 17.1 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.3 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Bradley Beal is only 21 years old and came into the league at age 19. Beal only attended Florida for one season until he was drafted by the Washington Wizards with the 3rd pick in the 2012 NBA Draft. In high school and college ball, Beal used his athleticism to get to the basket and step out to hit the three pointer. With the Wizards young and stellar guard play, Beal has formed chemistry with another rising star in John Wall. Wizards have taken some time to develop this team and they look ready to make noise again in the Eastern Conference. Unfortunately, Beal broke his wrist in preseason and is out 6-8 weeks. Wizards shouldn't lose a step, but this may affect Beal from being the break out player I thought he would. He should improve this season regardless of the injury.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 42.7% FG, 38.9% 3P, 81.2% FT, 18.8 PPG. 4.3 RPG, 3.2 APG, 1.3 SPG, 0.3 BPG
2. SG Klay Thompson (Golden State Warriors) 2013-2014 Stats: 44.4% FG, 41.7% 3P FG, 79.5% FT, 18.4 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 2.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.5 BPG
Klay Thompson falls on the break out list again this season because I feel he can make an even big jump from the season before. In the offseason, Klay Thompson has got to play with Team USA and play against our country's best in practices. Coach K made sure to get the best out of Klay this summer and he was hitting shots consistently. If he can transition his Team USA play on offense and the improvements on his defense, he has an offensive-friendly coach awaiting him in Steve Kerr. Steve Kerr knows a thing or two about shooting and hitting three pointers. What has been lethal guard play by Klay Thompson and Steph Curry, could exactly get more lethal if the rest of the team gels and learns to this offense. Steve Kerr wants to cut back on Steph Curry's minutes this year as well as utilize him more on the catch-and-shoot. For adjusting Steph Curry's game, that should allow to open it up for Klay Thompson. I expect big things out of Klay Thompson this season.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.6% FG, 42.8% 3P FG, 81.7% FT, 20.2 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 2.1 APG, 1.3 SPG, 0.7 BPG
3. PF Serge Ibaka (Oklahoma City Thunder) 2013-2014 Stats: 53.6% FG, 38.3% 3P FG, 78.4% FT, 15.1 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 1.0 APG, 2.7 BPG, 0.5 SPG
Serge Ibaka is already a star in this league and shows this year-to-year. Ibaka is one of the best shot blockers in the game along with Anthony Davis, Andre Drummond, DeAndre Jordan, Tim Duncan, and Dwight Howard. Ibaka is lengthy with freakishly long arms and large hands to get up and block the shots. Oklahoma City Thunder had a dilemma in the past to pay for Ibaka or Harden and they chose the Ibaka route and it has paid off. With Kevin Durant now out for the first two months of the season with a Jones fracture of the foot, Thunder will now have to rely on Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka to carry this team until Durant returns to playing. This should increase Ibaka's minutes as well as scoring opportunities.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 53.2 FG%, 35.2% 3P FG, 77.2% FT, 17.7 PPG, 9.6 RPG, 2.5 BPG, 1.2 APG. 0.8 SPG
4. PG Jeff Teague (Atlanta Hawks) 2013-2014 Stats: 43.8% FG, 32.9% 3P FG, 84.6% FT, 16.5 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 6.7 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Jeff Teague had a solid past season which help lead a depleted Hawks roster due to injuries into the playoffs as an 8 seed and almost advancing. Al Horford was lost early in the year for the whole season a vital part to their front court. Paul Millsap and Jeff Teague enjoyed a breakout season in the absence of Horford. With Horford back now, and the Hawks addressing defense in the draft in free agency, their players should create more offense opportunities off turnovers and solid offense. Teague should be one of those players who sees his numbers go up again and someone who made a name for himself in the playoffs. I expect Teague to carry over last season's success and then some.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 44.8% FG, 35.2% 3P FG, 85.3 FT%, 17.9 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 7.6 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG
5. PF Mason Plumlee (Brooklyn Nets) 2013-2014 Stats: 65.9% FG, 62.6% FT, 7.4 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 0.9 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.8 BPG
This is not the first Plumlee we have seen make an impact in the NBA. Riding the bench in Indiana, Miles Plumlee needed that trade to have a break out season in Phoenix. Here is another Plumlee who's up for a break out season. For being limited to 18 minutes a game last season as a rookie Plumlee took advantage and made a statement for why he was taken in the first round. Ahead of Plumlee he has Kevin Garnett who's trying to grab any momentum for production and who could possibly come off the bench this point of his career (Elton Brand for example). Plumlee is young, energetic, and has gained some experience playing for Team USA this past summer against the league's finest players. Brook Lopez is back now and will eat some post minutes, but Plumlee should be able to steal some minutes from Garnett. Plumlee can get 24-25 minutes and rotate with Lopez and Garnett this season. Mason could have a break out year.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 57.2% FG, 64.5 FT%, 12.5 PPG 8.1 RPG, 1.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 1.3 BPG
6. SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Detroit Pistons) 2013-2014 Stats: 39.6% FG, 31.9% 3P FG, 77.0% FT, 5.9 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 0.7 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Kentavious was a rookie last season for a disaster Pistons team. Ever since their early 2000's teams, they've been mediocre since. The Pistons have dealt with shaky coaches, and general managers paying the wrong guys big money (aka Josh Smith). Josh Smith is a good player but he is not a super star. Smith is a complementary player. Pistons decided to get some experience and signed Stan Van Gundy to coach their game and runs the team's operations. Van Gundy is good at getting his big men and outside shooters active. Rodney Stuckey is gone now, and Kyle Singler looks like a 6th man off the bench. This opens the door for the 2013 8th overall pick, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. Pope got limited minutes last season and that could change this year with a new coach, new offense, and players who have left the team. Kentavious has the chance to shine with good passers being able to kick it out to him for the catch-and-shoot. Kentavious is also a decent perimeter defender as well creating turnovers. I expect a break out from Caldwell-Pope.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.1% FG, 36% 3P FG, 79.2% FT, 14.1 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 1.0 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.2 BPG
7. SG Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.4% FG, 34.7% 3P FG, 68.3% FT, 6.8 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 1.9 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.8 BPG
Giannis is an interesting style of player. He kind of fits the mold of Kawahi Leonard in terms of they fit no definitive position. Giannis is the ultimate inbetweener because he has the height of a post, body of a shooting guard, and the play of a small forward so what to do you categorize him as? He fits best at the small forward which I think first year Bucks coach will instill the playbook for Jabari Parker, Brandon Knight, and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Giannis grew again this summer and is only 19 years of age. He is still developing his game and body still, and will be for the next three years in the league. Giannis possesses great athleticism and he can use that to defend the rim or get to the rim. The Bucks have a bright future with the picks they've made the last three years plus acquisitions and free agency signings. Giannis could see an expanded role this year which means more time and more touches as well.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.1%, 35.2% 3P FG, 72.3% FT, 13.7 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 3.6 APG, 1.3 SPG, 1.2 BPG
8. PF Kenneth Faried (Denver Nuggets) 2013-2014 Stats: 54.5% FG, 65.0% FT, 13.7 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 1.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.9 BPG
Kenneth Faried came onto the scene as a surprise this summer for Team USA. It was he and Anthony Davis who dominated the post for Team USA this summer and saw most of the minutes. "The Manimal" is truly a beast when he has the energy. Faried is a high-energy guy who uses his minutes wisely. The only concern is his inconsistency. Faried's game is hot and cold, and this summer he did not show signs of inconsistency. Team USA experience may have been the best option for him and he took advantage of it. Denver came off a mediocre year full of injuries and inexperience head coach Brian Shaw. Shaw and guys who were injured last year are back and ready to contribute as well as an old face from Orlando, Arron Afflalo. Faried has a great supporting cast and will dump it into the post and Faried will see his offensive touches. I see a boom in production offensively and defensively for Faried this season. Got to live up to that contract extension he signed this offseason right?
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 55.7% FG, 66.4% FT, 15.2 PPG, 9.4 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.3 BPG
9. SG Rodney Stuckey (Indiana Pacers) 2013-2014 Stats: 43.6% FG, 27.3% 3P FG, 83.6% FT, 13.9 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 2.1 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.1 BPG
Rodney Stuckey has stayed within in the division and signed with Indiana this offseason. Stuckey put up consistent numbers for 7 years in Detroit but was never a part of a winning culture. Stuckey chose Indiana who has been a consistent team and have gone deep in the playoffs. This season, there is no Paul George, Danny Granger, Evan Turner, or Lance Stephenson. Those are scorers the team relied on last year from the wing. Stuckey has entered an empty field of guards and automatically assumes starting shooting guard this season. Pacers are good at moving the ball and should create opportunities for Stuckey to score and get to the free throw line. Stuckey could be a big part for this Pacers team that is down this season.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 44.6%, 29.1% 3P FG, 84.7% FT, 16.2 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.7 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG
10. C Derrick Favors (Utah Jazz) 2013-2014 Stats: 52.2% FG, 66.9% FT, 13.3 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.5 BPG
Derrick Favors was one of those highly recruited posts and highly praised draft prospects and the Utah Jazz took advantage and received Favors in a trade from New Jersey (at the time) for Derrick Deron Williams and other players. Favors played one season at Georgia Tech and he is still fairly young for the league at age 23. Favors has a solid array of balance on offense and defense, but is stuck in a rotation for a crowded front court between Enes Kanter, Rudy Gobert, and Trevor Booker. Favors is the most valuable of all four and will receive the most minutes. Favors is an exceptional shot blocker and rebounder and has an average offensive game. He was hampered by a hip injury last season and other injuries and looks to be healthy so far for this season. Utah had another successful draft in the Australian guard Dante Exum and small forward Rodney Hood from Duke. With the emergence of Gordon Hayward, and a point guard leader in Trey Burke, this create opportunities down low for the posts and lots of touches for Derrick Favors. This season he should exceed expectations we've all been waiting to see.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 54.1% FG, 68.1% FT, 15.5 PPG, 10.1 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.1 SPG, 1.9 BPG
11. PG Darren Collison (Sacramento Kings) 2013-2014 Stats: 46.7% FG, 37.6% 3P FG, 85.7% FT, 11.4 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Darren Collison was highly touted point guard in college who became average in the NBA. Collison is a solid back up point guard who has played on some good teams, most recently with the Los Angeles Clippers. Collison has always found himself in backup roles. When injuries occurred for other players on the team Collison stepped in real nicely. Now, this year in Sacramento, he is expected to start share duties with Ramon Sessions. Sacramento has a lot of young talent around the point guards who have veteran experience and leadership. Collison should be able to facilitate and feed the ball primarily to DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay, then off to Ben McLemore and others. Collison finally gets the starting nod for now and must live up to the expectations now as a starting guard. Eric Bledsoe made the transition from back-up to starter, so should Darren Collison with a good, young Sacramento talent.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.5% FG, 39.0% 3P FG, 86.5% FT, 13.8 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 5.3 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG
12. SG Victor Oladipo (Orlando Magic) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.9% FG, 32.7% 3P FG, 78.0% FT, 13.8 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 4.1 APG, 1.6 SPG, 0.5 BPG
The NBA's favorite to win Rookie of the Year ended up finishing runner-up last season to Michael Carter-Williams. Oladipo's game was experimental last year so he can establish a position that suits him best. Oladipo is gifted with vision and athleticism and that is good news for an Orlando Magic team who's putting together a good team. With the addition of Elfrid Payton who could win NBA Rookie of the Year, this allows Oladipo and him to create one of the best duos on the perimeter for defense and distributing the ball when on offense. Oladipo's athleticism will drive him to the basket to shoot free throws or will receive a pass for the catch-and-shoot opportunities. Orlando is young and could be dangerous in the next couple years, and Oladipo starting this season could be a big part after Arron Afflalo was traded to Denver. Potential breakout year for Victor.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.9%, 36.2% 3P FG, 80.2% FT, 17.3 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 4.9 APG, 2.0 SPG, 0.6 BPG
13. SG Tony Wroten Jr. (Philadelphia 76ers) 2013-2014 Stats: 42.7% FG, 21.3% 3P FG, 64.1% FT, 13.0 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 3.0 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.2 BPG
For a guy who left school too early, Wroten Jr, has had to work his way onto a team and has earned his way into a starting role at shooting guard this season for now, with K.J. McDaniels being a rookie. Wroten last year filled in for Carter-Williams when he went down with an injury and he filled in just fine. Wroten is not a natural passer and has had to learn, but he does better attacking the basket. Wroten is a poor perimeter shooter, but attacks the basket very well and draws contact. 76ers are going nowhere and are using the draft each year to make their team deeper. This should allow for Wroten to rack up the stat sheet this year.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.4%, 25.7% 3P FG, 66.8% FT, 14.4 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.5 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG
1. SG Bradley Beal (Washington Wizards) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.9% FG, 40.2% 3P FG, 78.8% FT, 17.1 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.3 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Bradley Beal is only 21 years old and came into the league at age 19. Beal only attended Florida for one season until he was drafted by the Washington Wizards with the 3rd pick in the 2012 NBA Draft. In high school and college ball, Beal used his athleticism to get to the basket and step out to hit the three pointer. With the Wizards young and stellar guard play, Beal has formed chemistry with another rising star in John Wall. Wizards have taken some time to develop this team and they look ready to make noise again in the Eastern Conference. Unfortunately, Beal broke his wrist in preseason and is out 6-8 weeks. Wizards shouldn't lose a step, but this may affect Beal from being the break out player I thought he would. He should improve this season regardless of the injury.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 42.7% FG, 38.9% 3P, 81.2% FT, 18.8 PPG. 4.3 RPG, 3.2 APG, 1.3 SPG, 0.3 BPG
2. SG Klay Thompson (Golden State Warriors) 2013-2014 Stats: 44.4% FG, 41.7% 3P FG, 79.5% FT, 18.4 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 2.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.5 BPG
Klay Thompson falls on the break out list again this season because I feel he can make an even big jump from the season before. In the offseason, Klay Thompson has got to play with Team USA and play against our country's best in practices. Coach K made sure to get the best out of Klay this summer and he was hitting shots consistently. If he can transition his Team USA play on offense and the improvements on his defense, he has an offensive-friendly coach awaiting him in Steve Kerr. Steve Kerr knows a thing or two about shooting and hitting three pointers. What has been lethal guard play by Klay Thompson and Steph Curry, could exactly get more lethal if the rest of the team gels and learns to this offense. Steve Kerr wants to cut back on Steph Curry's minutes this year as well as utilize him more on the catch-and-shoot. For adjusting Steph Curry's game, that should allow to open it up for Klay Thompson. I expect big things out of Klay Thompson this season.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.6% FG, 42.8% 3P FG, 81.7% FT, 20.2 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 2.1 APG, 1.3 SPG, 0.7 BPG
3. PF Serge Ibaka (Oklahoma City Thunder) 2013-2014 Stats: 53.6% FG, 38.3% 3P FG, 78.4% FT, 15.1 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 1.0 APG, 2.7 BPG, 0.5 SPG
Serge Ibaka is already a star in this league and shows this year-to-year. Ibaka is one of the best shot blockers in the game along with Anthony Davis, Andre Drummond, DeAndre Jordan, Tim Duncan, and Dwight Howard. Ibaka is lengthy with freakishly long arms and large hands to get up and block the shots. Oklahoma City Thunder had a dilemma in the past to pay for Ibaka or Harden and they chose the Ibaka route and it has paid off. With Kevin Durant now out for the first two months of the season with a Jones fracture of the foot, Thunder will now have to rely on Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka to carry this team until Durant returns to playing. This should increase Ibaka's minutes as well as scoring opportunities.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 53.2 FG%, 35.2% 3P FG, 77.2% FT, 17.7 PPG, 9.6 RPG, 2.5 BPG, 1.2 APG. 0.8 SPG
4. PG Jeff Teague (Atlanta Hawks) 2013-2014 Stats: 43.8% FG, 32.9% 3P FG, 84.6% FT, 16.5 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 6.7 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Jeff Teague had a solid past season which help lead a depleted Hawks roster due to injuries into the playoffs as an 8 seed and almost advancing. Al Horford was lost early in the year for the whole season a vital part to their front court. Paul Millsap and Jeff Teague enjoyed a breakout season in the absence of Horford. With Horford back now, and the Hawks addressing defense in the draft in free agency, their players should create more offense opportunities off turnovers and solid offense. Teague should be one of those players who sees his numbers go up again and someone who made a name for himself in the playoffs. I expect Teague to carry over last season's success and then some.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 44.8% FG, 35.2% 3P FG, 85.3 FT%, 17.9 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 7.6 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG
5. PF Mason Plumlee (Brooklyn Nets) 2013-2014 Stats: 65.9% FG, 62.6% FT, 7.4 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 0.9 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.8 BPG
This is not the first Plumlee we have seen make an impact in the NBA. Riding the bench in Indiana, Miles Plumlee needed that trade to have a break out season in Phoenix. Here is another Plumlee who's up for a break out season. For being limited to 18 minutes a game last season as a rookie Plumlee took advantage and made a statement for why he was taken in the first round. Ahead of Plumlee he has Kevin Garnett who's trying to grab any momentum for production and who could possibly come off the bench this point of his career (Elton Brand for example). Plumlee is young, energetic, and has gained some experience playing for Team USA this past summer against the league's finest players. Brook Lopez is back now and will eat some post minutes, but Plumlee should be able to steal some minutes from Garnett. Plumlee can get 24-25 minutes and rotate with Lopez and Garnett this season. Mason could have a break out year.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 57.2% FG, 64.5 FT%, 12.5 PPG 8.1 RPG, 1.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 1.3 BPG
6. SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Detroit Pistons) 2013-2014 Stats: 39.6% FG, 31.9% 3P FG, 77.0% FT, 5.9 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 0.7 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Kentavious was a rookie last season for a disaster Pistons team. Ever since their early 2000's teams, they've been mediocre since. The Pistons have dealt with shaky coaches, and general managers paying the wrong guys big money (aka Josh Smith). Josh Smith is a good player but he is not a super star. Smith is a complementary player. Pistons decided to get some experience and signed Stan Van Gundy to coach their game and runs the team's operations. Van Gundy is good at getting his big men and outside shooters active. Rodney Stuckey is gone now, and Kyle Singler looks like a 6th man off the bench. This opens the door for the 2013 8th overall pick, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. Pope got limited minutes last season and that could change this year with a new coach, new offense, and players who have left the team. Kentavious has the chance to shine with good passers being able to kick it out to him for the catch-and-shoot. Kentavious is also a decent perimeter defender as well creating turnovers. I expect a break out from Caldwell-Pope.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.1% FG, 36% 3P FG, 79.2% FT, 14.1 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 1.0 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.2 BPG
7. SG Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.4% FG, 34.7% 3P FG, 68.3% FT, 6.8 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 1.9 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.8 BPG
Giannis is an interesting style of player. He kind of fits the mold of Kawahi Leonard in terms of they fit no definitive position. Giannis is the ultimate inbetweener because he has the height of a post, body of a shooting guard, and the play of a small forward so what to do you categorize him as? He fits best at the small forward which I think first year Bucks coach will instill the playbook for Jabari Parker, Brandon Knight, and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Giannis grew again this summer and is only 19 years of age. He is still developing his game and body still, and will be for the next three years in the league. Giannis possesses great athleticism and he can use that to defend the rim or get to the rim. The Bucks have a bright future with the picks they've made the last three years plus acquisitions and free agency signings. Giannis could see an expanded role this year which means more time and more touches as well.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.1%, 35.2% 3P FG, 72.3% FT, 13.7 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 3.6 APG, 1.3 SPG, 1.2 BPG
8. PF Kenneth Faried (Denver Nuggets) 2013-2014 Stats: 54.5% FG, 65.0% FT, 13.7 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 1.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.9 BPG
Kenneth Faried came onto the scene as a surprise this summer for Team USA. It was he and Anthony Davis who dominated the post for Team USA this summer and saw most of the minutes. "The Manimal" is truly a beast when he has the energy. Faried is a high-energy guy who uses his minutes wisely. The only concern is his inconsistency. Faried's game is hot and cold, and this summer he did not show signs of inconsistency. Team USA experience may have been the best option for him and he took advantage of it. Denver came off a mediocre year full of injuries and inexperience head coach Brian Shaw. Shaw and guys who were injured last year are back and ready to contribute as well as an old face from Orlando, Arron Afflalo. Faried has a great supporting cast and will dump it into the post and Faried will see his offensive touches. I see a boom in production offensively and defensively for Faried this season. Got to live up to that contract extension he signed this offseason right?
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 55.7% FG, 66.4% FT, 15.2 PPG, 9.4 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.3 BPG
9. SG Rodney Stuckey (Indiana Pacers) 2013-2014 Stats: 43.6% FG, 27.3% 3P FG, 83.6% FT, 13.9 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 2.1 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.1 BPG
Rodney Stuckey has stayed within in the division and signed with Indiana this offseason. Stuckey put up consistent numbers for 7 years in Detroit but was never a part of a winning culture. Stuckey chose Indiana who has been a consistent team and have gone deep in the playoffs. This season, there is no Paul George, Danny Granger, Evan Turner, or Lance Stephenson. Those are scorers the team relied on last year from the wing. Stuckey has entered an empty field of guards and automatically assumes starting shooting guard this season. Pacers are good at moving the ball and should create opportunities for Stuckey to score and get to the free throw line. Stuckey could be a big part for this Pacers team that is down this season.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 44.6%, 29.1% 3P FG, 84.7% FT, 16.2 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.7 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG
10. C Derrick Favors (Utah Jazz) 2013-2014 Stats: 52.2% FG, 66.9% FT, 13.3 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.5 BPG
Derrick Favors was one of those highly recruited posts and highly praised draft prospects and the Utah Jazz took advantage and received Favors in a trade from New Jersey (at the time) for Derrick Deron Williams and other players. Favors played one season at Georgia Tech and he is still fairly young for the league at age 23. Favors has a solid array of balance on offense and defense, but is stuck in a rotation for a crowded front court between Enes Kanter, Rudy Gobert, and Trevor Booker. Favors is the most valuable of all four and will receive the most minutes. Favors is an exceptional shot blocker and rebounder and has an average offensive game. He was hampered by a hip injury last season and other injuries and looks to be healthy so far for this season. Utah had another successful draft in the Australian guard Dante Exum and small forward Rodney Hood from Duke. With the emergence of Gordon Hayward, and a point guard leader in Trey Burke, this create opportunities down low for the posts and lots of touches for Derrick Favors. This season he should exceed expectations we've all been waiting to see.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 54.1% FG, 68.1% FT, 15.5 PPG, 10.1 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.1 SPG, 1.9 BPG
11. PG Darren Collison (Sacramento Kings) 2013-2014 Stats: 46.7% FG, 37.6% 3P FG, 85.7% FT, 11.4 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Darren Collison was highly touted point guard in college who became average in the NBA. Collison is a solid back up point guard who has played on some good teams, most recently with the Los Angeles Clippers. Collison has always found himself in backup roles. When injuries occurred for other players on the team Collison stepped in real nicely. Now, this year in Sacramento, he is expected to start share duties with Ramon Sessions. Sacramento has a lot of young talent around the point guards who have veteran experience and leadership. Collison should be able to facilitate and feed the ball primarily to DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay, then off to Ben McLemore and others. Collison finally gets the starting nod for now and must live up to the expectations now as a starting guard. Eric Bledsoe made the transition from back-up to starter, so should Darren Collison with a good, young Sacramento talent.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.5% FG, 39.0% 3P FG, 86.5% FT, 13.8 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 5.3 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG
12. SG Victor Oladipo (Orlando Magic) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.9% FG, 32.7% 3P FG, 78.0% FT, 13.8 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 4.1 APG, 1.6 SPG, 0.5 BPG
The NBA's favorite to win Rookie of the Year ended up finishing runner-up last season to Michael Carter-Williams. Oladipo's game was experimental last year so he can establish a position that suits him best. Oladipo is gifted with vision and athleticism and that is good news for an Orlando Magic team who's putting together a good team. With the addition of Elfrid Payton who could win NBA Rookie of the Year, this allows Oladipo and him to create one of the best duos on the perimeter for defense and distributing the ball when on offense. Oladipo's athleticism will drive him to the basket to shoot free throws or will receive a pass for the catch-and-shoot opportunities. Orlando is young and could be dangerous in the next couple years, and Oladipo starting this season could be a big part after Arron Afflalo was traded to Denver. Potential breakout year for Victor.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.9%, 36.2% 3P FG, 80.2% FT, 17.3 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 4.9 APG, 2.0 SPG, 0.6 BPG
13. SG Tony Wroten Jr. (Philadelphia 76ers) 2013-2014 Stats: 42.7% FG, 21.3% 3P FG, 64.1% FT, 13.0 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 3.0 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.2 BPG
For a guy who left school too early, Wroten Jr, has had to work his way onto a team and has earned his way into a starting role at shooting guard this season for now, with K.J. McDaniels being a rookie. Wroten last year filled in for Carter-Williams when he went down with an injury and he filled in just fine. Wroten is not a natural passer and has had to learn, but he does better attacking the basket. Wroten is a poor perimeter shooter, but attacks the basket very well and draws contact. 76ers are going nowhere and are using the draft each year to make their team deeper. This should allow for Wroten to rack up the stat sheet this year.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.4%, 25.7% 3P FG, 66.8% FT, 14.4 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.5 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Sunday, October 12, 2014
Why Madison Bumgarner Does Not Get Enough Credit
In 2010, Madison Bumgarner and Buster Posey were two rookies who made a contribution to leading the city of San Francisco to their first ever World Series. As NL Rookie of the Year and winning the 2010 World Series, Buster Posey stole the show and became the face the of San Francisco Giants and it's biggest star since Barry Lamar Bonds. Giants already had a starting staff of All Star Matt Cain, 2 time Cy Young Award winner Tim Lincecum, along with Barry Zito and Jonathan Sanchez to round out the rotation. Bumgarner, was a big part at age 21 and a rookie in the league, in helping the Giants win the 2010 World Series. From 2011 to this day, Madison Bumgarner has improved year-after-year whether his team puts together a winning or losing team. Madison Bumgarner has quietly put together his game at a high level that gets overlooked by Clayton Kershaw, Felix Hernandez, Adam Wainwright, Cliff Lee, Max Scherzer, Justin Verlander, Jon Lester, and Stephen Strasburg. Bumgarner is not a man for attention. He just goes out there and gets the job done. Bumgarner's game isn't flashy, but he finds a way to get guys out swinging and by putting the ball out in play to let his defense make the outs. Clayton Kershaw is very difficult to land a hit off in games and hitters tend to fear he is going to pitch eight to nine innings a game. Madison Bumgarner doesn't instill that fear, but he finds ways to get hitters out. Madison isn't invincible and hitters tend to rack up hits, but he has a low walk rate and holds the runners on. Bumgarner works his way into the some of top categories in baseball statistics every season, but there is one thing that separates himself from the rest: He was born for the playoffs.
At age 25, through the 4 years Bumgarner has been in the playoffs, he currently holds the MLB record in the playoffs for the lowest ERA in road starts. His ERA of 0.53 is lower than the likes of Hall of Famers Bob Gibson, Sandy Koufax, and to be Hall of Famer Mariano Rivera. Of the starting pitchers who get attention, they don't even fit in this category nor have some even smelled the playoffs. That stat is incredible and Bumgarner always seems to be consistent through regular season and the playoffs. Clayton Kershaw will always be credited as the best pitcher in baseball and the National League, but if I were to reevaluate what makes the best pitcher, I would simply put Madison Bumgarner at the top. Here is a look of the career playoff statistics so far for Madison Bumgarner and Clayton Kershaw:
Clayton Kershaw - 4 Playoff Appearances, 11 Games Played, 8 Games Started, 51 IP, 1-5 5.12 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 58 K's 0 World Series
Madison Bumgarner - 3 Playoff Appearances, 9 Games Played, 8 Games Started 51.2 IP, 4-3 2.96 ERA, 1.08 WHIP 48 K's 2 World Series
Some may argue, Clayton Kershaw doesn't have the supporting cast or staff the San Francisco Giants had in the success to their 2 World Series Championships. I will give them that, but you can't discredit the imbalance of Clayton Kershaw in the regular season and when he reaches the playoffs. In the regular season, Clayton Kershaw is not human. When the playoffs come around, he is a different kind of pitcher and someone who needs to mentally work on his game to step up in the playoffs.
Madison Bumgarner is only 25 years old and Clayton Kershaw is 26 years old. These two will be battling it out for the next decade and will continue to electrify. While it may not be the popular vote, if I am starting one game (home or away) and you need one pitcher to help you win that game, I am putting the ball in Madison Bumgarner's hand and letting him lead my team. I would choose Madison Bumgarner over the likes of Clayton Kershaw, Felix Hernandez and others. Buster Posey has company in San Francisco, Madison Bumgarner is another top face right next to him.
At age 25, through the 4 years Bumgarner has been in the playoffs, he currently holds the MLB record in the playoffs for the lowest ERA in road starts. His ERA of 0.53 is lower than the likes of Hall of Famers Bob Gibson, Sandy Koufax, and to be Hall of Famer Mariano Rivera. Of the starting pitchers who get attention, they don't even fit in this category nor have some even smelled the playoffs. That stat is incredible and Bumgarner always seems to be consistent through regular season and the playoffs. Clayton Kershaw will always be credited as the best pitcher in baseball and the National League, but if I were to reevaluate what makes the best pitcher, I would simply put Madison Bumgarner at the top. Here is a look of the career playoff statistics so far for Madison Bumgarner and Clayton Kershaw:
Clayton Kershaw - 4 Playoff Appearances, 11 Games Played, 8 Games Started, 51 IP, 1-5 5.12 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 58 K's 0 World Series
Madison Bumgarner - 3 Playoff Appearances, 9 Games Played, 8 Games Started 51.2 IP, 4-3 2.96 ERA, 1.08 WHIP 48 K's 2 World Series
Some may argue, Clayton Kershaw doesn't have the supporting cast or staff the San Francisco Giants had in the success to their 2 World Series Championships. I will give them that, but you can't discredit the imbalance of Clayton Kershaw in the regular season and when he reaches the playoffs. In the regular season, Clayton Kershaw is not human. When the playoffs come around, he is a different kind of pitcher and someone who needs to mentally work on his game to step up in the playoffs.
Madison Bumgarner is only 25 years old and Clayton Kershaw is 26 years old. These two will be battling it out for the next decade and will continue to electrify. While it may not be the popular vote, if I am starting one game (home or away) and you need one pitcher to help you win that game, I am putting the ball in Madison Bumgarner's hand and letting him lead my team. I would choose Madison Bumgarner over the likes of Clayton Kershaw, Felix Hernandez and others. Buster Posey has company in San Francisco, Madison Bumgarner is another top face right next to him.
Thursday, October 9, 2014
Returning Ducks 2015
Returning:
WR Chance Allen
CB Arrion Springs
S Tyree Robinson
QB Ty Griffin
WR Devon Allen
CB Dominique Harrison
WR Charles Nelson
S Reggie Daniels
WR Bralon Addison
OLB Justin Hollins
QB Taylor Alie
DB Chris Seisay
WR Jalen Brown
QB Morgan Mahalak
DB Juwaan Williams
LB Jimmy Swain
RB Tony James
RB Royce Freeman
S Mattrell McGraw
WR BJ Kelley
RB Thomas Tyner
DB Glen Ihenacho
DB Khalil Oliver
LB Johnny Ragan III
CB Stephen Amoako
LB Tyson Coleman
LB Joe Walker
LB Rodney Hardrick
K Matt Wogan
DT Austin Maloata
LB Danny Mattingly
DT Tui Talia
DT Alex Balducci
OL Doug Brenner
OG Tyler Johnstone
OT Matt Pierson
OT Braden Eggert
OT Andre Yruretagoyena
OT Tyrell Crosby
OG Jake Pisarcik
OG Haniteli Lousi
OG Cameron Hunt
OL Evan Voeller
TE Evan Baylis
WR Zac Schuller
TE Johnny Mundt
DT Stetzon Bair
TE Pharaoh Brown
LB Torrodney Prevot
WR Darren Carrington
WR Dwayne Stanford
DL Henry Mondeaux
LB Christian French
DT Jalen Jelks
DT Sam Kamp
DE TJ Daniel
Losing:
WR Keanon Lowe
QB Marcus Mariota
WR Byron Marshall
WR Johnathan Lloyd
CB Troy Hill
CB Dior Mathis
CB Ifo Ekpre-Olomu
LB Derrick Malone
OG Hamani Stevens
OC Hronnis Grassu
OT Jake Fisher
LB Tony Washington
S Erik Dargan
Questionable Return:
RB Kani Benoit (Transfer)
DE DeForest Buckner (NFL Draft)
DT Arik Armstead (NFL Draft)
QB Jeff Lockie (Transfer)
Newcomers:
OL Zach Okun
QB Travis Waller
OL Shane Lemieux
RB Malik Lovette
WR Alex Ofodile
RB Taj Griffin
OL Brady Aiello
Monday, October 6, 2014
Why There Is Still A Chance the Ducks Season Is Alive
Over the past weekend, college football saw one of its most competitive and crazy weeks in history with the top 25 literally crumbling. In the top 10, five teams dropped their games, and overall in the top 25, 11 teams lost. Almost half of the top 25 lost their games which leaves a lot to explain. Most notably, the Ducks who were the number 2 ranked team in the land took a bitter loss at home to Arizona by just one score. For the Ducks loss, a lot can be blamed for, but it still comes down to play calling. Ducks have been battling defensive inconsistencies all year long, and have only looked crisp against the big win at the time against Michigan State. The offensive line has taken some blows with two starters being out, but Jake Fisher will be returning for the UCLA game. Bralon Addison has also been a missed play-maker on offense and special teams. Scott Frost has to work with what he's got and he has done a poor job on the play-calling, as well as Don Pellum with the defense. The coordinators have been under-performing and Scott Frost, pulled the card of saying Mariota could be playing a little bit hurt. Marcus Mariota has been doing his share, so it can't be blamed on him for someone who is scrambling for their life and still manages to find ways to tie the game and almost come back and win. There can be a thousand excuses in the book for why Oregon dropped that game against Arizona, but it boils down to that they didn't come prepared to play. The Ducks had a bye week to correct hiccups in their game plan. As Ducks fans are concerned, the loss to Arizona feels like a miss on reaching the National playoff and getting Marcus Mariota a Heisman Trophy. But is it really the end for both of these opportunities? I believe it is still wide open.
Why Oregon can reach the National playoff:
What was encouraging about the loss to Arizona in Week 6, is the Ducks slid only 10 spots to number 12, and the fact 11 teams in the top 25 received a loss. The Ducks still have some tough games left on the schedule, and they have to capitalize against an inconsistent UCLA Bruin and Stanford Cardinal team. Those are their two big wins they need in the regular season to go along with their Michigan State victory. Also, wins against Utah and Oregon State will provide for their resume for the selection committee. Ducks need the Arizona Wildcats to reach the PAC 12 championship and beat them in the inaugural neutral site. If these events occur, and Michigan State who looks like they will go on to reach the Big Ten Championship and win, Ducks should not be passed by the Spartans since they would get a second chance at Arizona and their 19 point victory against Michigan State. Outside the PAC 12, Baylor still has tough bouts with TCU and Oklahoma, and Florida State still has tests with Notre Dame and Louisville. The state of Mississippi is looking really good right now, but now Ole Miss's schedule isn't looking any easier. LSU is clearly not the LSU of old, but a game in Baton Rouge is still tough, and games at Texas A&M, and then Auburn and state rival Mississippi State at home makes it safe to say there's a possibility of two losses. Mississippi State has looked real impressive and have only two tough games left of Alabama and Ole Miss. Auburn has looked like the best SEC team this year, but they also have a tough schedule ahead of them. The SEC could get shaken up the next 3-4 weeks opening up the top 10 in the AP rankings. Florida State looks like the only lock to make the playoff, but the other three spots are wide open for the rest of the season. This will benefit Oregon if they win out and win the PAC 12 Championship.
Why Mariota can still win the Heisman:
As of right now, Marcus Mariota has 1411 yards passing, 15 Passing TD's, 0 INT, 71.1% Completion Rate, QBR of 89.9, and top QB rating in the nation of 202.4, while being sacked 15 times and having a shaky offensive line. The loss is going to hurt Mariota because it is still his team and he will be punished for it, by dropping in some Heisman voters ballots. But should he really? His numbers belong right now as a Heisman candidate, especially in the top 3. The play calling and defense is what have hurt the Ducks. Mariota certainly has done his job at QB. Mariota will slide but with the remaining games can prove what he and the Ducks are made of, and what he does in the PAC 12 Championship if they go on to make it. For Heisman voters, Mariota's character should automatically get the attention of the voters as he is a model citizen and athlete. Jameis Winston and Johnny Manziel got attention for the wrong reasons and show lots of immaturity and a struggle in the maturation department. Since Mississippi State is undefeated and Dak Prescott has put up good numbers, he will most likely be in top 2 in Heisman voting along with Todd Gurley. Mariota should only slide to 5th or 6th in the Heisman voting. There is still 7 games left in the season lots of more losses around college football. If Mariota consistently puts up numbers with wins to go along with his excellent character, Mariota should see himself possibly standing up at that podium hoisting the trophy.
It is easy to write off the Ducks and to call one loss a season-breaker and the "sports media will show no respect for the Ducks", but Marcus Mariota is too much to forget that easily. From covers of SI, to a guy who's character gets recognition for the right things, and a brand that has grown over the years, the Ducks can't be buried. If anything, this loss was a positive and humbling experience. I think one loss adds fuel to their fire to respond and not worry about being perfect anymore. Ducks are getting bodies back. Jake Fisher is back for UCLA game, Bralon Addison and Andre Yruretagoyena should hopefully be back in November. Arik Armstead got hurt in the Arizona game which is concerning for the UCLA game, but I believe the walking boot is just a precaution. He has been an amazing part of the defensive line along with DeForest Buckner this season. Any time a walking boot is discussed we as fans think of the worst, but honestly that is probably best for Arik to compress the ankle and cause it from being injured again before the UCLA game. The season is very much alive for the Oregon Ducks and Marcus Mariota, and it starts with a big game against UCLA.
Why Oregon can reach the National playoff:
What was encouraging about the loss to Arizona in Week 6, is the Ducks slid only 10 spots to number 12, and the fact 11 teams in the top 25 received a loss. The Ducks still have some tough games left on the schedule, and they have to capitalize against an inconsistent UCLA Bruin and Stanford Cardinal team. Those are their two big wins they need in the regular season to go along with their Michigan State victory. Also, wins against Utah and Oregon State will provide for their resume for the selection committee. Ducks need the Arizona Wildcats to reach the PAC 12 championship and beat them in the inaugural neutral site. If these events occur, and Michigan State who looks like they will go on to reach the Big Ten Championship and win, Ducks should not be passed by the Spartans since they would get a second chance at Arizona and their 19 point victory against Michigan State. Outside the PAC 12, Baylor still has tough bouts with TCU and Oklahoma, and Florida State still has tests with Notre Dame and Louisville. The state of Mississippi is looking really good right now, but now Ole Miss's schedule isn't looking any easier. LSU is clearly not the LSU of old, but a game in Baton Rouge is still tough, and games at Texas A&M, and then Auburn and state rival Mississippi State at home makes it safe to say there's a possibility of two losses. Mississippi State has looked real impressive and have only two tough games left of Alabama and Ole Miss. Auburn has looked like the best SEC team this year, but they also have a tough schedule ahead of them. The SEC could get shaken up the next 3-4 weeks opening up the top 10 in the AP rankings. Florida State looks like the only lock to make the playoff, but the other three spots are wide open for the rest of the season. This will benefit Oregon if they win out and win the PAC 12 Championship.
Why Mariota can still win the Heisman:
As of right now, Marcus Mariota has 1411 yards passing, 15 Passing TD's, 0 INT, 71.1% Completion Rate, QBR of 89.9, and top QB rating in the nation of 202.4, while being sacked 15 times and having a shaky offensive line. The loss is going to hurt Mariota because it is still his team and he will be punished for it, by dropping in some Heisman voters ballots. But should he really? His numbers belong right now as a Heisman candidate, especially in the top 3. The play calling and defense is what have hurt the Ducks. Mariota certainly has done his job at QB. Mariota will slide but with the remaining games can prove what he and the Ducks are made of, and what he does in the PAC 12 Championship if they go on to make it. For Heisman voters, Mariota's character should automatically get the attention of the voters as he is a model citizen and athlete. Jameis Winston and Johnny Manziel got attention for the wrong reasons and show lots of immaturity and a struggle in the maturation department. Since Mississippi State is undefeated and Dak Prescott has put up good numbers, he will most likely be in top 2 in Heisman voting along with Todd Gurley. Mariota should only slide to 5th or 6th in the Heisman voting. There is still 7 games left in the season lots of more losses around college football. If Mariota consistently puts up numbers with wins to go along with his excellent character, Mariota should see himself possibly standing up at that podium hoisting the trophy.
It is easy to write off the Ducks and to call one loss a season-breaker and the "sports media will show no respect for the Ducks", but Marcus Mariota is too much to forget that easily. From covers of SI, to a guy who's character gets recognition for the right things, and a brand that has grown over the years, the Ducks can't be buried. If anything, this loss was a positive and humbling experience. I think one loss adds fuel to their fire to respond and not worry about being perfect anymore. Ducks are getting bodies back. Jake Fisher is back for UCLA game, Bralon Addison and Andre Yruretagoyena should hopefully be back in November. Arik Armstead got hurt in the Arizona game which is concerning for the UCLA game, but I believe the walking boot is just a precaution. He has been an amazing part of the defensive line along with DeForest Buckner this season. Any time a walking boot is discussed we as fans think of the worst, but honestly that is probably best for Arik to compress the ankle and cause it from being injured again before the UCLA game. The season is very much alive for the Oregon Ducks and Marcus Mariota, and it starts with a big game against UCLA.
Monday, September 22, 2014
49ers Outlook
Last Sunday night, 49ers saw a comfortable 17-0 lead at their home opener turn into a last minute loss. Looking to shake off the loss, 49ers went into Arizona and experienced yet another blowing loss. As a fan of the 49ers, it is easy to rush to judgment and write them off after 3 games. It is safe to say after the first 3 games of the year, this team is going through some growing pains and some trying times. Against Arizona, Colin Kaepernick found consistency and better decision making against a solid Arizona defense. Kaepernick can not be blamed for the most recent loss. Although Kaepernick showed signs of consistency and what looks like a positive down the road, 49ers had some more issues during that game. Penalties totaling for 107 yards, lack of a running game, the pass rush being stuffed, Greg Roman's play calling, and a bonehead penalty by Anquan Boldin took the 49ers out of this ball game. Does this game indicate the last 13 games of the year will be like this? No, but there are some issues I feel that will linger around this season. The guys the 49ers suited up on Sunday (including the coaching staff) didn't give their all and they missed some bodies on both sides of the ball which would've helped some of the bleeding. There are two issues I find lingering throughout this season on the 49ers: lack of a pass rush and inconsistency of Greg Roman's play calling.
Issue #1: The Pass Rush - In 2011, the 49ers brought in arguably one of the most athletically gifted outside linebackers in quite some time, Aldon Smith. Aldon was setting pace to break some records down the road and place himself with some of the greats of this game. Off-field issues seemed to take over his life the last couple of seasons, clouding his future with the team and the hard decision on whether to cut or keep him. When Aldon Smith is on the field, the defense takes on a different look and adds more fear to defenses. With no Aldon Smith on the field, it doesn't open up the field for other guys to make a play. Aldon Smith can create plays for himself or open it up for the rest of his defense. Currently on the pass rush, the 49ers lack that fear placed on offenses. With Navorro Bowman and Aldon Smith not available, offenses have been able to relax and take advantage of the 49ers defense. 49ers the last couple of seasons have focused on restoring the secondary and haven't paid much attention to boosting the pass rush. Ahmad Brooks is getting older and coming off a great 2013 NFL season but odds are he will never recreate that year. Ray McDonald already has a cloudy present and future in this league, he is easily replaceable. The only current defensive lineman putting pressure on the quarterback is Justin Smith, Corey Lemonier, and Aaron Lynch. Three guys out of a starting front 7 is concerning. 49ers have added some youth in the last couple of drafts but they are not fully ready yet. For the 2015 NFL Draft regardless where the 49ers finish the season, I see them looking to address the pass rush early on, and bring in a play-maker ready to play now. Until Aldon Smith is back to provide pressure and Bowman is inserted back into the lineup after injury to provide tackling and smart plays on defense, the 49ers need their pass rush to step up, otherwise it is a long season for that defense and the team.
Issue #2: Greg Roman - In 2011, 49ers brought in Greg Roman to repair the offense that had been stagnant for half a decade. When Greg Roman came in, he started to create some success on the passing game and establishing the run game. Jim Harbaugh soon arrived from Stanford where Roman was on his coaching staff. In San Francisco, they reunited and provided a magical season in 2012 reaching the Super Bowl and almost winning. Greg Roman has done good things for this team and the offense and saw instant success. For 2013 and currently this year, Greg Roman has seemed to lose some of that magic. Roman has a quarterback who has one of the highest ceilings in the NFL to be successful, and it seems he is bottling him up in his offense, and expects him to perform where Kaepernick has to rush a decision. Against the Bears, Kaepernick threw the ball under 30 times, and this past Sunday he threw close to 40 times. By throwing the ball more this week, Roman abandoned the run game with an abysmal 9 carries between both his running backs. The passing game looked fantastic, but for the 49ers to drive the field, they needed to establish their run game against the Cardinals. The inconsistency each game whether to throw more or run more is hurting the offense and affecting Kaepernick's potential. Harbaugh's future was already becoming shaky this offseason, but if Greg Roman keeps bottling up the potential of the offense and doesn't spread the field, he could be headed out the door before Harbaugh.
This is only three games into the season, but the panic button should be avoided right now. If three more weeks is looking like the first three games, the season may start to cause to open up for judgment. There is still some things to cheer about and Kaepernick looked sharp on his decision-making against the Cardinals. The return of Navorro Bowman & Aldon Smith is near, and both Vernon Davis and Vance McDonald will be back in the coming week it looks like. It has been a stressful season to say the least so far, but it is far from over for disaster to take over, but the pass rush and Greg Roman have to step it up to jolt this team.
Issue #1: The Pass Rush - In 2011, the 49ers brought in arguably one of the most athletically gifted outside linebackers in quite some time, Aldon Smith. Aldon was setting pace to break some records down the road and place himself with some of the greats of this game. Off-field issues seemed to take over his life the last couple of seasons, clouding his future with the team and the hard decision on whether to cut or keep him. When Aldon Smith is on the field, the defense takes on a different look and adds more fear to defenses. With no Aldon Smith on the field, it doesn't open up the field for other guys to make a play. Aldon Smith can create plays for himself or open it up for the rest of his defense. Currently on the pass rush, the 49ers lack that fear placed on offenses. With Navorro Bowman and Aldon Smith not available, offenses have been able to relax and take advantage of the 49ers defense. 49ers the last couple of seasons have focused on restoring the secondary and haven't paid much attention to boosting the pass rush. Ahmad Brooks is getting older and coming off a great 2013 NFL season but odds are he will never recreate that year. Ray McDonald already has a cloudy present and future in this league, he is easily replaceable. The only current defensive lineman putting pressure on the quarterback is Justin Smith, Corey Lemonier, and Aaron Lynch. Three guys out of a starting front 7 is concerning. 49ers have added some youth in the last couple of drafts but they are not fully ready yet. For the 2015 NFL Draft regardless where the 49ers finish the season, I see them looking to address the pass rush early on, and bring in a play-maker ready to play now. Until Aldon Smith is back to provide pressure and Bowman is inserted back into the lineup after injury to provide tackling and smart plays on defense, the 49ers need their pass rush to step up, otherwise it is a long season for that defense and the team.
Issue #2: Greg Roman - In 2011, 49ers brought in Greg Roman to repair the offense that had been stagnant for half a decade. When Greg Roman came in, he started to create some success on the passing game and establishing the run game. Jim Harbaugh soon arrived from Stanford where Roman was on his coaching staff. In San Francisco, they reunited and provided a magical season in 2012 reaching the Super Bowl and almost winning. Greg Roman has done good things for this team and the offense and saw instant success. For 2013 and currently this year, Greg Roman has seemed to lose some of that magic. Roman has a quarterback who has one of the highest ceilings in the NFL to be successful, and it seems he is bottling him up in his offense, and expects him to perform where Kaepernick has to rush a decision. Against the Bears, Kaepernick threw the ball under 30 times, and this past Sunday he threw close to 40 times. By throwing the ball more this week, Roman abandoned the run game with an abysmal 9 carries between both his running backs. The passing game looked fantastic, but for the 49ers to drive the field, they needed to establish their run game against the Cardinals. The inconsistency each game whether to throw more or run more is hurting the offense and affecting Kaepernick's potential. Harbaugh's future was already becoming shaky this offseason, but if Greg Roman keeps bottling up the potential of the offense and doesn't spread the field, he could be headed out the door before Harbaugh.
This is only three games into the season, but the panic button should be avoided right now. If three more weeks is looking like the first three games, the season may start to cause to open up for judgment. There is still some things to cheer about and Kaepernick looked sharp on his decision-making against the Cardinals. The return of Navorro Bowman & Aldon Smith is near, and both Vernon Davis and Vance McDonald will be back in the coming week it looks like. It has been a stressful season to say the least so far, but it is far from over for disaster to take over, but the pass rush and Greg Roman have to step it up to jolt this team.
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