Monday, January 26, 2015

Jim Tomsula Is the Man for the Job

2014 was a frustrating season for the San Francisco 49ers with an array of injuries, off-field issues, and an instability between coaching and the front office. The 49ers and head coach Jim Harbaugh went through a controversial battle throughout the season which led to a "mutual" divorce. Whether it was mutual or not, Harbaugh wasn't cutting it anymore and 49ers owner Jed York and General Manager Trent Baalke wanted to go in a new direction. In 2011, when Jim Harbaugh took over, the 49ers organization was stuck in a rut from inconsistency under the coaching of Mike Nolan and Mike Singletary. Trent Baalke was also promoted to General Manager in 2011, after being in charge of player personnel. Baalke's drafting abilities and Jim Harbaugh's coaching helped turn the team around to a 13-3 record, also reaching the NFC Championship game in which they lost. After the 2011 season, the 49ers found themselves in familiar territory in 2012, only this time making the Super Bowl, losing to the Baltimore Ravens.  In 2013, the 49ers returned to the NFC title game against Seattle and also found themselves coming up short once again. For four years, Harbaugh was able to reach out to the existing players, and they bought in to the philosophy he preached. The problem with his philosophy was it was focused on a run-heavy scheme, and the players were built for that style. They drafted Colin Kaepernick in 2011 to be the quarterback for the future who Harbaugh wanted, even though the front office disagreed. Since Harbaugh was their guy, he had a say into who he wanted and got his wish. The only problem is Kaepernick never really improved in those four years. The coaching staff didn't do enough in the development in Kaepernick and Colin essentially had to use his athleticism to guide his play. The 49ers had three successful seasons in four years in the Harbaugh era, but there were some evident flaws over time that have sort of piled up, and were unleashed in 2014.

When Harbaugh came to San Francisco, he brought his coordinators from Stanford, where he too turned a program around in need. Greg Roman, Harbaugh's right-hand man, came over to San Francisco to be his offensive coordinator and Vic Fangio came over to run the defense. On offense, Roman's game plan focused primarily on a run-heavy offense, that also included a short passing game. Alex Smith took years of trying to fit an offense, where it eventually almost led him out of San Francisco before Harbaugh arrived. Harbaugh was able to get the most out of Alex Smith who was key to the advancement of the 49ers into the playoffs in 2012, where they eventually reached the Super Bowl. Who led them to the Super Bowl? It was not Alex Smith, but Colin Kaepernick. Towards the end of the regular season, Alex Smith went down with a concussion and the 49ers were forced to put Colin Kaepernick in. Kaepernick went on to finish the regular season strong and hold off the Packers and Falcons in the playoffs. The 49ers reached the Super Bowl, and Harbaugh made one of the most difficult decisions of his tenure in San Francisco. Alex Smith was cleared to play in the Super Bowl, but he decided to roll with the momentum and keep Kaepernick as the starter. While Alex Smith was probably bitter about it, he professionally handled the situation well, and then addressed he wanted out of San Francisco at the end of the season. The decision to start Colin Kaepernick went on to look bad on Jim Harbaugh's part. The next couple seasons after the Super Bowl, Greg Roman and Jim Harbaugh went on to finding more ways to get Kaepernick involved in the passing game, but the offensive line and wide receivers were built for a run-heavy and short pass offensive game. Kaepernick would go on to being pressured and sacked at high numbers over the next couple of years, ranking in the bottom half of the NFL. One of the eye-popping issues that were existent from day one of the Harbaugh era, was the lack of red zone play-calling and failure to score touchdowns within the 20 yard line. Roman's offense would get shut down and would settle for field goals. 49ers ranked among the lowest in red zone efficiency in the NFL all four years under Harbaugh and got to an all time high in 2014. Time-after-time in crucial situations, Harbaugh was getting outmatched and out-coached due to the make up of the team and philosophy. Harbaugh saw so much success early, it almost felt like he didn't have a long-term plan and failed to teach and prepare young players. Veterans were favored on Harbaugh's teams, especially on offense. Colin Kaepernick, Quinton Patton, Bruce Ellington, Kendall Hunter, and others are examples of players who were not gaining enough experience or any help needed for their development. Baalke over the four years, favored a run style and knows how to scout talent, but Harbaugh and staff failed to get the offense going. Defense has never been an issue the four years Harbaugh was running the team. What I believe led to his dismissal from the team in a mutual manor was the offense and Harbaugh's lack of desire to adapt and change. Greg Roman needed to go, and Harbaugh clearly showed he could not let him go, just by his actions. It was never clearly stated what was the main issue of Harbaugh, but Harbaugh's philosophy and lack of desire to change the offense seemed to hurt his tenure, and something that did not look positive for the future. Injuries and personal issues derailed the 2014 season, but coaches still have to coach and develop their players. Through the offseason, the 49ers front office, particularly Jed York and Trent Baalke, have taken a lot of heat from fans and the media for the ways they handled the departure of Jim Harbaugh. The 49ers lost the majority of their staff except the running back coach, and Jim Tomsula, who was hired to be the head coach.

Jim Tomsula, or shall I call him "The Bludgeon Man" was chosen by the front office to replace a coach who accomplished what no coach in NFL history was able to do in appearing in three straight NFC Championships to start their career. Tomsula was never a Harbaugh man and has been around since 2007.  Tomsula has been the defensive line coach for the 49ers, and has certainly had an impact on his players, due to recent interviews by the players and their comments. Not that Jim Harbaugh was not a liked man, the amount of supporters seems to be down for him as opposed to the likes of Tomsula who seems really well-liked by all. For a coach to receive the accolades he earned in four years, it is hard to see a guy go like that, and it goes to show success isn't always safe. For example, Bo Pelini was recently fired by the Nebraska Cornhuskers where he averaged close to 10 wins per season in his tenure. What he and Nebraska failed to do was come up with a Big Ten title and National Championship. To athletic director, Tom Osborne (who knows a thing or two about championships), was probably not seeing progress and those wins weren't enough for the future.  Asa result, the Cornhusker needed a new voice and direction. While it is hard to see if Tomsula can have the same success, if not greater than Jim Harbaugh, a 1-0 record as an interim is hard to consider for a position that now has the highest pressure to succeed. What a lot of media fails to address is the way Tomsula coached his players. He not only helped coach that defense, he personally developed friendships with his players and earned their respect. By earning that respect, Tomsula gave back to them hope and faith and knew how to teach his players. One defensive experiment was defensive tackle, Isaac Sopoaga. He was strong player with potential, if not was going to be a rotational defensive tackle for the rest of his career. Tomsula taught Sopoaga and turned him into a relevant player earning the nose tackle job. After the injury that sent his bags packing out of San Francisco, the New England Patriots went on to sign him to help on the defensive line with Vince Wilfork. Belichick was never able to get anything out of Sopoaga and he was later released. Tomsula's scheme and coaching helped build up Sopoaga into something relevant what other teams failed to do. Another project is the development of Ian Williams, in which Williams credits Tomsula for improving his game and becoming a name. Ian Williams was undrafted out Notre Dame, and has been a starter in the place of the injured and once highly touted draft prospect Glenn Dorsey. Glenn Dorsey is another player who has excelled under the coaching of Jim Tomsula. Coming from a 4-3 scheme in Kansas City, Dorsey failed to live up to expectations and found himself out of Kansas City and the 49ers scooped him up in free agency. From there, Tomsula developed him into a 3-4 scheme and the man to anchor the interior of the defensive line. 5th round draft pick from 2014, Aaron Lynch, has mighty things to say about Tomsula toughness, but his ability to get the most out of players in an effective and non-damaging way is what stands out.  In other words, he is personable but will push his players to get the best out of them. One of my favorite highlights from the 2014 season came in the Week 15 loss to the Seattle Seahawks. The 49ers ran thin on tight ends and had to call up Asante Cleveland from the practice squad. Cleveland made some inexperienced mistakes and dropped a pass. He went over to the sidelines and looked dejected. Drawing away from the out-of-bounds marker was Jim Tomsula, walking over to Asante Cleveland sitting on the bench. Tomsula put his arm around and patted Asante on the shoulder pad and was providing encouragement. Cleveland was activated to the 53 man roster for that game, but this was a practice squad player who was treated as if he was already on the team for years. That moment stood out to me and shows how much Tomsula cares about the players on this team. I never saw moments like that with Jim Harbaugh as coach.

I love the Jim Tomsula hire, and I know a lot of individuals want to blame the front office right now for hiring a guy with lack of experience, and only one game under his belt as head coach (as an interim). Inexperience with football isn't the only issue in sports. Today's managers in baseball have been a concern with the lack of managerial experience for some teams, when it was expected in the past to have experience to land the manager gig. Mike Matheny, manager of the St. Louis Cardinals, held no previous manager title, and has led the Cardinals to the playoffs in each of his seasons as the manager. Brad Ausmus was a first year head coach for the Detroit Tigers in 2014 and he led the Tigers to the playoffs in his first season. Previous experience traditionally makes sense for why you should hire a coach, but if you interview a candidate and they seem qualified, it may be worth checking out. How did the Steelers feel after Bill Cowher retired and the organization chose Mike Tomlin to replace him? Tomlin was young and served as a defensive backs coach in the past and was the Vikings defensive coordinator for one season. The Pittsburgh Steelers (just became of their name) could hire any coach they please due to their rich history in the NFL. Of the candidates, they gambled with Mike Tomlin. Tomlin has brought them to the playoffs and led them to a Lombardi trophy in 2008. What makes Mike Tomlin a great coach is his personality, he is personable with the players, and he teaches. Jim Tomsula reminds me a lot of Mike Tomlin although he is a lot older. Tomsula has worked his way up to the defensive line coach position and he is a blue collar man, who worked to get where he is. If the fans and media can't respect that because they want the popular names to replace Harbaugh, why don't they take the time to give Tomsula a chance to prove what he is capable of. Trent Baalke and Jed York are taking a lot of flack, but Baalke has shown what kind of talent evaluator he is, and will bring the guys Tomsula and the assistants need to succeed. A new billion dollar stadium, a stagnant offense, and a controlling head coach, are all reasons why a change needed to happen. Harbaugh is a great coach and he should thrive at the college level to get what he personally wants. Jed York, on the other hand, is a young owner and will learn over time how to conduct himself to the public, but York has the DeBartolo blood in him and is going to bring to the 49ers what he feels it needs to succeed. Jim Tomsula is that start and the teacher York is looking for to lead this organization.

Sunday, January 25, 2015

2015 Should Be Tim Lincecum's Comeback Year

In 2007, the young and electric Tim Lincecum was brought up to the big leagues by Bruce Bochy and the San Francisco Giants organization. Looking at his build up, you see a short, scrawny guy from the University of Washington who was named the Golden Spikes Player of the Year in 2006 (College Baseball MVP Award), and with a delivery no one can recreate. Major League Baseball welcomed Lincecum in 2007, being called up to an impressive 7-5 record with the short stint he had that season. 2007 was Barry Bond's final season, who was arguably one of the greatest faces of the franchise along with the "Say Hey Kid" Willie Mays, Willie McCovey, Juan Marichal, Gaylord Perry, Orlando Cepeda, and Will Clark. Giants were in a rut, and posting consecutive losing seasons and the future was looking bleak for Bruce Bochy's ball club and post-Barry Bonds. 2008 rolled around and an unexpected face soon took the league by storm in his first full season in the league. The scrawny Tim Lincecum came to the rescue, and put some life back into the Giants organization and the game of baseball. Who looked like a pitcher that could be easily hit off, was a wonky-delivery pitcher who knew how to get guys out. Looks were deceiving, and nothing but the sound of the mitt was coming from the Giants backstop every fifth game. The Giants continued to lose from 2007 to 2009, but no one dominated the game the way Lincecum did. For a short pitcher who is flexible as jello, he packs a mean punch and pitches that rarely get hit. In 2008 & 2009, Lincecum compiled back-to-back Cy Young Awards going 33-12, 526 Strike Outs, and an ERA under 3.00. Instantly, Lincecum became a San Francisco favorite and well-adored. In 2010, Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain went on to help lead the Giants to a surprising first World Series since relocating to San Francisco. They were the catalysts of this team. After a magical 2010 postseason, where the Giants weren't even supposed to be, they proved everyone wrong. In 2011, the Giants barely missed the playoffs and they looked forward to 2012, but 2012 wasn't gracious for Tim Lincecum. This was the start for the next three years of the most growing pains of his career. Lincecum lost velocity on the ball (95 MPH fastball dropped to low 90's), he was using more of his secondary pitches which hitters waited for, and his fastball was losing command. Tim became a sloppy pitcher that would show glimpses of hope of his Cy Young Award stuff, and times where a crappy game was easily predicted. This earned him losing his spot in the rotation, and coming out of the bullpen in 2012. Surprisingly, Lincecum went on to play a big part for the Giants, who won the 2012 World Series setting a historical performance during the playoffs from the bullpen. The playoffs seemed to be the rejuvenation Lincecum needed to get out of his rut, but that didn't seem to be the case. While going through a continual struggle of inconsistency, Lincecum still manages to be a household name who is mightily a powerful name that sells jerseys and generates revenue. In 2013, he signed a two year deal avoiding arbitration, valued at $35 million dollars, with earning $17.5 million dollars per season. Giants fans were disappointed with the amount of money Lincecum was being paid for the lousy 2012 and 2013 season performances. Why would the San Francisco Giants invest this much into a pitcher you don't know what performance they're going to give? It is very simple. Lincecum has been molded into AT&T Park, the San Francisco Giants organization, and the city of San Francisco. Allowing him to leave would almost be like taking a piece of your heart away. While fans are still frustrated, they still come out to support the pitcher who revived life into this franchise back in 2008, the first year of the post-Barry Bonds years. Lincecum is not a lost-cause pitcher, he is just unpredictable. While I still am baffled why Lincecum's consistency has fallen a part, drastically, there is one reason why I think 2015 could be Lincecum's bounce back with a more consistent look : He has been developing a new delivery over the years to save his career.

No pitcher have I ever supported or defended more in the game than Tim Lincecum. He truly is my favorite player in the game because of what he brings to the table. Inconsistent you can say, but Lincecum brings a sense of electricity and mystery which is what I love. While I don't think he will ever recreate the numbers he did in his Cy Young seasons, Lincecum has been good enough to throw two no-hitters the last couple of seasons. As I said earlier in this article, Lincecum shows glimpses of his old self in the beginning of his career. Growing up, Lincecum learned a delivery that is so unique, it earned him a spot in the Major Leagues and the success he has proven today. His father was his coach and taught him the ways of his delivery. While it is highly unorthodox and dangerous, Lincecum managed to perfect it to the point hitters have looked confused. Lincecum has displayed being a power pitcher (high strikeouts, risk of more walks), but has gradually tweaked with his delivery over time with the help of one the game's best pitching coaches, Dave Righetti. If Lincecum continued his power pitching tendencies with the style of delivery he has always known, his career would probably of winded up ending quickly. Over the last two to three seasons, which have been the worst of his career, I believe he has been experiencing inconsistency, due to learning on-the-go and it takes time. With changing his delivery, he is disrupting muscle memory from his original, unorthodox motion. While Lincecum doesn't give up a lot of hits, the hits have been unlucky and have gone for extra bases and runs. He has also lost command with the fastball which I believe has to do with unfamiliarity of a new style and getting comfortable, which is foreign to him. Mid point of a career, it is difficult to change what you always have known. What Lincecum has done is he is changing to save his future, but it is going to come with some bumpy roads and frustration.

It is difficult as a fan to see where Lincecum is now, but I continually believe he will reemerge. It is a rough patience myself and Giants fans have had to fight. While some may have given up, I believe I spot something most fans aren't seeing, and it is a retooling of Lincecum's pitching. Entering the final year of his contract, Lincecum knows he is playing for arguably his last long contract of his career. While he is no longer a top of the rotation option or a power pitcher, Lincecum is learning ways to get outs and be more effective. We may never see his strike out total surpass the 200 mark, but he can certainly still flirt with it. Lincecum still possesses one of the nastiest sinking change-ups in the game and that is his strike out pitch. Bruce Bochy still has faith in this guy, which is why he is giving Tim another chance to keep himself in the rotation and using the offseason and spring to prove something. Benching Lincecum for the majority of the playoffs may of sparked to prove something for 2015 and beyond. While it is difficult to do, Lincecum took it with a level head and I feel he is going to use the best out of it. This offseason and spring is crucial for Lincecum and the Giants if they want to solidify a quiet offseason. While the Giants didn't sign a James Shields, Jon Lester, or Max Scherzer, they may of found themselves their own free agent signing in existing Giants pitcher, Tim Lincecum. In 8 seasons, Lincecum has earned 3 World Series rings, 2 Cy Young's, and 2 no-hitters. Do you let those kind of accolades leave your franchise? 2015 is going to be Tim Lincecum's resurgence and a return of "The Freak".

Monday, January 5, 2015

Putting Sense Into the 49ers Moving On from Jim Harbaugh

One of football's toughest topics now, is a man who has found his way now leading the Michigan Wolverines on Saturday's. After an 8-8 season for the San Francisco 49ers, 2014 was definitely not one for the ages. For a team who reached three straight NFC Championships, and a Super Bowl appearance in 2012 which they almost won, this 2014 team did not exemplify any of those previous teams. Jim Harbaugh had resurrected the 49ers from eight years of turmoil from the end of Mariucci's tenure, to Mike Nolan, and then Mike Singletary. The 49ers front office had no stability, the talent pool was lacking, and the coaches weren't getting the job done. In 2011, Jim Harbaugh left Palo Alto, where he revived the Stanford Cardinal football program and agreed to coach the 49ers. Harbaugh had no pressure on him, and found a way to reach out to the bunch that Mike Nolan and Mike Singletary couldn't coach. Harbaugh is among the all-time greats, and not one coach in NFL history has reached the NFC Championship game three straight years in a coach's first three years. Not even Bill Walsh or George Seifert could do that for the 49ers. In San Francisco, Jim Harbaugh was rolling with the times. 2014 didn't just crumble for Jim Harbaugh, the organization and team had a rough year as well. In the offseason before the regular season began, the 49ers dealt with a lot of scrutiny off the field. Aldon Smith had an incident at the airport in which he was suspended 10 games by the NFL, Ray McDonald was dealing with domestic violence issues, Colin Kaepernick was facing an investigation into sexual assault in Miami where he was training in the offseason, and Chris Culliver was facing possible charges of threatening a boy with brass knuckles. For injuries, Marcus Lattimore was still recovering from his horrific knee injury at South Carolina, Tank Carradine was coming back from a season off from an ACL injury, Michael Crabtree, Mike Iupati, Justin Smith and Navorro Bowman were recovering from injuries in the 2013 season, they were without three draft picks Brandon Thomas, Keith Reaser, and Kenneth Acker for 2014 season, during the 2014 season, Patrick Willis, Daniel Kilgore, Marcus Martin, Tramaine Brock, Vernon Davis, Anthony Davis, Glenn Dorsey, Vance McDonald, and Alex Boone suffered injuries in which ended their season or they missed a large chunk of time. Everything went against the San Francisco 49ers in 2014, and I don't think things could have got any worse... until the offseason. After the 2014 NFL season, the 49ers and Jim Harbaugh mutually agreed to part ways. Now this is where it leaves us: why did they let Jim walk after what he has brought to this team? An 8-8 season is not entirely Harbaugh's fault, but he is the coach and is responsible for coaching. Coaching includes schemes to operate the team with. Although Jim had good relationships with the players and found success with this team, how much of it was Jim's teaching is a mystery today. Jim came in and inherited the roster he did, and a lot of say into how he wanted his team. Owner Jed York granted that sense of control with the 2011 draft when he allowed Harbaugh to go with Colin Kaepernick as opposed to what GM Trent Baalke and York wanted in Andy Dalton. Harbaugh got his QB and went ahead to work the next four years. While it has never been fully reported or suggested by the media or any story, I truly believe there was rift between Trent Baalke and Jim Harbaugh which Jed York allowed. Jim has always seemed to be about having control of what he wants to do, and likes what he does. By granting what Harbaugh wanted in Kaepernick, that allowed a sense of co-managing between Harbaugh and Baalke. As GM, that would be like a loss of entitlement and makes you question what your role truly is. As Harbaugh ran his team with Greg Roman as the offensive coordinator, the offense has not ranked well in the NFL. In the red zone and on third down, the 49ers ranked among the lowest in the NFL, and the lowest amongst contenders. For a team so domineering as the 49ers were portrayed and those 3 NFC Championships, the offense coming up short seems to be the issue. Harbaugh had an offensive line built for the run, and they lacked in pass protection. The wide receivers on the 49ers lacked explosiveness and playmakers, and all possessed the same receiving skills. The 49ers lacked speed and play consistency in the coaching. 49ers possess one of the best, if not the best defenses in the NFL, and continued to show that stride even with the suspensions and injuries to key players. If Jim Harbaugh showed anything as a coach, he served as a motivator and someone who lacks innovation. As you look through the history of the 49ers, they have been focused on a coaching tree. This all started with Bill Walsh when Jed York's uncle, Eddie DeBartolo was owning the team. While Walsh didn't have immediate success with the 49ers, he was an innovator and built himself a coaching staff that he could teach and they could go own to coach. Walsh eventually won 3 Super Bowls and fielded some of the best teams in NFL history. Walsh was more than just a coach: he was a pioneer of the West Coast offense. What I feel Jim Harbaugh lacks as a coach is the ability to innovate and pass on to others. Harbaugh is comfortable with what he does and is not up for change. This season was a prime example of that. Greg Roman's play calling was inconsistent and made no sense at times. The 49ers scored little touchdowns this season with Roman's offense and had been a continuing since 2012 with the settling of field goals and good defense. The 49ers struggles were accredited many times to Greg Roman, which maybe should have led to a demotion or being fired. The issue with that too is, Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman seem to be loyal to each other, maybe a little too loyal. That could be one of the main issues with the front office and Harbaugh. The front office was probably fed up with the direction of the offense, and felt Greg Roman needed to be let go, so Jim came to Roman's defense. What seemed odd is after Jim mutually parted with the 49ers left, Greg Roman all of a sudden was gone too. Was Roman the issue? We will never know, but that could be a good defense in why 49ers and Harbaugh were not on the same page. This still leads fans to scratching their heads and posting angered opinions as to how can you let coach who has got you to a Super bowl and three NFC championship games in their first four seasons. How about asking Marty Schottenheimer or Bo Pelini. Both respectively won a lot of games and had success with their teams. It boils down too, sometimes the smallest achievements aren't enough and they weren't innovating. Stagnant success is what they and Jim Harbaugh possess. Harbaugh has a short tenure anywhere he coaches, and likes to bounce place-to-place. Nothing wrong with that style, but Harbaugh's philosophy is definitely not what they were going to roll with, especially the talent they possess on that roster, and a billion dollar stadium. It is hard to have faith in Jed York and Trent Baalke right now and they are the villains among the 49er faithful, but they shouldn't be receiving that fire. While the turmoil is high right now, 49ers will be rewarded with their next established coach and live up to what Jed York expects. This is a learning experience is for 49ers fans, and Jed York, but it is not the end of the world San Francisco 49ers fans.

Friday, December 12, 2014

How Should Sabean Address Third Base and Left Field?

Thursday, the 2014 Baseball Winter Meetings ended in high fashion and teams throwing in deals last minute. Every year, the meetings witness overspending and clubs acquiring a lot of pieces. When attending the Winter Meetings, it almost feels out of obligation you must make a move. That wasn't the case for the Baltimore Orioles, Kansas City Royals, and the defending World Champion, San Francisco Giants. Brian Sabean engaged in conversations, went all-in for Jon Lester, but Sabean could have stayed back home in the Bay Area. Needless to say, Sabean looked like a failure. I wouldn't consider this a failure, but I would consider this all talk, and no action. Giants have three gaping holes that need patching for 2015 and beyond if they want to win more World Series. Pablo Sandoval left the Bay Area for Boston, Michael Morse looks to be on his way to another team, and Ryan Vogelsong and Jake Peavy find themselves still looking to be signed. With a starting pitcher, third base, and left field open, did Brian Sabean see anything he liked? Generally, at the meetings, it is to gather and discuss who's available and create trade scenarios. While some are ramblings at the time, there's a good chance at the meeting or weeks after, teams might put it into gear and make the deal possible. While we are not in the room, or on the floor for discussions, do we know if Brian Sabean got himself some creative ideas to make this club even better for the 2015 season? When a team is quiet, it sends mixed messages to a ball club and its fans. There's plenty of offseason left and players who are available currently, and who could be made available here in the coming weeks. The definition of "patience" should be changed in Webster's Dictionary to Brian Sabean, and patience is something Giants fans need to follow. Whether it is the offseason or near the trade deadline, Giants fans tend to get over ambitious and feel a move for a player outside the organization is the route to go. Brian is excellent when to pull the trigger on a move or when to look in-house. In 2010, Buster Posey was close to being ready in the minors and the Giants gambled on bringing him up. Buster turned out to be NL Rookie of the Year and a vital part to San Francisco's first World Series title. In 2014, Giants were stuck on how they wanted to approach their season, hoping to make the playoffs after a series of injuries and misfortunes. Sabean neglected the market and called up Joe Panik from Triple A - Fresno, who looked like a seasoned vet like Buster Posey in 2010. While it is easy to get excited for the big move, Sabean is precise on who he targets and what prospects fit best to be on the major league ball club. Although, he is not afraid to make big deals and sacrifice prospects such as the acquisition of Carlos Beltran in 2011, Hunter Pence and Marco Scutaro in 2012. It is a dream to land the big move and create the buzz headlines across the baseball media, but the ball is Brian Sabean's glove and he will decide when he wants to go for it or if he wants to pull back. With the 2015 roster getting up there in age, and with more free agents-to-be next offseason, Sabean may be brewing something in the front office to replenish the roster. While prospects might be crucial at this point, and an improving rival in the Dodgers, the Giants might have to pursue a move with players they are not willing to give up. This leaves the question to be answered: Who should the Giants pursue within the remaining free agent pool, and trade market? Here are three moves to consider:

Trade for Jay Bruce - This move needs to be pressed hard. I have been high on Jay Bruce as an option all offseason for the Giants after an atrocious and under-performed 2014 season for the Cincinnati Reds. With an inflated payroll, injuries to key players, and a new coach, the Reds need a fresh start, and during the Winter Meetings it may of indicated this is the start of a rebuilding period for the Reds (trading away Mat Latos and Alfredo Simon). Jay Bruce had one of the worst seasons of his career in 2014, after dealing with a knee injury and battling inconsistencies at the plate. Bruce is a big-time player for the Reds (not named Joey Votto), who's value is down a little after the poor season. While Walt Jocketty has claimed the Reds are not interested in a rebuild, it clearly looks like it is time for a rebuild. Even though you may not want to have a rebuild, the Reds are in desperation to get back to the team they were for the last five years. The only way to get better is trade off players to bring down the payroll and bring in young players. While Jay Bruce is a right fielder, the San Francisco Giants could use another big stick and excellent defender in the outfield and not have to use a platoon to receive that (eliminates Morse and Ishikawa). It worked in 2014, but I don't feel it is smart for the long term plan. Giants have not had an every day big bat outfielder since Barry Bonds. Pence has mastered the right field position and knowing how to play with the right field wall. Jay Bruce could learn, but his athleticism could shift him to left field. Bruce is the ideal Giant that Bruce Bochy needs. Bruce can pop out 22-30 home runs a season, a gap hitter, gets walked, and is a smart base runner. Pablo Sandoval's bat needs replaced in the middle of the lineup and Jay Bruce would be a great fit for the current mold of the team. I am not sure what the Reds would want in return in regards to prospects and major leaguers, but offering Kyle Crick, Juan Perez, and potentially Matt Duffy (odd man out due to Panik) could be enough. Duffy could replace the disappointing Zack Cozart, who could essentially be included in the deal for depth off the bench for the Giants.

Sign Asdrubal Cabrera - After a breakout season in 2011 with the Cleveland Indians, Asdrubal Cabrera has found himself in a small decline. Indians needed offense and Cabrera was all they had at one point. As Michael Brantley, Jason Kipnis, and Carlos Santana came along, Cabrera was no longer in the run supporter role. Cabrera has batted all over the lineup throughout his career and has found himself batting in the bottom half now. Cabrera is still in his prime and his decline should not be concerning. Cabrera;s mitt and defense is Gold Glove material every year, and still has some pop in his bat (14 home runs in '14). While second base and shortstop are his primary positions, the Giants could take a look at him at the hot corner. His defense would certainly be an upgrade from Pablo Sandoval, but he needs to get his hitting going again. The vast AT&T Park may help out his numbers, as he is a great gap hitter and his extra base totals would inflate. Cabrera most likely would want to play second base since it is a natural position for him, but the Giants future, Joe Panik, is currently in the way and the organization doesn't plan on shifting him to third base anytime soon. If Cabrera wants to be a Giant, he will have to make the switch. In the end, I could see a switch to third base. Cabrera would be able to bat sixth or seventh in the lineup or even second on occasion. The third base market is dry now, and to get a Evan Longoria would require a lot of players in return. Cabrera can make the switch, and it would be a safe and good move. 3 Yrs./$30 Million

Trade for Trevor Plouffe - Trevor Plouffe had a breakout year despite the low batting average in 2014. Plouffe collected 40 doubles, 14 home runs, and 80 RBI's. With Miguel Sano up on deck and looking to start this season in Minnesota, Plouffe may be on his way out. The only weaknesses Plouffe brings is he streaky as a hitter and provides average defense. While Pablo Sandoval wasn't always the greatest defender, he still found ways to make big defensive stops and was one of the best defending third baseman in the National League in 2014. Plouffe did drive in more runs than Sandoval in 2014 and had a better OPS. Essentially, could say Plouffe had a better season than Sandoval, subtracting the playoffs from this analysis. The Twins would be giving up Plouffe for possibly one or two prospects. Giants could offer Adam Duvall and Ricky Oropesa and not lose any big leaguers. Plouffe would be a nice addition to that offense and allows the Giants to save money towards pitching.



Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Giants Miss Out On Lester: What Is Next?

San Francisco Giants, the defending World Champs, went into the offseason with a mission to fill the position vacancies and then some. Pablo Sandoval was priority number one, and failed to come back to San Francisco. The Giants then turned their focus to what they do best: their pitching. On the market, there is Max Scherzer, Jon Lester, James Shields, Francisco Liriano, and others. Giants did the unthinkable and went all out on Jon Lester. Giants hung in the discussion until the decision was made, when Lester announced a 6 year/$155 million dollar deal with the Chicago Cubs. Giants did what they could and were going to be the only team who offered 7 years and the highest guaranteed money. Giants were not bluffing in their attempt to sign Lester, who they had a very good chance of signing. Ultimately, Lester appreciated what the Giants had to offer and was impressed, but Lester's heart didn't have room to include the Giants. Lester still has a spot for Theo Epstein, who left Boston years ago to join the front office for the Chicago Cubs. Jon decided to reconnect and go with comfort over choosing the money. The offseason is far from over for the Giants, who can definitely step back into the race for other free agents still on the market, or look to make some trades. Giants still have holes to fill as third base, left field, and another starting pitcher remain open. Where do the Giants go from here? Here are some free agent ideas and trade scenarios the Giants could look to approach here this week at the Winter Baseball Meetings and the rest of the offseason.

Sign Ervin Santana: Santana finds himself in the same position as last season, in the free agent market. When the Braves lost Brandon Beachy and Kris Medlen both to season ending arm injuries during Spring Training, they turned to Ervin Santana who was still looking for a team to sign with. Santana was looking for a multiple year deal which teams were ignoring to meet, so Santana settled for a one year deal. Once again, Santana is looking for a multi-year deal and has certainly earned the consideration. His last two seasons have been a success, and he made a case in 2014 with the Braves posting these numbers: 196 IP 14-10 3.95 ERA 179 K's. While Santana is turning 32, he is still in the prime of his career, and heading into possibly the last large contract of his career. The National League suits Santana the best at this point of his career, and what a better place to finish a career in a San Francisco Giants uniform. A team coming off three World Series Championships in the last five seasons, with a coaching staff that has done a phenomenal job, Dave Righetti would love to coach a talent like Ervin Santana. Playing at a pitcher's park like AT&T park, as Santana ages, his numbers should still continue to stay inflated. Giants missed out on Lester, but it is not the end. Prediction: 4 Years/$58 Million Deal

Sign James Shields: While Scherzer and Shields still loom on the market, these are still two aces who are looking to get signed. Shields came off a season where he helped lead the Royals into the playoffs, what he was brought in there all along to do. Shields is an innings eater who continues year-after-year to throw over 210 innings per season. The guy is reliable to go out there almost every game and throw seven innings. That is what you want in a pitcher and the guy at the top of the rotation. Shields has been around the game for awhile now, and is looking for his last big contract just like Ervin Santana and others are. Shields could make a nice transition to the National League to keep his numbers inflated to finish out his career. Shields had tough bouts with having to go against David Price, Max Scherzer, Chris Sale, and other aces in baseball and always seemed to come up empty-handed. It might be time for Shields to step back from being the main guy, and slide into the 2 or 3 slot in the rotation. The pressure will be off his shoulders while allowing someone else to guide the rotation. Shields still has game and he isn't on the decline. Just his time as a number 1 starter soon seem to be over where his best value should come from falling back in rotation. Shields is going to get paid good money regardless where he finds himself in a rotation, but pitching in Kauffman field (arguably, one of the best pitcher's parks in baseball) he can make a nice swap over to the National League and find himself in the ballpark where he and the Royals were defeated, AT&T Park. Giants have a starter vacancy and the Giants can add another top name to their rotation. Shields would be a nice option. Prediction: 5 Years/$85 Million Deal

Trade for Jay Bruce: Jay Bruce had a bad 2014 season, as did the Cincinnati Reds team in general. Only bright spot of their season was development of speedster Billy Hamilton and NL Cy Young Candidate, Johnny Cueto. Bruce has been a guy who was improving each season and didn't show signs of slowing down. Bruce did not have any struggle, and that came to him this season. This is not a long term concern or even a concern for next year. The team relied on him and Todd Frazier to carry the run support in a hitter's ball park. Bruce still finished with 18 Home Runs, but we all know he is capable to finishing above that. Bruce's value is down a little which could make him an interesting get before he returns to the old Jay Bruce. Already having signed an extension, Bruce makes $10 million per year, which is half of what Pablo Sandoval is going to make with Boston. The Giants have been using a platoon in left field ever since Barry Bonds retired from the game. While the Giants have not had an everyday left fielder since Bonds, now is the time for the team to add more bats into their lineup with the absence of Pablo Sandoval, possibly Michael Morse, and free agents here in the next offseason. Bruce has great numbers at AT&T Park, and can provide the big stick for a Giants offense who generally lacks the long ball. Not sure what the Reds want in return as they are experiencing a to-be rebuilding effort. I think the Giants could offer Kyle Crick, Matt Duffy, and Jarrett Parker to acquire Jay Bruce. 

Trade for Mat Latos: The National League West is not unfamiliar territory for Mat Latos, who pitched for the San Diegos from 2009-2011. Latos had unfortunate luck of missing part of the season, and slowly regained form. Once fully healed, Latos showed flashes of his old self. Latos is entering a contract year in 2015, where he looks to perform to earn himself an extension or bids for free agency to receive more money. Latos is 27, and has a lot of baseball left. Latos is just now tasting glimpses of prime years, and a new home may be best for him. Reds look to be rebuilding and Latos has value attached to him which can aid in the rebuilding process. Giants are looking to fill a starter spot in the rotation when they failed to get Jon Lester. If the Giants elect to forgo signing a free agent for big money, they could look to trade for Latos where they have the option of extending him. Latos, who is a fly-ball pitcher, would benefit by being traded to San Francisco. The vast park should aid his high home runs given-up rate, and post good numbers. Giants are looking to continue their winning ways, and Latos can help an aging rotation and pitching staff stay young. Giants could offer Kyle Crick & Matt Duffy. Duffy would be a nice option to replace Zack Cozart who has been a disappointment for the Reds.

Trade for Cole Hamels: The Phillies have been a disappointment the last three seasons and they are a team full of bad contracts, except Cole Hamels. Cole Hamels may not seem like an ace because he plays for the Phillies, but what he possesses is top of the rotation stuff and a guy who should be averaging 16-17 Wins a season. Hamels signed a big extension with the Phillies, but only has 4 years/$96 Million left on his contract. For an ace, that is a very likable contract for a team to manage. If Cole Hamels was a free agent today, he would probably be looking for a large contract to approach Clayton Kershaw contract status. With a lack of run support and a weak bullpen, Hamels earned losses that weren't his fault. Giants pushed for Jon Lester and came up empty, maybe it is time to focus attention to another big time starter who can fit along the top of the rotation with Madison Bumgarner. Hamels would have to accept being second in the rotation, as Bumgarner has simply become the ace of the rotation and top 5 pitchers in baseball. Phillies are in full rebuild mode, and Hamels is going to require extraction of three good prospects. For the Giants, this season and next season they have a lot of free agents to address, and they may want to keep some guys in the farm. As the Giants are entering a "dynasty", they might need to go all out to maintain this dominance. Hamels I think is worth targeting, more than the Giants interest they had in Jon Lester. For the Giants to please the Phillies, I think Kyle Crick. Matt Duffy, Hector Sanchez, and Chris Heston would do it.

Trade for Jordan Zimmermann: The Nationals last season were the best team record-wise when it came to winning the National League regular season. When the playoffs came around, the Nationals fell a part, but Jordan Zimmermann did not. Of the star power the Nationals have, Doug Fister and Jordan Zimmermann are the ones who played consistently all year. Zimmermann is entering a contract year and has earned whatever extension or money he will receive in free agency. Zimmermann isn't much of a strike out pitcher, but his craft works to his advantage and helped contribute a big part to the Nationals season. Not sure how much the Nationals value Jordan Zimmermann, but he appears to be dangled out there for offers as he is looking to get paid. Zimmermann should be of interest across country for the San Francisco Giants. Giants are all about pitching and Righetti would love to have another big time starter in the rotation with Bumgarner and Cain. With Cain's uncertainty on his return from injury, the aging Tim Hudson, and the shaky Tim Lincecum,  pitching just became the Giants main priority. To acquire Zimmermann, the Giants could offer Kyle Crick & Ty Blach 

Trade for Evan Longoria & Ben Zobrist: The likelihood of acquiring both Evan Longoria and Ben Zobrist in the same deal is far from likely, even though the Tampa Bay Rays have taken a hit this offseason. The Rays lost David Price last season. In this offseason, the Rays have lost manager Joe Maddon, bench coach Dave Martinez, Vice President Andrew Friedman, Starting Pitcher Jeremy Hellickson, and Relief Pitcher Joel Peralta. With uncertainty with their future in Tampa Bay, the Rays may be approaching a rebuild with new manager, Kevin Cash. Evan Longoria is the face of the Rays franchise, but if they rebuild, he doesn't need to be around for that; as the same goes for Ben Zobrist too. Attendance is already poor in Tampa Bay. It might be worth looking to trade Longoria and Zobrist separately, or possibly together. For a season looking to be cloudy despite having one of the best rotations in the American League East, Rays will be looking to acquire what they can in return for their two best players. Zobrist has eligibility for multiple positions (2B/SS/RF), and Longoria provides a solid glove and a power bat at the hot corner. Giants have openings at third base where Longoria fits perfectly and the middle of the batting order, but Zobrist is the only iffy player. If Zobrist can adapt to left field which he does not play regularly at any point of his career, it may be a learning experience. While it possesses a challenge to the trade, it is nothing I wouldn't put past Zobrist. Giants looked hard at Zobrist in 2014, but the Rays were wanting a lot in return at that point of the season; where the Giants were not positive how they wanted to approach the rest of 2014. For a hefty return, the Rays would most likely require Kyle Crick, Brandon Belt, Adam Duvall, and Matt Duffy, and Erik Cordier. Losing Belt would be a hit, but he soon will require to be paid, and holds up first base for when Buster Posey. Posey will need to play first full time at some point of his career. If the Giants called and made this offer, Rays might consider as a possible rebuild looms. 

Trade for Justin Upton & Chris Johnson: The Braves under-performed in 2014, which led to a very disappointing season. Braves now have lost Jason Heyward and Jordan Walden via trade to the St. Louis Cardinals and Tommy La Stella to the Chicago Cubs. While it is not a full rebuild, the Braves seems to be adding pieces to prepare for 2016 when they leave Turner Field, and open a new ballpark in Cobb County, Georgia. Justin Upton was acquired in a big trade between the D'Backs and Braves back in 2013 with a lot of prospects involved. With two seasons in Atlanta, Upton has lived up to expectation, but the team has fell short in production. Upton is entering his contract year, and Braves don't seem eager to sign him to an extension. Braves may be looking to deal Upton and receive a nice return, and let another team be financially responsible for him. Giants have holes at third base and left field, as left field would highlight a trade between the Braves and Giants. Back in 2011, according to Comcast Sportsnet Bay Area California, Upton was quoted saying "I hate going to SF. The ball travels like crap there." Alfonso Soriano is another player who refused to come play in San Francisco because he hated the weather in San Francisco. While this was 2011, money has its ways of talking sometimes, especially when you hit 29 Home Runs and 102 RBI's in 2014. Entering a contract year, Upton would be a great option and the Giants might entertain him to a nice extension if traded. Chris Johnson is just the icing on the cake, and a good ball player who plays hard. Above-average defender and solid contact hitter, Johnson is a safe option at third base and allows the Giants not having to turn to rookie Adam Duvall, who could be used in a deal to acquire both Upton and Johnson. Rumor has it that Upton and Johnson was a discussed in a trade to San Francisco a week ago, but talks died off. Upton and Johnson should be discussed again especially how the market has been going and how the trade market is starting to heat up. Before other teams reach out to the Braves, the Giants should consider shopping Kyle Crick. Matt Duffy, Adam Duvall, and Gary Brown. These players should be able to get the deal done, with the limited prospects the Giants have.

These are all assumptions and predictions I feel would help benefit the Giants to remain relevant and consistent for awhile. Three World Series Championships in five years is an incredible feat, but it may be time for the Giants to start spending to keep the dominance intact and remain consistent. Lester was a big miss, but there are plenty of valuable options still out there for the Giants to take advantage of and get involved. 




Sunday, December 7, 2014

San Francisco Giants Wishful Thinking

2014 was once again a fun ride for the San Francisco Giants, with three championships in the last five years. The last thing you want to do is disband a team that seems to have a flow going on. Pablo Sandoval has left, Michael Morse looks to be gone, and two starter spots have opened with Jake Peavy and Ryan Vogelsong in free agency. There is definite openings the Giants need to address. Here are some wild assumptions, but honestly don't seem too unrealistic.

San Francisco Giants trade P Kyle Crick, P Chris Stratton, and 3B Adam Duvall to the Kansas City Royals for 1B Eric Hosmer: Hosmer was Kansas City's top draft pick in 2008 straight out of high school from Florida and was looked at to be their next star. Royals may be a little hesitant to trade Hosmer now or in the near future since they sent Wil Myers their other top prospect to Tampa Bay to acquire James Shields. Shields is most likely gone and it is a bat the Royals lost. Royals are a small market team and Hosmer's price will eventually rise to a sum I don't think the Royals will be able to support. Hosmer is a great defender, finds a way to put the ball in play, and is athletic with a lot of upside. Hampered by injuries and inconsistencies, Hosmer has not become the player they have hoped so far. While he is young and total value isn't up yet, Giants could part with three of their prospects to acquire Hosmer. Why bring Hosmer in? Brandon Belt was originally an outfielder in the minor leagues and was moved to first base. He is athletic enough that they could move him to left field just like they did with Travis Ishikawa. Belt and Hosmer are both great defenders but bringing in Hosmer and shifting Belt to left field would allow the Giants to stop the platoon in left field and have their every day player. Hosmer is 25 and has a lot of ball left and should be entering his prime in the next 2-3 years and would be a nice addition to the Giants, while still allowing them to spend money on free agents to sign a pitcher and third baseman.

San Francisco Giants trade P Kyle Crick and P Derek Law to Kansas City for P Greg Holland:
Another Kansas City player showing up on my list, but it is for a pretty important reason. The money their top players will be requiring, they can't pay all of them. Wade Davis, Kelvin Herrera, and Greg Holland formed one of baseball's fearful trios in 2014, and all are going to demand to be paid at some point. Davis and Herrera look more valuable to skill and age, and Holland is the odd man out. Still fairly young and in his prime, Greg Holland would be a big boost to an aging and dominant bullpen in San Francisco. Jeremy Affeldt, Javier Lopez, and Santiago Casilla all look to be gone in the next two to three years due to age, and Giants have young-and-ready guys to come up, and Holland would be a nice mentor to them. Holland is consistent with his high fastball and stellar with his slider which is hard to hit. Giants have the money and experience, adding Holland would just continue to their brilliance in the bullpen and take over for Casilla.

San Francisco Giants trade P Kyle Crick, 3B Adam Duvall, and P Chris Heston to Kansas City Royals for OF Alex Gordon:
Alex Gordon looks like the ideal San Francisco Giants player. He was the guy who nearly helped the Kansas City Royals win with one swing of the bat in the World Series in Game 7. Alex Gordon took awhile to develop into the player he is today but better now than never. Gordon is a gap hitter, smart base-runner who knows how to score, and arguably one of the best defenders in the game today. Gordon plays all out and hustles, solid arm, and makes acrobatic catches to save runs. Already playing in a pitcher's park in Kansas City, the shift would not be difficult and would help contribute to solid defensive group already fielded in San Francisco. His competitiveness fits well with this ball club, and the Giants would be able to meet his demands for a contract extension, as opposed to the Kansas City Royals. If this is not a move that could occur this offseason, maybe during the trade deadline, or next offseason. I would approve much of this move.

San Francisco Giants trade P Kyle Crick, 1B Brandon Belt, P Ty Blach to the Tampa Bay Rays for 3B Evan Longoria:
Highly admired since being drafted by the Rays, Evan Longoria has had high expectations every season. He has performed well or he doesn't seems to be the pattern. At age 29, Longoria is in his prime now, and possesses a big bat at a position where the Giants currently have a vacancy. Giants have won three World Series, and have plenty of money to spend and belong in the big market talk. San Francisco is a great city and is a sports city. Longoria signed a large extension with Tampa Bay, but their future is looking bleak with being stuck in Tampa Bay and Longoria is one of their most valuable assets. Giants need another right handed power bat in the line up and Longoria is that guy. Longoria has above average defense too and is athletic to make big stops. If he can continue to show he can stay health like he did in all 162 games in 2014 games, this a trade the Giants should bug the Rays with, as it would be good for the Giants and the Rays and a player who teams have not decided to contact yet. Giants would be ahead of the game and should continue to see themselves in playoff contention. Losing Belt would hurt, but receiving Evan Longoria back in return is not a bad move.

Predictions for Winter Meetings

Baseball season has been already in the works, but December 7th-11th may be the most exciting time of the offseason. General managers and members of each organization will be present in San Diego to work on deals to help out their ball clubs. Whether it is a trade or free agent signing, here are some moves I predict may go down. These are moves either not talked about, or moves that have been looking to get traction.

Cincinnati Reds trade P Mat Latos and SS Zack Cozart to the Los Angeles Dodgers for OF Andre Ethier, INF Justin Turner, and P Zach Lee:  Dodgers are looking to surpass the Giants and find success in the NL West and make a playoff push. Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke can't do it all themselves, and the rotation could use a boost with Mat Latos. Dodgers have been rumored to be in the running for Jon Lester and looking at trades to land Cole Hamels, but a trade with Cincinnati can be a nice piece in return to that rotation in Mat Latos.  Reds look to be in a small rebuild, and the Dodgers need to unload outfielders. Dodgers don't look willing to play Ethier every day and his demand will force him out of Los Angeles. A decent left fielder who has some left in the tank may feel motivated and provide a surprise for the Reds. Turner had a solid year off the bench for the Dodgers and Zack Cozart hasn't lived up to expectation in Cincinnati and a new change of scenery may be the solution. Turner would immediately start at shortstop and provide a bat in the lineup. Win-win situation for the Reds and Dodgers.

3B Chase Headley signs with San Francisco for 5 years/$68 Million: Currently, Headley has a deal set on the table by a mystery team for 4 years/$65 million. The team has not been identified yet, and it was rumored for a little while it was the Miami Marlins. Marlins recently have been reported to have dropped out on offering Headley. Could this offer be the Giants? $16 million a year for a player who has not seen consistent success since his almost MVP-worthy 2012 season, that seems a substantial amount for an average player. If the offer happens to not be the Giants who are aggressive in finding a Pablo Sandoval replacement, I could seem them upping the ante in money or throwing in an extra year. Look for Chase Headley to sign with the World Series Champs and pursue another playoff run in 2015.

Boston Red Sox trade OF Yoenis Cespedes to the Seattle Mariners for P Roenis Elias & OF Dustin Ackley: Boston Red Sox once again are big spenders in the offseason signing Pablo Sandoval and Hanley Ramirez, and seem to be pressing hard for Jon Lester. Mariners were one game removed from making the playoffs in 2014 and it seems they are trying to make a stance in improving the offense and jolting them into the 2015 playoffs and beyond. Already signing Nelson Cruz, who looks to be their big bat at DH, the Mariners need another corner outfielder with power. Matt Kemp and Justin Upton have contracts that are unfavorable, and Yoenis Cespedes has one year left who will most likely still be cheaper with a new contract. Cespedes defense cannot be ignored, and provides a powerful bat who drove in a lot of runs between Oakland and Boston. Boston wants Hisashi Iwakuma but he is more valuable than just Yoenis Cespedes. Dustin Ackley has had a hard time proving his worth after being a top 5 draft pick in his class. Ackley may need to find a new home and would be nice piece for Boston to use since he can play multiple positions. 

New York Yankees trade OF Mason Williams, P Manny Banuelos, & C Austin Romine to the Atlanta Braves for OF Justin Upton: This I think is a move out of desperation both by Atlanta Braves and the New York Yankees. Yankees are in desperation due to watching Toronto and Boston spend and trade their way to the top. Yankees have already made moves with Andrew Miller and Didi Gregorius and look to kick off their offseason here in San Diego. While Upton has been mulled with Baltimore, Oakland, and Seattle, his age, upside, and the chance for an extension is intriguing. With age and injuries getting to Brian McCann, Mark Teixeira, and Carlos Beltran, the Yankees need a new young slugger in their lineup to bring in the runs. Driving in over 100 runs in 2014, Justin Upton would be a great fit for the New York Yankees. Yankees system is always slim every year, but they do have three prospects who could help the Braves in their look to rebuild to get ready for 2016 in their new ballpark. 

San Francisco loses out on Jon Lester and signs P Ervin Santana for 5 Years/$62 Million: For the past three days, Giants growing interest for starting pitching has grown. With Jon Lester being at the top of the list and being reported as "all-in", the Giants are going to fall short. I think they truly want Jon Lester but at terms where they feel comfortable, and ultimately the Cubs, Red Sox, and the Dodgers are willing to risk a lot for him. Giants just came off another championship season and I don't think they want to risk a lot. By also reporting that they are looking at Santana and others, I think that is realistically their target. Ervin Santana signed a quick contract with the Braves in 2014 after losing Kris Medlen and Brandon Beachy to season-ending injuries. Then, the Braves became pitcher-hungry. Looking for a longer contract now to finish the remainder of his career, Giants would be a great fit for him. Santana pitched well in the National League, and would thrive in a pitchers park like AT&T park. While Lester would be fun and exciting to have in San Francisco, Santana is a nice fall back option and who could help the Giants.

P Jon Lester signs with... the Chicago Cubs: Chicago has it all going for them right now. They recently signed Joe Maddon to be their new manager, a plethora of young talent who look to be very good players in this league, and new ballpark renovations. Most importantly, they have hope. Cubs have been struggling for years and they deserve a championship. Theo Epstein has been scrutinized for his plan with the Cubs, but all those miserable seasons look to be coming together. Hiring a manager in Joe Maddon who knows how to build young talent into good ball players, he needs a good leader at the top like he had in David Price in Tampa Bay. Theo Epstein has money to spend, and safe to say, he misses Jon Lester. Personally, I think Lester had a better relationship with Jon Lester than the Boston organization itself. Boston and Chicago look to be the top choices, and Theo Epstein is looking more and more likely to land Lester. With young talent, Lester can guide them. 

Chicago Cubs trade SS Starlin Castro to the New York Mets for P Rafael Montero & Jonathon Niese: The New York Mets are looking to move pitching between Bartolo Colon, Jonathon Niese, and Dillon Gee. Cubs have the youth right now but need the veteran leadership. If the Cubs are probably on to Jon Lester, adding another vet in Jonathon Niese would be good. Mets have a gaping hole at shortstop as well too, and upgrading with a proven shortstop in Starlin Castro who's still young would be a nice target. Mets seem to like Syndergaard, and they can part with Rafael Montero. 

Baltimore Orioles trade P Wei-Yin Chen and P Tommy Hunter to Colorado Rockies for OF Charlie Blackmon: Rockies continually field solid offensive teams, but lack pitching. Generally finishing last in the majors in pitching, Rockies could finally see some hope in receiving a starting pitcher. Orioles need to find an outfield replacement for Nelson Cruz and Nick Markakis, and Charlie Blackmon would be a nice addition who had a breakout year in 2014. Wei-Yin Chen had 16 wins for the Orioles in 2014, and pitched in a hitter-friendly park. Coors Field is a hitter-friendly park, but he does not have to throw to a DH now.