Friday, October 17, 2014

The Giants Understand the Playoffs

The San Francisco Giants wrapped up the 2014 NLCS series in exciting fashion on journeyman and familiar face in the organization, Travis Ishikawa's three-run home run in the bottom of the 9th inning of Game 5. Giants had the fight and drive to do all in their power and what was given to them to stay in San Francisco and finish off the series. Cardinals were a familiar opponent and both teams excel at handling tough situations. Mike Matheny, a former catcher of Bruce Bochy's San Francisco ball club, came up empty-handed once again, but both show much respect for one another. A series of fielding errors, pitching decisions, and a series-changing injury to Yadier Molina hurt the Cardinals chances for advancement to the 2014 World Series and for an anticipated Missouri World Series. Giants are a hard team to figure out who seem lately to excel in seasons where it is an even year. During the regular season, they dealt with injuries to key guys and inconsistencies from positions that needed to be addressed. Quietly, Brian Sabean made all the right moves for this team, but not in a way most fans would've directed their attention to. Opposed to making a move "just because", Brian Sabean chose to look down in the minors and pick out guys who he felt were ready to make the jump to the big leagues. Pulling out players from Richmond and Fresno with names such as: Joe Panik, Andrew Susac, Juan Perez, Matt Duffy, Hunter Strickland, Adam Duvall, and Bruce Bochy's own son, Brett. When Angel Pagan went down to back injuries, Hector Sanchez dealing with a concussion, Matt Cain having season-ending surgery, Tim Lincecum being removed from the starting rotation, and Brandon Belt's broken wrist and concussion, the Giants season looked bleak and headed south with looks of preparation for next season. Giants started the year with an impressive start, but the injuries soon took storm and left the season with questions. As a result, Sabean won the day and this team saw a spark to finish out the year and found a way to lock up a wild-card spot. Is this a sign of luck or is this done from remarkable work of the Giants front office and coaching staff? It boils down to whatever situations are handed to the Giants, they seem to find solutions to their problems and respond. It is safe to say, the San Francisco Giants aren't lucky, they just understand the playoffs. The Giants have had the likes of Willie Mays, Barry Bonds, Willie McCovey, Juan Marichal, Jeff Kent, Will Clark, Matt Williams, and not once could any of them bring a World Title to San Francisco. The genius of Bruce Bochy, his staff, and the Giants front office started in 2010 with the World Series championship. Playoffs always bring out heroes, but Giants always find a way to have multiple heroes to their seasons. In 2010, Cody Ross, Tim Lincecum, Buster Posey, Edgar Renteria, Madison Bumgarner, and Juan Uribe were the key contributors to their first World Championship. When 2012 came, Angel Pagan, Marco Scutaro, Hunter Pence, Tim Lincecum (from the bullpen), Javier Lopez, Pablo Sandoval, and Brandon Belt were big parts to their second championship. In 2014, Joe Panik, Pablo Sandoval, Madison Bumgarner, Yusmiero Petit, Travis Ishikawa, Brandon Crawford, Hunter Pence, and Matt Duffy have been key contributors to the success they've earned this postseason. Giants know how to bring the best out of their players The World Series is now here and the Giants face a tough Royals team who plays with the same grit the Giants play with. The winner of this World Series will come down to experience and coaching, and that falls in the favor of the San Francisco Giants, who will look to end the mojo the Royals have created this postseason. For a team who looks to ride the regular season comfortably and make you scratch your head, when October comes around, the Giants seem to find a new identity and use it well to their advantage. Royals are a great ball club this season, but the playoffs speaks for the Giants DNA when Bruce Bochy is at the helm. The great coaches are the ones who can adjust what is thrown their way and find a way to respond, and that is Bruce Bochy. It can be called luck or skill, but as I stated earlier, the Giants understand the playoffs and know how to win.

13 Potential Break Out Players for the 2014-2015 NBA Season

In the 2013-2014 NBA season, we saw a Miami Heat team lose to the San Antonio Spurs in the finals which officially broke up "The Big 3". Chris Bosh and Dwayne Wade decided to stay in Miami, while LeBron left to go back to Cleveland. Other surprising moves in the offseason was the 3 team trade of Kevin Love to Cleveland, with Minnesota receiving Andrew Wiggins, Anthony Bennett, and Thaddeus Young in return. Lance Stephenson bolted Indiana and find his way in Charlotte who was a surprising team who made it to the playoffs. Stephenson boosts their guard play and should see a duplicate season from the Hornets. The 2014-2015 season is a season to start fresh and we always see guys outperform their projections.  Here is a list of ten guys, some who are already solid players or guys waiting to break out, I predict to have the projections exceeded:

1. SG Bradley Beal (Washington Wizards) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.9% FG, 40.2% 3P FG, 78.8% FT, 17.1 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.3 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Bradley Beal is only 21 years old and came into the league at age 19. Beal only attended Florida for one season until he was drafted by the Washington Wizards with the 3rd pick in the 2012 NBA Draft. In high school and college ball, Beal used his athleticism to get to the basket and step out to hit the three pointer. With the Wizards young and stellar guard play, Beal has formed chemistry with another rising star in John Wall. Wizards have taken some time to develop this team and they look ready to make noise again in the Eastern Conference. Unfortunately, Beal broke his wrist in preseason and is out 6-8 weeks. Wizards shouldn't lose a step, but this may affect Beal from being the break out player I thought he would. He should improve this season regardless of the injury.

Projected 2014-2015 Stats:  42.7% FG, 38.9% 3P, 81.2% FT, 18.8 PPG. 4.3 RPG, 3.2 APG, 1.3 SPG, 0.3 BPG

2. SG Klay Thompson (Golden State Warriors) 2013-2014 Stats: 44.4% FG, 41.7% 3P FG, 79.5% FT, 18.4 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 2.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.5 BPG
Klay Thompson falls on the break out list again this season because I feel he can make an even big jump from the season before. In the offseason, Klay Thompson has got to play with Team USA and play against our country's best in practices. Coach K made sure to get the best out of Klay this summer and he was hitting shots consistently. If he can transition his Team USA play on offense and the improvements on his defense, he has an offensive-friendly coach awaiting him in Steve Kerr. Steve Kerr knows a thing or two about shooting and hitting three pointers. What has been lethal guard play by Klay Thompson and Steph Curry, could exactly get more lethal if the rest of the team gels and learns to this offense. Steve Kerr wants to cut back on Steph Curry's minutes this year as well as utilize him more on the catch-and-shoot. For adjusting Steph Curry's game, that should allow to open it up for Klay Thompson. I expect big things out of Klay Thompson this season.

Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.6% FG, 42.8% 3P FG, 81.7% FT, 20.2 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 2.1 APG, 1.3 SPG, 0.7 BPG

3. PF Serge Ibaka (Oklahoma City Thunder) 2013-2014 Stats: 53.6% FG, 38.3% 3P FG, 78.4% FT, 15.1 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 1.0 APG, 2.7 BPG, 0.5 SPG

Serge Ibaka is already a star in this league and shows this year-to-year. Ibaka is one of the best shot blockers in the game along with Anthony Davis, Andre Drummond, DeAndre Jordan, Tim Duncan, and Dwight Howard. Ibaka is lengthy with freakishly long arms and large hands to get up and block the shots. Oklahoma City Thunder had a dilemma in the past to pay for Ibaka or Harden and they chose the Ibaka route and it has paid off. With Kevin Durant now out for the first two months of the season with a Jones fracture of the foot, Thunder will now have to rely on Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka to carry this team until Durant returns to playing. This should increase Ibaka's minutes as well as scoring opportunities.

Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 53.2 FG%, 35.2% 3P FG, 77.2% FT, 17.7 PPG, 9.6 RPG, 2.5 BPG, 1.2 APG. 0.8 SPG

4. PG Jeff Teague (Atlanta Hawks) 2013-2014 Stats: 43.8% FG, 32.9% 3P FG, 84.6% FT, 16.5 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 6.7 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.2 BPG

Jeff Teague had a solid past season which help lead a depleted Hawks roster due to injuries into the playoffs as an 8 seed and almost advancing. Al Horford was lost early in the year for the whole season a vital part to their front court. Paul Millsap and Jeff Teague enjoyed a breakout season in the absence of Horford. With Horford back now, and the Hawks addressing defense in the draft in free agency, their players should create more offense opportunities off turnovers and solid offense. Teague should be one of those players who sees his numbers go up again and someone who made a name for himself in the playoffs. I expect Teague to carry over last season's success and then some.

Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 44.8% FG, 35.2% 3P FG, 85.3 FT%, 17.9 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 7.6 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG

5. PF Mason Plumlee (Brooklyn Nets) 2013-2014 Stats: 65.9% FG, 62.6% FT, 7.4 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 0.9 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.8 BPG

This is not the first Plumlee we have seen make an impact in the NBA. Riding the bench in Indiana, Miles Plumlee needed that trade to have a break out season in Phoenix. Here is another Plumlee who's up for a break out season. For being limited to 18 minutes a game last season as a rookie Plumlee took advantage and made a statement for why he was taken in the first round. Ahead of Plumlee he has Kevin Garnett who's trying to grab any momentum for production and who could possibly come off the bench this point of his career (Elton Brand for example). Plumlee is young, energetic, and has gained some experience playing for Team USA this past summer against the league's finest players. Brook Lopez is back now and will eat some post minutes, but Plumlee should be able to steal some minutes from Garnett. Plumlee can get 24-25 minutes and rotate with Lopez and Garnett this season. Mason could have a break out year.

Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 57.2% FG, 64.5 FT%, 12.5 PPG 8.1 RPG, 1.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 1.3 BPG

6. SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Detroit Pistons) 2013-2014 Stats: 39.6% FG, 31.9% 3P FG, 77.0% FT, 5.9 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 0.7 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.2 BPG

Kentavious was a rookie last season for a disaster Pistons team. Ever since their early 2000's teams, they've been mediocre since. The Pistons have dealt with shaky coaches, and general managers paying the wrong guys big money (aka Josh Smith). Josh Smith is a good player but he is not a super star. Smith is a complementary player. Pistons decided to get some experience and signed Stan Van Gundy to coach their game and runs the team's operations. Van Gundy is good at getting his big men and outside shooters active. Rodney Stuckey is gone now, and Kyle Singler looks like a 6th man off the bench. This opens the door for the 2013 8th overall pick, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. Pope got limited minutes last season and that could change this year with a new coach, new offense, and players who have left the team. Kentavious has the chance to shine with good passers being able to kick it out to him for the catch-and-shoot. Kentavious is also a decent perimeter defender as well creating turnovers. I expect a break out from Caldwell-Pope.

Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.1% FG, 36% 3P FG, 79.2% FT, 14.1 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 1.0 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.2 BPG

7. SG Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.4% FG, 34.7% 3P FG, 68.3% FT, 6.8 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 1.9 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.8 BPG

Giannis is an interesting style of player. He kind of fits the mold of Kawahi Leonard in terms of they fit no definitive position. Giannis is the ultimate inbetweener because he has the height of a post, body of a shooting guard, and the play of a small forward so what to do you categorize him as? He fits best at the small forward which I think first year Bucks coach will instill the playbook for Jabari Parker, Brandon Knight, and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Giannis grew again this summer and is only 19 years of age. He is still developing his game and body still, and will be for the next three years in the league. Giannis possesses great athleticism and he can use that to defend the rim or get to the rim. The Bucks have a bright future with the picks they've made the last three years plus acquisitions and free agency signings. Giannis could see an expanded role this year which means more time and more touches as well.

Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.1%, 35.2% 3P FG, 72.3% FT, 13.7 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 3.6 APG, 1.3 SPG, 1.2 BPG

8. PF Kenneth Faried (Denver Nuggets) 2013-2014 Stats: 54.5% FG, 65.0% FT, 13.7 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 1.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.9 BPG

Kenneth Faried came onto the scene as a surprise this summer for Team USA. It was he and Anthony Davis who dominated the post for Team USA this summer and saw most of the minutes. "The Manimal" is truly a beast when he has the energy. Faried is a high-energy guy who uses his minutes wisely. The only concern is his inconsistency. Faried's game is hot and cold, and this summer he did not show signs of inconsistency. Team USA experience may have been the best option for him and he took advantage of it. Denver came off a mediocre year full of injuries and inexperience head coach Brian Shaw. Shaw and guys who were injured last year are back and ready to contribute as well as an old face from Orlando, Arron Afflalo. Faried has a great supporting cast and will dump it into the post and Faried will see his offensive touches. I see a boom in production offensively and defensively for Faried this season. Got to live up to that contract extension he signed this offseason right?

Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 55.7% FG, 66.4% FT, 15.2 PPG, 9.4 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.3 BPG

9. SG Rodney Stuckey (Indiana Pacers) 2013-2014 Stats: 43.6% FG, 27.3% 3P FG, 83.6% FT, 13.9 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 2.1 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.1 BPG

Rodney Stuckey has stayed within in the division and signed with Indiana this offseason. Stuckey put up consistent numbers for 7 years in Detroit but was never a part of a winning culture. Stuckey chose Indiana who has been a consistent team and have gone deep in the playoffs. This season, there is no Paul George, Danny Granger, Evan Turner, or Lance Stephenson. Those are scorers the team relied on last year from the wing. Stuckey has entered an empty field of guards and automatically assumes starting shooting guard this season. Pacers are good at moving the ball and should create opportunities for Stuckey to score and get to the free throw line. Stuckey could be a big part for this Pacers team that is down this season.

Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 44.6%, 29.1% 3P FG, 84.7% FT, 16.2 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.7 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG

10. C Derrick Favors (Utah Jazz) 2013-2014 Stats: 52.2% FG, 66.9% FT, 13.3 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.5 BPG

Derrick Favors was one of those highly recruited posts and highly praised draft prospects and the Utah Jazz took advantage and received Favors in a trade from New Jersey (at the time) for Derrick Deron Williams and other players. Favors played one season at Georgia Tech and he is still fairly young for the league at age 23. Favors has a solid array of balance on offense and defense, but is stuck in a rotation for a crowded front court between Enes Kanter, Rudy Gobert, and Trevor Booker. Favors is the most valuable of all four and will receive the most minutes. Favors is an exceptional shot blocker and rebounder and has an average offensive game. He was hampered by a hip injury last season and other injuries and looks to be healthy so far for this season. Utah had another successful draft in the Australian guard Dante Exum and small forward Rodney Hood from Duke. With the emergence of Gordon Hayward, and a point guard leader in Trey Burke, this create opportunities down low for the posts and lots of touches for Derrick Favors. This season he should exceed expectations we've all been waiting to see.

Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 54.1% FG, 68.1% FT, 15.5 PPG, 10.1 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.1 SPG, 1.9 BPG

11. PG Darren Collison (Sacramento Kings) 2013-2014 Stats: 46.7% FG, 37.6% 3P FG, 85.7% FT, 11.4 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.2 BPG

Darren Collison was highly touted point guard in college who became average in the NBA. Collison is a solid back up point guard who has played on some good teams, most recently with the Los Angeles Clippers. Collison has always found himself in backup roles. When injuries occurred for other players on the team Collison stepped in real nicely. Now, this year in Sacramento, he is expected to start share duties with Ramon Sessions. Sacramento has a lot of young talent around the point guards who have veteran experience and leadership. Collison should be able to facilitate and feed the ball primarily to DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay, then off to Ben McLemore and others. Collison finally gets the starting nod for now and must live up to the expectations now as a starting guard. Eric Bledsoe made the transition from back-up to starter, so should Darren Collison with a good, young Sacramento talent.

Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.5% FG, 39.0% 3P FG, 86.5% FT, 13.8 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 5.3 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG

12. SG Victor Oladipo (Orlando Magic) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.9% FG, 32.7% 3P FG, 78.0% FT, 13.8 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 4.1 APG, 1.6 SPG, 0.5 BPG

The NBA's favorite to win Rookie of the Year ended up finishing runner-up last season to Michael Carter-Williams. Oladipo's game was experimental last year so he can establish a position that suits him best. Oladipo is gifted with vision and athleticism and that is good news for an Orlando Magic team who's putting together a good team. With the addition of Elfrid Payton who could win NBA Rookie of the Year, this allows Oladipo and him to create one of the best duos on the perimeter for defense and distributing the ball when on offense. Oladipo's athleticism will drive him to the basket to shoot free throws or will receive a pass for the catch-and-shoot opportunities. Orlando is young and could be dangerous in the next couple years, and Oladipo starting this season could be a big part after Arron Afflalo was traded to Denver. Potential breakout year for Victor.

Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.9%, 36.2% 3P FG, 80.2% FT, 17.3 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 4.9 APG, 2.0 SPG, 0.6 BPG

13. SG Tony Wroten Jr. (Philadelphia 76ers) 2013-2014 Stats: 42.7% FG, 21.3% 3P FG, 64.1% FT, 13.0 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 3.0 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.2 BPG

For a guy who left school too early, Wroten Jr, has had to work his way onto a team and has earned his way into a starting role at shooting guard this season for now, with K.J. McDaniels being a rookie. Wroten last year filled in for Carter-Williams when he went down with an injury and he filled in just fine. Wroten is not a natural passer and has had to learn, but he does better attacking the basket. Wroten is a poor perimeter shooter, but attacks the basket very well and draws contact. 76ers are going nowhere and are using the draft each year to make their team deeper. This should allow for Wroten to rack up the stat sheet this year.

Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.4%, 25.7% 3P FG, 66.8% FT, 14.4 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.5 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG


Sunday, October 12, 2014

Why Madison Bumgarner Does Not Get Enough Credit

In 2010, Madison Bumgarner and Buster Posey were two rookies who made a contribution to leading the city of San Francisco to their first ever World Series. As NL Rookie of the Year and winning the 2010 World Series, Buster Posey stole the show and became the face the of San Francisco Giants and it's biggest star since Barry Lamar Bonds. Giants already had a starting staff of All Star Matt Cain, 2 time Cy Young Award winner Tim Lincecum, along with Barry Zito and Jonathan Sanchez to round out the rotation.  Bumgarner, was a big part at age 21 and a rookie in the league, in helping the Giants win the 2010 World Series. From 2011 to this day, Madison Bumgarner has improved year-after-year whether his team puts together a winning or losing team. Madison Bumgarner has quietly put together his game at a high level that gets overlooked by Clayton Kershaw, Felix Hernandez, Adam Wainwright, Cliff Lee, Max Scherzer, Justin Verlander, Jon Lester, and Stephen Strasburg. Bumgarner is not a man for attention. He just goes out there and gets the job done. Bumgarner's game isn't flashy, but he finds a way to get guys out swinging and by putting the ball out in play to let his defense make the outs. Clayton Kershaw is very difficult to land a hit off in games and hitters tend to fear he is going to pitch eight to nine innings a game. Madison Bumgarner doesn't instill that fear, but he finds ways to get hitters out. Madison isn't invincible and hitters tend to rack up hits, but he has a low walk rate and holds the runners on. Bumgarner works his way into the some of top categories in baseball statistics every season, but there is one thing that separates himself from the rest: He was born for the playoffs.

At age 25, through the 4 years Bumgarner has been in the playoffs, he currently holds the MLB record in the playoffs for the lowest ERA in road starts. His ERA of 0.53 is lower than the likes of Hall of Famers Bob Gibson, Sandy Koufax, and to be Hall of Famer Mariano Rivera. Of the starting pitchers who get attention, they don't even fit in this category nor have some even smelled the playoffs. That stat is incredible and Bumgarner always seems to be consistent through regular season and the playoffs. Clayton Kershaw will always be credited as the best pitcher in baseball and the National League, but if I were to reevaluate what makes the best pitcher, I would simply put Madison Bumgarner at the top. Here is a look of the career playoff statistics so far for Madison Bumgarner and Clayton Kershaw:

Clayton Kershaw - 4 Playoff Appearances, 11 Games Played, 8 Games Started, 51 IP, 1-5 5.12 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 58 K's 0 World Series

Madison Bumgarner - 3 Playoff Appearances, 9 Games Played, 8 Games Started 51.2 IP, 4-3 2.96 ERA, 1.08 WHIP 48 K's 2 World Series

Some may argue, Clayton Kershaw doesn't have the supporting cast or staff the San Francisco Giants had in the success to their 2 World Series Championships. I will give them that, but you can't discredit the imbalance of Clayton Kershaw in the regular season and when he reaches the playoffs. In the regular season, Clayton Kershaw is not human. When the playoffs come around, he is a different kind of pitcher and someone who needs to mentally work on his game to step up in the playoffs.

Madison Bumgarner is only 25 years old and Clayton Kershaw is 26 years old. These two will be battling it out for the next decade and will continue to electrify. While it may not be the popular vote, if I am starting one game (home or away) and you need one pitcher to help you win that game, I am putting the ball in Madison Bumgarner's hand and letting him lead my team. I would choose Madison Bumgarner over the likes of Clayton Kershaw, Felix Hernandez and others. Buster Posey has company in San Francisco, Madison Bumgarner is another top face right next to him.

Thursday, October 9, 2014

Returning Ducks 2015

Returning:

WR Chance Allen 
CB Arrion Springs
S Tyree Robinson
QB Ty Griffin
WR Devon Allen
CB Dominique Harrison
WR Charles Nelson
S Reggie Daniels
WR Bralon Addison
OLB Justin Hollins
QB Taylor Alie
DB Chris Seisay
WR Jalen Brown
QB Morgan Mahalak 
DB Juwaan Williams
LB Jimmy Swain
RB Tony James
RB Royce Freeman
S Mattrell McGraw
WR BJ Kelley
RB Thomas Tyner
DB Glen Ihenacho
DB Khalil Oliver
LB Johnny Ragan III
CB Stephen Amoako
LB Tyson Coleman
LB Joe Walker
LB Rodney Hardrick
K Matt Wogan
DT Austin Maloata
LB Danny Mattingly
DT Tui Talia
DT Alex Balducci
OL Doug Brenner
OG Tyler Johnstone
OT Matt Pierson
OT Braden Eggert
OT Andre Yruretagoyena
OT Tyrell Crosby
OG Jake Pisarcik
OG Haniteli Lousi
OG Cameron Hunt
OL Evan Voeller
TE Evan Baylis
WR Zac Schuller
TE Johnny Mundt
DT Stetzon Bair
TE Pharaoh Brown
LB Torrodney Prevot
WR Darren Carrington
WR Dwayne Stanford
DL Henry Mondeaux
LB Christian French
DT Jalen Jelks
DT Sam Kamp
DE TJ Daniel

Losing:
WR Keanon Lowe
QB Marcus Mariota
WR Byron Marshall
WR Johnathan Lloyd
CB Troy Hill
CB Dior Mathis
CB Ifo Ekpre-Olomu
LB Derrick Malone
OG Hamani Stevens
OC Hronnis Grassu
OT Jake Fisher
LB Tony Washington
S Erik Dargan

Questionable Return:
RB Kani Benoit (Transfer)
DE DeForest Buckner (NFL Draft)
DT Arik Armstead (NFL Draft)
QB Jeff Lockie (Transfer)

Newcomers:
OL Zach Okun
QB Travis Waller
OL Shane Lemieux
RB Malik Lovette
WR Alex Ofodile
RB Taj Griffin
OL Brady Aiello





Monday, October 6, 2014

Why There Is Still A Chance the Ducks Season Is Alive

Over the past weekend, college football saw one of its most competitive and crazy weeks in history with the top 25 literally crumbling.  In the top 10, five teams dropped their games, and overall in the top 25, 11 teams lost. Almost half of the top 25 lost their games which leaves a lot to explain. Most notably, the Ducks who were the number 2 ranked team in the land took a bitter loss at home to Arizona by just one score. For the Ducks loss, a lot can be blamed for, but it still comes down to play calling. Ducks have been battling defensive inconsistencies all year long, and have only looked crisp against the big win at the time against Michigan State. The offensive line has taken some blows with two starters being out, but Jake Fisher will be returning for the UCLA game. Bralon Addison has also been a missed play-maker on offense and special teams. Scott Frost has to work with what he's got and he has done a poor job on the play-calling, as well as Don Pellum with the defense. The coordinators have been under-performing and Scott Frost, pulled the card of saying Mariota could be playing a little bit hurt. Marcus Mariota has been doing his share, so it can't be blamed on him for someone who is scrambling for their life and still manages to find ways to tie the game and almost come back and win. There can be a thousand excuses in the book for why Oregon dropped that game against Arizona, but it boils down to that they didn't come prepared to play. The Ducks had a bye week to correct hiccups in their game plan. As Ducks fans are concerned, the loss to Arizona feels like a miss on reaching the National playoff and getting Marcus Mariota a Heisman Trophy. But is it really the end for both of these opportunities? I believe it is still wide open.

Why Oregon can reach the National playoff:

What was encouraging about the loss to Arizona in Week 6, is the Ducks slid only 10 spots to number 12, and the fact 11 teams in the top 25 received a loss. The Ducks still have some tough games left on the schedule, and they have to capitalize against an inconsistent UCLA Bruin and Stanford Cardinal team. Those are their two big wins they need in the regular season to go along with their Michigan State victory. Also, wins against Utah and Oregon State will provide for their resume for the selection committee. Ducks need the Arizona Wildcats to reach the PAC 12 championship and beat them in the inaugural neutral site. If these events occur, and Michigan State who looks like they will go on to reach the Big Ten Championship and win, Ducks should not be passed by the Spartans since they would get a second chance at Arizona and their 19 point victory against Michigan State. Outside the PAC 12, Baylor still has tough bouts with TCU and Oklahoma, and Florida State still has tests with Notre Dame and Louisville. The state of Mississippi is looking really good right now, but now Ole Miss's schedule isn't looking any easier. LSU is clearly not the LSU of old, but a game in Baton Rouge is still tough, and games at Texas A&M, and then Auburn and state rival Mississippi State at home makes it safe to say there's a possibility of two losses. Mississippi State has looked real impressive and have only two tough games left of Alabama and Ole Miss. Auburn has looked like the best SEC team this year, but they also have a tough schedule ahead of them. The SEC could get shaken up the next 3-4 weeks opening up the top 10 in the AP rankings. Florida State looks like the only lock to make the playoff, but the other three spots are wide open for the rest of the season. This will benefit Oregon if they win out and win the PAC 12 Championship.

Why Mariota can still win the Heisman:

As of right now, Marcus Mariota has 1411 yards passing, 15 Passing TD's, 0 INT, 71.1% Completion Rate, QBR of 89.9, and top QB rating in the nation of 202.4, while being sacked 15 times and having a shaky offensive line. The loss is going to hurt Mariota because it is still his team and he will be punished for it, by dropping in some Heisman voters ballots. But should he really? His numbers belong right now as a Heisman candidate, especially in the top 3. The play calling and defense is what have hurt the Ducks. Mariota certainly has done his job at QB. Mariota will slide but with the remaining games can prove what he and the Ducks are made of, and what he does in the PAC 12 Championship if they go on to make it. For Heisman voters, Mariota's character should automatically get the attention of the voters as he is a model citizen and athlete. Jameis Winston and Johnny Manziel got attention for the wrong reasons and show lots of immaturity and a struggle in the maturation department.  Since Mississippi State is undefeated and Dak Prescott has put up good numbers, he will most likely be in top 2 in Heisman voting along with Todd Gurley. Mariota should only slide to 5th or 6th in the Heisman voting. There is still 7 games left in the season lots of more losses around college football. If Mariota consistently puts up numbers with wins to go along with his excellent character, Mariota should see himself possibly standing up at that podium hoisting the trophy.

It is easy to write off the Ducks and to call one loss a season-breaker and the "sports media will show no respect for the Ducks", but Marcus Mariota is too much to forget that easily. From covers of SI, to a guy who's character gets recognition for the right things, and a brand that has grown over the years, the Ducks can't be buried. If anything, this loss was a positive and humbling experience. I think one loss adds fuel to their fire to respond and not worry about being perfect anymore. Ducks are getting bodies back. Jake Fisher is back for UCLA game, Bralon Addison and Andre Yruretagoyena should hopefully be back in November. Arik Armstead got hurt in the Arizona game which is concerning for the UCLA game, but I believe the walking boot is just a precaution. He has been an amazing part of the defensive line along with DeForest Buckner this season. Any time a walking boot is discussed we as fans think of the worst, but honestly that is probably best for Arik to compress the ankle and cause it from being injured again before the UCLA game. The season is very much alive for the Oregon Ducks and Marcus Mariota, and it starts with a big game against UCLA.