The MLB offseason has been a wild one so far, with surprising trades and stars on the move. While guys seem to flying off the market, there's quite a bit of players still out there unsigned, including Max Scherzer, Jon Lester, and James Shields. The Giants were the 2014 World Series Champions and what they've done in most recent years is try to keep their championship teams together. This season it is a little bit different with a little more holes to fill. Pablo Sandoval's decision to not return to San Francisco caught fans and baseball by surprise. Michael Morse was brought in as a risk/reward type of contract, with the Giants not knowing what he would provide. Morse flashed signs of his Washington Nationals days and it certainly bumped up his value in the market, making it seem less-likely he returns to the Bay Area. Sergio Romo was demoted to set-up man mid-season, which turned out to be a blessing in disguise because he went on to having a solid finish to the year with his slider back in order. As much as San Francisco would want a big fan favorite and solid reliever back in Sergio Romo, I am wondering if his value would be too high for what the Giants would want to pay him. With a stocked minor league system in bullpen help (regardless of what experts rank the farm system), Giants have Brett Bochy, Hunter Strickland (who showed signs of a future closer for the Giants), Derek Law who is coming off Tommy John surgery, Cody Hall, and Erik Cordier who are ready when they are called up. With letting Romo walk, that would open up a spot this year, and next season, Jeremy Affeldt and Javier Lopez could open two more spots. Focusing onto 2015, this could be a year where the Giants look in-house to replenish their roster and fill the voids, or maybe it is time to spend some money. It is no secret the Giants are well-off as a franchise who could place themselves Top 5 in team payroll in all of baseball. These are players I feel with the money to spend, Giants should look at all possibilities.
SP Justin Masterson (7-9, 5.88 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 116 K's) - When you look at these numbers, you wonder why would this player even be considered, especially even on a minor league deal? Coming off a career year in 2013 for the Indians, what he couldn't do in Boston, it had looked like Masterson had found his stuff. Indians looked like they possibly had a solid starting pitcher. 2014 came along and it was awful to say the least. It was an apocalyptic-like type of season which made us forget about 2013, back to where Masterson originally was, mediocre seasons and overlooked, not what he probably imagined. St. Louis thought they would give it a try at the trade deadline to bring in Masterson and the awful season continued there. Masterson dealt with an array of injuries, his command was off, and was left off the playoff roster. It was just not a great year. What Masterson did two years ago is encouraging that it is still not too late for the 29 year old to build some value up for a team on a risk/reward type contract. Masterson will not earn a lot in 2015, and that should fuel the fire for him to produce again. Dave Righetti is one of the great current pitching coaches in baseball and probably might be in a list among some of the greatest pitching coaches of all-time. Righetti would love to have a type of player with something to prove, and what better way than to bring Masterston to San Francisco. For a pitcher who puts a lot of balls in play, a vast pitchers park, AT&T park , would be ideal for Masterson to build some confidence. Defensively, the Giants don't possess a bad defense, and they are above average. Giants have worked with journeymen Ryan Vogelsong and Yusmiero Petit and turned them into good pitchers, most notably Petit who filled in for Matt Cain and took advantage of the opportunity. With a guy trying to prove his worth, and a team looking to continue on their success, Justin Masterson might be the Giants "San Francisco Treat".
RF Alex Rios (.280 BA, 4 HR, 54 RBI, 17 SB) - What has looked like for years, the Giants have been keeping their eye and trying to acquire Alex Rios via trade. A trade is no longer necessary for the 33 year old. To some, what may seem like a down year is a guy who was constantly moved around the Rangers lineup that can never be determined. What might be his last big contract of his career, Rios would probably be looking to settle somewhere for the rest of his career with a contender. Rios has been with the Blue Jays, White Sox, and most recently the Rangers. Rios has hit for power in the past but has balanced out his game and has seen the home runs take a dip. Back in 2008, the Giants pressed hard for Rios, but it would've come at the expense of losing a Cy Young winning pitcher at the time, Tim Lincecum. Rios now can be looking where he would like to play. Giants are tired of a platoon in left field between Blanco and whoever they can find. Rios has never played left field in his career, but an athletic player that Rios is, playing in left should be a nice transition. Giants stole little bases last season, and Rios can produce that. For being a gap-hitter, the Giants should be able to court Alex Rios who still can play at a high level minus the power numbers, would be a nice right-handed bat addition and the platoon can be dropped. Rios clubhouse leadership would also be a benefit to the World Series Champions.
3B Chase Headley (.243 BA, 13 HR, 49 RBI, 7 SB) - Pablo Sandoval was a large surprise leaving San Francisco for Boston changing the landscape at third base. Sandoval was the fan favorite, but his decision has left a thin third base market for the Giants to pursue, since resigning him was expected. Life after Pablo is here, and Giants have options in-house with Joaquin Arias, Adam Duvall, and a wild notion of moving Buster Posey to third base. Those two don't look ready to man the bag full-time. The top remaining third baseman on the free agent market is Chase Headley. 2013 and 2014 was injury plagued for Headley who may look to perform and get his numbers back up. In reality, Chase Headley and Pablo Sandoval have similar numbers and Headley is a better defender. Familiar with the NL West, having played for the Padres, Headley has played at AT&T park a handful of times, Giants would be silly not to pursue Headley with a thin free agent pool and a lack of people on the trade market. Headley would be a great voice and what he provides as a switch hitter, just like Pablo was. Headley may not sell Panda hats, but he can sell that he is a perfect fit for the San Francisco Giants. Yankees look to be the Giants biggest threat.
Monday, December 1, 2014
Sunday, November 23, 2014
Giants Plans If Pablo Sandoval Leaves
In 2010, Pablo Sandoval struggled with his weight, and found himself left off the World Series roster. Being left off the roster seemed to bode well for him because it served as motivation to get better. That motivation has led him to helping the Giants win 2 World Series titles in 2012 and most recently 2014. While Pablo's skills improved, he still couldn't find a way to keep the weight off for a whole season. With one of baseball's best postseason players, weight has always been an issue, but Pablo has managed to become a fan favorite. This off-season could be one where Giants fans will be thrilled or they will be disappointed with a departure of Sandoval. Pablo has stated he wants to return to the Giants and loves San Francisco, but do the Giants have enough to offer, or will they be outbid by another team. Boston Red Sox have been the Giants biggest threat for Sandoval's services, who are aggressively pursuing the top third baseman in free agency. With an offer of 5 years and $95 million dollars, from numerous reports, Boston seems to be the clear favorite for Sandoval. For a player who has weight issues, shown signs of inconsistency in the regular season, and who's true value comes in the playoffs, is he truly worth $19 million a season? The Red Sox are in desperate need of a third baseman with financial stability, so I think they are willing to make the risk. Giants, who may be looking to retain all players from the World Series roster may not view Sandoval as a $19 million dollars-a-year player, but love his play and would want him back. To cut back on cost and add an extra year to Boston's deal, I think that would be the route. If the Giants lose out on Pablo Sandoval, all is not lost for the franchise. If Pablo leaves, that allows them $19 million dollars to sign other players to their roster. Giants have other holes potentially where they need to address as well. Giants needs are a permanent left fielder (where a platoon is no longer necessary), a starting pitcher, and possibly a third baseman if Pablo Sandoval leaves. Here are some targets the Giants should look to bring in to help the 2014 World Champions get back into familiar territory.
3B Chase Headley (4 Years/$49 Million): Headley who was traded to the Yankees last season had a decent year after an atrocious 2013 season plagued by inconsistency and injuries. Headley in 2014 showed signs of his breakout season in 2012 with the Padres, in which he was in consideration for MVP. Whether Headley can return to his MVP form or not, Giants wouldn't need him to do that. He provides a middle of the lineup bat, and he is a switch hitter. Sandoval had an amazing season defensively, but Headley brings that kind of defense consistently year-after-year. Headley also possesses some experience in left field so if they wanted to give an outfielder a day off, they wouldn't have to worry as much. I assume the Yankees are going to push to resign Headley, but I think Headley would be a great fit in AT&T Park and it would be familiar ground in the NL West.
3B David Freese (Via Trade sending Ty Blach): We talk about Pablo Sandoval being Mr. October 2.0, David Freese was that guy not too long ago for the St. Louis Cardinals. After that magical season he kind of fell off the planet and provided mediocre seasons for Cardinals, eventually sending him to the Angels for OF Randall Grichuk. With the Angels, he had a decent season for the best offense in the Major Leagues last season. Pressure was taken off in Anaheim which helped contribute to help David Freese show some signs of his old self. A solid defender with the glove, Freese seems to vanish in the regular season. Giants always provide a regular season where they look like the best team in the majors for part of the year, and the rest of the year it leaves your head scratching. Bochy is a wonderful manager, and inviting David Freese in could provide some consistency at third base and wouldn't lose much production if Pablo left. Bochy can add another playoff hero to the roster.
3B Casey McGehee (2 Years/$13 Million): McGehee is not your flashy home run hitter like he once was when he was with his days in Milwaukee before bolting to Japan for a little bit. Marlins essentially got him from nothing and he served protection behind Giancarlo Stanton. Not a lot of pop in his swing anymore, has translated it to safe base hits and bringing in runs. Batting clean up for the Marlins, he did just that. Last season proved he did build some value, so his contract could go up wherever he signs, but San Francisco would be a nice fit, and someone who can help lead on that team.
3B Trevor Plouffe (Via Trade sending Ty Blach, Jarret Parker): Quietly, Trevor Plouffe had himself a good 2014 season despite the low batting average due to being a streaky hitter. He managed to record a lot of runs driven in (80 RBI) and racked up the doubles (40). AT&T Park is a vast pitchers park with a lot of gaps for hitters to hit to, resulting in lots of extra base hits. Coming from a hitters-friendly league, and the size of the gaps in the field in San Francisco, Plouffe could see his numbers rise some. An average defender, but more known for his bat. Minnesota has a highly-regarded star in the minors Miguel Sano who I feel they may be ready to call up, who would replace Plouffe. Allows him to be more expendable, even though there is not a lot of chatter about him. As we know, mid-level tier players, Giants thrive on those via free agency or trades (Melky Cabrera, Angel Pagan, Hunter Pence, Tim Hudson, Jake Peavy, etc.). Plouffe would be a nice candidate to replace Pablo Sandoval.
Ultimately, I would like to see Pablo back in San Francisco since he is entering his prime years, but for the Giants, it may be best to let him go. He has got 3 World Series rings, what left does he need to accomplish? He has done well, and now deserves to earn some money. While Sandoval may not thrive in a new location, ideally Giants can put the money they would pay him towards improving the whole team and not just one position. If Pablo leaves, it is not the end of the world, and Giants can still compete.
3B Chase Headley (4 Years/$49 Million): Headley who was traded to the Yankees last season had a decent year after an atrocious 2013 season plagued by inconsistency and injuries. Headley in 2014 showed signs of his breakout season in 2012 with the Padres, in which he was in consideration for MVP. Whether Headley can return to his MVP form or not, Giants wouldn't need him to do that. He provides a middle of the lineup bat, and he is a switch hitter. Sandoval had an amazing season defensively, but Headley brings that kind of defense consistently year-after-year. Headley also possesses some experience in left field so if they wanted to give an outfielder a day off, they wouldn't have to worry as much. I assume the Yankees are going to push to resign Headley, but I think Headley would be a great fit in AT&T Park and it would be familiar ground in the NL West.
3B David Freese (Via Trade sending Ty Blach): We talk about Pablo Sandoval being Mr. October 2.0, David Freese was that guy not too long ago for the St. Louis Cardinals. After that magical season he kind of fell off the planet and provided mediocre seasons for Cardinals, eventually sending him to the Angels for OF Randall Grichuk. With the Angels, he had a decent season for the best offense in the Major Leagues last season. Pressure was taken off in Anaheim which helped contribute to help David Freese show some signs of his old self. A solid defender with the glove, Freese seems to vanish in the regular season. Giants always provide a regular season where they look like the best team in the majors for part of the year, and the rest of the year it leaves your head scratching. Bochy is a wonderful manager, and inviting David Freese in could provide some consistency at third base and wouldn't lose much production if Pablo left. Bochy can add another playoff hero to the roster.
3B Casey McGehee (2 Years/$13 Million): McGehee is not your flashy home run hitter like he once was when he was with his days in Milwaukee before bolting to Japan for a little bit. Marlins essentially got him from nothing and he served protection behind Giancarlo Stanton. Not a lot of pop in his swing anymore, has translated it to safe base hits and bringing in runs. Batting clean up for the Marlins, he did just that. Last season proved he did build some value, so his contract could go up wherever he signs, but San Francisco would be a nice fit, and someone who can help lead on that team.
3B Trevor Plouffe (Via Trade sending Ty Blach, Jarret Parker): Quietly, Trevor Plouffe had himself a good 2014 season despite the low batting average due to being a streaky hitter. He managed to record a lot of runs driven in (80 RBI) and racked up the doubles (40). AT&T Park is a vast pitchers park with a lot of gaps for hitters to hit to, resulting in lots of extra base hits. Coming from a hitters-friendly league, and the size of the gaps in the field in San Francisco, Plouffe could see his numbers rise some. An average defender, but more known for his bat. Minnesota has a highly-regarded star in the minors Miguel Sano who I feel they may be ready to call up, who would replace Plouffe. Allows him to be more expendable, even though there is not a lot of chatter about him. As we know, mid-level tier players, Giants thrive on those via free agency or trades (Melky Cabrera, Angel Pagan, Hunter Pence, Tim Hudson, Jake Peavy, etc.). Plouffe would be a nice candidate to replace Pablo Sandoval.
Ultimately, I would like to see Pablo back in San Francisco since he is entering his prime years, but for the Giants, it may be best to let him go. He has got 3 World Series rings, what left does he need to accomplish? He has done well, and now deserves to earn some money. While Sandoval may not thrive in a new location, ideally Giants can put the money they would pay him towards improving the whole team and not just one position. If Pablo leaves, it is not the end of the world, and Giants can still compete.
Wednesday, November 19, 2014
Moves That Would Never Happen but I Would Want to See Happen
Feeling a bit creative when it comes to the MLB offseason. These are some moves that would never happen, but I would like to see happen.
Houston Astros - Sign Nelson Cruz for 3 Years/ $50 Million: Houston has a weak budget and don't look to add to their payroll anytime soon, but this would be a nice move. PED issues or not, Nelson Cruz can still rake. Cruz can stay in the American League to DH, and lead a few power hitters in George Springer and Jonathan Singleton, with Carlos Correa looking to come up eventually. The Astros already have superstar Jose Altuve, and solid player in Dexter Fowler. Adding Cruz to a hitters park and middle of an Astros lineup who longs for a power hitter to drive in runs, I would like to see a wild signing of the Astros getting Nelson Cruz.
San Diego Padres Trade Tyson Ross, Jed Gyorko, Odrimaser Despaigne, and Yonder Alonso to Cincinnati Reds for Joey Votto and Brandon Phillips: Last season the Reds had a season for the worst with the only bright spot being Johnny Cueto who could've won the Cy Young if it wasn't for Clayton Kershaw. The Reds need to rebuild quickly and get young and healthy. Joey Votto is a league superstar when healthy and Brandon Phillips can show signs of his All-Star past. San Diego wants hitters and these two would generate revenue for a ball club that longs for run production. Votto looks to be healthy for 2015 and bounce back season would be nice. This deal would be beneficial for both.
Philadelphia Phillies Trade Cole Hamels to the Seattle Mariners for Mike Zunino, James Paxton, and Danny Hultzen: Jack Z's goal for the Mariners is to acquire bats, but if he fails to do so, M's can stick with pitching. Cole Hamels is one of the elite talents in baseball just stuck on potentially the worst team in baseball in 2015. Phillies are now in rebuild mode and starting over with Mike Zunino catching and James Paxton added to the rotation can be a win for the Phillies. Felix Hernandez, Hishashi Iwakuma, and Cole Hamels would be one of the nastiest 1-2-3 punches in baseball who I would fear.
Milwaukee Brewers - Sign Max Scherzer 6 years/ $152 Million: Brewers had a magical run in the regular season for awhile then collapsed and missed the 2014 playoffs. Brewers had some key veterans on their pitching staff, but failed them towards the end of the season. Bringing in a big time pitcher like they have in the past via trade (C.C. Sabathia & Zack Greinke), wouldn't be surprising if they would sign a big time pitcher. Scherzer may want this kind of money in Detroit, but his numbers could improve even more in the National League, not having to throw to an extra hitter. Former teammate Doug Fister made a nice transition from the American to the National League, and Max Scherzer wouldn't be on a bad team either. The Brewers youth have developed on offense, and Jonathan Lucroy has turned into a dangerous offensive weapon in the lineup. I like this signing, but don't see it happening.
White Sox, Rays, and Cardinals in a Three Team Trade - Cardinals Receive Chris Sale & Zack Putnam, White Sox Receive Evan Longoria & Marco Gonzales, and the Rays Receive Stephen Piscotty, Carlos Martinez, and Alexei Ramirez: Crazy trade but would be exciting for all teams. Adam Wainwright is one of the best pitchers in the game right now, and who knows how many years he has left. Bringing in Chris Sale now to that rotation who would eventually take over that rotation would be electrifying and Putnam adding some insurance to the bullpen. For the White Sox, they struck gold with signing Jose Abreu in 2014, and he put up outstanding numbers. Abreu is their run producer, but the White Sox could use another power bat ahead of Abreu or after him in the lineup. Longoria could use a change of scenery and the Rays look to eventually rebuild after the departure of Joe Maddon and GM Andrew Friedman. Marco Gonzales was a nice left hander who looks to potentially be a top of the rotation type starter and the White Sox also have Carlos Rodon in the minors knocking on Major League Baseball's door. Teaming those two up to lead a young White Sox rotation with Jose Quintana still there would be nice for the city of Chicago, and the power bat of Longoria. Rays have always lacked a big time shortstop and Alexei Ramirez would be a solid guy to fill that void. Stephen Piscotty is the Cardinals next big time prospect who can play third base or the outfield and with the departure of Longoria, it would open the spot for him and the Rays future along with Wil Myers and a solid young pitching staff. Adding Carlos Martinez to the bullpen would boost the Rays as well. This trade would be nuts but I see it as a big trade that would steal the headlines for sure.
Houston Astros - Sign Nelson Cruz for 3 Years/ $50 Million: Houston has a weak budget and don't look to add to their payroll anytime soon, but this would be a nice move. PED issues or not, Nelson Cruz can still rake. Cruz can stay in the American League to DH, and lead a few power hitters in George Springer and Jonathan Singleton, with Carlos Correa looking to come up eventually. The Astros already have superstar Jose Altuve, and solid player in Dexter Fowler. Adding Cruz to a hitters park and middle of an Astros lineup who longs for a power hitter to drive in runs, I would like to see a wild signing of the Astros getting Nelson Cruz.
San Diego Padres Trade Tyson Ross, Jed Gyorko, Odrimaser Despaigne, and Yonder Alonso to Cincinnati Reds for Joey Votto and Brandon Phillips: Last season the Reds had a season for the worst with the only bright spot being Johnny Cueto who could've won the Cy Young if it wasn't for Clayton Kershaw. The Reds need to rebuild quickly and get young and healthy. Joey Votto is a league superstar when healthy and Brandon Phillips can show signs of his All-Star past. San Diego wants hitters and these two would generate revenue for a ball club that longs for run production. Votto looks to be healthy for 2015 and bounce back season would be nice. This deal would be beneficial for both.
Philadelphia Phillies Trade Cole Hamels to the Seattle Mariners for Mike Zunino, James Paxton, and Danny Hultzen: Jack Z's goal for the Mariners is to acquire bats, but if he fails to do so, M's can stick with pitching. Cole Hamels is one of the elite talents in baseball just stuck on potentially the worst team in baseball in 2015. Phillies are now in rebuild mode and starting over with Mike Zunino catching and James Paxton added to the rotation can be a win for the Phillies. Felix Hernandez, Hishashi Iwakuma, and Cole Hamels would be one of the nastiest 1-2-3 punches in baseball who I would fear.
Milwaukee Brewers - Sign Max Scherzer 6 years/ $152 Million: Brewers had a magical run in the regular season for awhile then collapsed and missed the 2014 playoffs. Brewers had some key veterans on their pitching staff, but failed them towards the end of the season. Bringing in a big time pitcher like they have in the past via trade (C.C. Sabathia & Zack Greinke), wouldn't be surprising if they would sign a big time pitcher. Scherzer may want this kind of money in Detroit, but his numbers could improve even more in the National League, not having to throw to an extra hitter. Former teammate Doug Fister made a nice transition from the American to the National League, and Max Scherzer wouldn't be on a bad team either. The Brewers youth have developed on offense, and Jonathan Lucroy has turned into a dangerous offensive weapon in the lineup. I like this signing, but don't see it happening.
White Sox, Rays, and Cardinals in a Three Team Trade - Cardinals Receive Chris Sale & Zack Putnam, White Sox Receive Evan Longoria & Marco Gonzales, and the Rays Receive Stephen Piscotty, Carlos Martinez, and Alexei Ramirez: Crazy trade but would be exciting for all teams. Adam Wainwright is one of the best pitchers in the game right now, and who knows how many years he has left. Bringing in Chris Sale now to that rotation who would eventually take over that rotation would be electrifying and Putnam adding some insurance to the bullpen. For the White Sox, they struck gold with signing Jose Abreu in 2014, and he put up outstanding numbers. Abreu is their run producer, but the White Sox could use another power bat ahead of Abreu or after him in the lineup. Longoria could use a change of scenery and the Rays look to eventually rebuild after the departure of Joe Maddon and GM Andrew Friedman. Marco Gonzales was a nice left hander who looks to potentially be a top of the rotation type starter and the White Sox also have Carlos Rodon in the minors knocking on Major League Baseball's door. Teaming those two up to lead a young White Sox rotation with Jose Quintana still there would be nice for the city of Chicago, and the power bat of Longoria. Rays have always lacked a big time shortstop and Alexei Ramirez would be a solid guy to fill that void. Stephen Piscotty is the Cardinals next big time prospect who can play third base or the outfield and with the departure of Longoria, it would open the spot for him and the Rays future along with Wil Myers and a solid young pitching staff. Adding Carlos Martinez to the bullpen would boost the Rays as well. This trade would be nuts but I see it as a big trade that would steal the headlines for sure.
Safe Moves Teams Should Make
Major League Baseball offseason has officially gone into full-swing, and blockbuster trades or big free agent signings have been stealing the headlines. Teams are going to reach with money or sacrifice talent to get better. While it may seem smart for some teams to spend big, it's the safe moves that usually provide the most impact. Here is a group of players teams should consider signing or trading for to give a boost:
Seattle Mariners - OF/DH Delmon Young: Still only 29 years old, Delmon Young is probably in the prime of his career. Mariners are desperate for bats and GM Jack Zduriencik has made that a priority this offseason. The M's were one game away from making the playoffs, and their bats failed them to get there. While the M's can still spend or trade to bring in a big time bat, with Baltimore and Detroit, Delmon Young has provided clutch hits and production in the lineup. With Young, you're getting his bat for pinch hitting, designated hitting, and occasional defense to give rest for some of the other better defensive options in the outfield. He can be signed for anywhere from one to three years for a very reasonable price.
San Francisco Giants - 3B/1B Chase Headley: This prediction is if Pablo Sandoval leaves San Francisco. Losing Pablo would be a big loss for a guy who improved his defense tremendously and is one of the most clutch playoff players in baseball. While it would be a sad day for Giants fans, this option wouldn't be so bad. Headley is an NL West guy who was traded to New York last season to fill the third base void for the Yankees. Headley is a switch hitter just like Pablo Sandoval and is a good defensive third baseman when healthy. The last couple years he has been dealing with injuries after his big 2012 season. While he strikes out quite a bit, he is a patient hitter and finds ways to get on base. It wouldn't be a bad thing if Pablo Sandoval leaves, since this move would allow the Giants to feel comfortable and not worry how to fill the third base void. Headley can bat anywhere from third in the lineup to sixth. Pablo is going to want big money so this is a good option if they wish to add additional players as well.
New York Mets - SS/2B Jed Lowrie: Each year, there is one position the Mets fail to find some consistency and that is the infield. Mets were hampered by injuries last season and Terry Collins led them to a decent season. Mets found a solution that worked where they could trade Ike Davis to open up first base for Lucas Duda, and the outfield filled its holes with Curtis Granderson, Juan Lagares, and newly signed Michael Cuddyer. The Mets weakest position last season was shortstop and a move to sign Jed Lowrie may not be such a bad idea. Mets have Wilmer Flores waiting but shortstop may not be the best fit for him. Daniel Murphy is still at second base and some day the Mets may look to deal him for some players in return. Flores could be moved to second base or when David Wright moves on, they could slide him to third base. Mets have the starting pitching to keep them in games, and some consistency at shortstop is what they need. Lowrie is a veteran who has been to the playoffs with the Red Sox and the A's and has leadership. Lowrie is a gap hitter where he should thrive in Citi Field. If the Mets try to acquire a big time shortstop via trade such as Starlin Castro, it would come at the cost of Zack Wheeler or Noah Syndergaard, which I doubt the Mets want to lose at this point. Lowrie would be a two to three year deal type of player who could earn an extension. Another veteran too to go along with newly acquired Michael Cuddyer to lead this young team.
San Francisco Giants - P Francisco Liriano: Bring home Francisco Liriano. Liriano was originally drafted by the San Francisco Giants and was a part of a trade being sent to Minnesota along with Joe Nathan for A.J. Pierzynski. In Minnesota, Liriano had a decent amount of good seasons and started battling serious arm injuries. Liriano had the surgeries and came back and found a home in Pittsburgh. Clint Hurdle revived the once dominant Liriano, Another team who knows how to revive pitchers is San Francisco. Ryan Vogelsong is a name who battled to make rosters and bounced around and found life in San Francisco. Giants look to let Vogelsong walk and Hudson seems to set 2015 his last season of his career, and another veteran would be a nice add. For a two to three deal, I think working with the World Series Champion pitching staff led by Dave Righetti would be a nice fit for Liriano and the Giants.
Pittsburgh Pirates - Trade 1B/3B Pedro Alvarez to San Diego Padres for P Ian Kennedy: This trade is beneficial for both teams needing a change of scenery. Pedro Alvarez has 25-35 home run potential every season and the Padres let Anthony Rizzo go in a trade to the Cubs. Pirates look to lose Francisco Liriano and Edinson Volquez and their rotation could use a boost. In Pittsburgh, Ian Kennedy can still use his dominant stuff and not be required to be the team's number 1 starter like he was in San Diego. Sliding Kennedy into the two or three slot to accompany Gerrit Cole and A.J. Burnett would make a scary 1-2-3 punch. Pedro Alvarez needs the biggest fresh start of anyone, and San Diego is looking for bats. He would be a nice acquisition in the middle of a runs-depleted offense in San Diego. Great trade for the Pirates and Padres.
Seattle Mariners - OF/DH Delmon Young: Still only 29 years old, Delmon Young is probably in the prime of his career. Mariners are desperate for bats and GM Jack Zduriencik has made that a priority this offseason. The M's were one game away from making the playoffs, and their bats failed them to get there. While the M's can still spend or trade to bring in a big time bat, with Baltimore and Detroit, Delmon Young has provided clutch hits and production in the lineup. With Young, you're getting his bat for pinch hitting, designated hitting, and occasional defense to give rest for some of the other better defensive options in the outfield. He can be signed for anywhere from one to three years for a very reasonable price.
San Francisco Giants - 3B/1B Chase Headley: This prediction is if Pablo Sandoval leaves San Francisco. Losing Pablo would be a big loss for a guy who improved his defense tremendously and is one of the most clutch playoff players in baseball. While it would be a sad day for Giants fans, this option wouldn't be so bad. Headley is an NL West guy who was traded to New York last season to fill the third base void for the Yankees. Headley is a switch hitter just like Pablo Sandoval and is a good defensive third baseman when healthy. The last couple years he has been dealing with injuries after his big 2012 season. While he strikes out quite a bit, he is a patient hitter and finds ways to get on base. It wouldn't be a bad thing if Pablo Sandoval leaves, since this move would allow the Giants to feel comfortable and not worry how to fill the third base void. Headley can bat anywhere from third in the lineup to sixth. Pablo is going to want big money so this is a good option if they wish to add additional players as well.
New York Mets - SS/2B Jed Lowrie: Each year, there is one position the Mets fail to find some consistency and that is the infield. Mets were hampered by injuries last season and Terry Collins led them to a decent season. Mets found a solution that worked where they could trade Ike Davis to open up first base for Lucas Duda, and the outfield filled its holes with Curtis Granderson, Juan Lagares, and newly signed Michael Cuddyer. The Mets weakest position last season was shortstop and a move to sign Jed Lowrie may not be such a bad idea. Mets have Wilmer Flores waiting but shortstop may not be the best fit for him. Daniel Murphy is still at second base and some day the Mets may look to deal him for some players in return. Flores could be moved to second base or when David Wright moves on, they could slide him to third base. Mets have the starting pitching to keep them in games, and some consistency at shortstop is what they need. Lowrie is a veteran who has been to the playoffs with the Red Sox and the A's and has leadership. Lowrie is a gap hitter where he should thrive in Citi Field. If the Mets try to acquire a big time shortstop via trade such as Starlin Castro, it would come at the cost of Zack Wheeler or Noah Syndergaard, which I doubt the Mets want to lose at this point. Lowrie would be a two to three year deal type of player who could earn an extension. Another veteran too to go along with newly acquired Michael Cuddyer to lead this young team.
San Francisco Giants - P Francisco Liriano: Bring home Francisco Liriano. Liriano was originally drafted by the San Francisco Giants and was a part of a trade being sent to Minnesota along with Joe Nathan for A.J. Pierzynski. In Minnesota, Liriano had a decent amount of good seasons and started battling serious arm injuries. Liriano had the surgeries and came back and found a home in Pittsburgh. Clint Hurdle revived the once dominant Liriano, Another team who knows how to revive pitchers is San Francisco. Ryan Vogelsong is a name who battled to make rosters and bounced around and found life in San Francisco. Giants look to let Vogelsong walk and Hudson seems to set 2015 his last season of his career, and another veteran would be a nice add. For a two to three deal, I think working with the World Series Champion pitching staff led by Dave Righetti would be a nice fit for Liriano and the Giants.
Pittsburgh Pirates - Trade 1B/3B Pedro Alvarez to San Diego Padres for P Ian Kennedy: This trade is beneficial for both teams needing a change of scenery. Pedro Alvarez has 25-35 home run potential every season and the Padres let Anthony Rizzo go in a trade to the Cubs. Pirates look to lose Francisco Liriano and Edinson Volquez and their rotation could use a boost. In Pittsburgh, Ian Kennedy can still use his dominant stuff and not be required to be the team's number 1 starter like he was in San Diego. Sliding Kennedy into the two or three slot to accompany Gerrit Cole and A.J. Burnett would make a scary 1-2-3 punch. Pedro Alvarez needs the biggest fresh start of anyone, and San Diego is looking for bats. He would be a nice acquisition in the middle of a runs-depleted offense in San Diego. Great trade for the Pirates and Padres.
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Why Mike Trout Should Not Win the AL MVP
With the MVP awards for the National and American League coming up, for both leagues there is a lot of questions and uncertainty who the award should go to. In the NL, you have Clayton Kershaw who had a historical season and was basically dominant, with the question looming should a pitcher win the MVP award? In the American League, that question isn't an issue. For the last two seasons, we have seen Miguel Cabrera dominate the American League on his way to two MVP's. In each of those two seasons, Mike Trout continually fell short. In 2014, Miguel is not in discussion or eligible for the award with the finalists being another Detroit Tiger; Victor Martinez, Cleveland Indians outfielder Michael Brantley, and another appearance from Mike Trout. Since Miguel Cabrera is not in the running, some are finally saying Mike Trout deserves an MVP award. Yes he does deserve one and I don't doubt that he will win at least once in my generation, but is 2014 the year he gets his first MVP? If a vote was awarded to me, I wouldn't pick Mike Trout. Here are four reasons why:
1. High Strike Outs for Trout - I am not sure why his strike out rate was high this season, but my guess is he was trying hard for power, or pitchers have known how to throw to him. Trout hit an impressive 36 home runs this year, but a knack for the fences and the desire to destroy the ball when he hit resulted in a lot of strike outs. Here is a comparison of the amount of at-bats and the strikeouts Trout, Martinez, and Brantley had:
Trout: 602 AB; 184 Strike Outs
Martinez: 561 AB: 42 Strike Outs
Brantley: 611 AB: 56 Strike Outs
2. 98 Wins for the Angels is Deceiving - Those MLB-leading 98 wins are impressive, but Mike Trout is not responsible for all of those wins. Angels saw a significant change in their pitching staff this season with the reemergence of Jered Weaver and the rise of Garret Richards and the rookie Matt Shoemaker. Angels also found a way to develop a decent bullpen. Albert Pujols and Howie Kendrick were a significant part of producing runs in that offense. Those 98 wins were a team effort.
3. Trout Shied Away from Steals in 2014 - When Mike Trout came up to the majors, he played hard-nosed baseball, with the hustle of the greatest effort baseball the game has ever seen, Pete Rose. Trout was a balanced hitter who used speed to his advantage, Trout has athleticism like no other, and this season he shied away from relying on his athletic ability and worked on just skilled hitting. That is not a bad thing, but for a guy who was going for 40-50 steals a season to 16 is an odd decrease. Trout's attempts were down majorly this year as well. Not sure if it was a personal choice or a coaching staff decision how to use Mike Trout, but the lack of steals I think is one of the top reasons why he shouldn't win the award. Here are Trout's stealing statistics from 2012 to 2014.
2012 - 49
2013 - 33
2014 - 16
4. Trout's Batting Average Took a Huge Hit in 2014 - In 2012 & 2013, Trout was hitting in the .320's to .330's. In 2014, Trout finished with a career low .287. For some, that is considered a good batting average for the whole season, but for a guy who is being considered by some to be the next face of Major League Baseball, they shouldn't be batting below .290. Towards the end of the regular season, Trout was having a large slump and his average kept dipping. To the likes of the other finalists for the AL MVP (Martinez and Brantley), they separate themselves largely from Trout. Here is their batting average comparisons:
Martinez - .335
Brantley - .327
Trout - .287
Mike Trout should be considered an MVP candidate every year and he is going to get an MVP award. There's a good chance that the media pushes for it to happen this season. Victor Martinez doesn't play in the field anymore and focuses strictly on batting. As a designated hitter, Martinez should be a good hitter and he had an incredible season for a guy a couple seasons removed from a serious knee injury and at the age he is. Michael Brantley, continually gets better each season, and this season broke out in almost every category and finished top 5 in a lot of categories. Brantley also had no offense to back him up so he was responsible for a bulk load of it. If I had the vote, I would crown Michael Brantley, who's attention could be stolen from the 2014 AL Cy Young Award winner, Corey Kluber. Also, Michael Brantley was one of two players to finish at 200 hits or more (Jose Altuve the other). Mike Trout I feel is going to receive votes to make up for the 2012 and 2013 seasons, because of guilt and not strictly baseball-related. The baseball writers need to get the vote right and it should come down to Martinez vs. Brantley for the MVP award. Mike Trout does not deserve the 2014 AL MVP.
1. High Strike Outs for Trout - I am not sure why his strike out rate was high this season, but my guess is he was trying hard for power, or pitchers have known how to throw to him. Trout hit an impressive 36 home runs this year, but a knack for the fences and the desire to destroy the ball when he hit resulted in a lot of strike outs. Here is a comparison of the amount of at-bats and the strikeouts Trout, Martinez, and Brantley had:
Trout: 602 AB; 184 Strike Outs
Martinez: 561 AB: 42 Strike Outs
Brantley: 611 AB: 56 Strike Outs
2. 98 Wins for the Angels is Deceiving - Those MLB-leading 98 wins are impressive, but Mike Trout is not responsible for all of those wins. Angels saw a significant change in their pitching staff this season with the reemergence of Jered Weaver and the rise of Garret Richards and the rookie Matt Shoemaker. Angels also found a way to develop a decent bullpen. Albert Pujols and Howie Kendrick were a significant part of producing runs in that offense. Those 98 wins were a team effort.
3. Trout Shied Away from Steals in 2014 - When Mike Trout came up to the majors, he played hard-nosed baseball, with the hustle of the greatest effort baseball the game has ever seen, Pete Rose. Trout was a balanced hitter who used speed to his advantage, Trout has athleticism like no other, and this season he shied away from relying on his athletic ability and worked on just skilled hitting. That is not a bad thing, but for a guy who was going for 40-50 steals a season to 16 is an odd decrease. Trout's attempts were down majorly this year as well. Not sure if it was a personal choice or a coaching staff decision how to use Mike Trout, but the lack of steals I think is one of the top reasons why he shouldn't win the award. Here are Trout's stealing statistics from 2012 to 2014.
2012 - 49
2013 - 33
2014 - 16
4. Trout's Batting Average Took a Huge Hit in 2014 - In 2012 & 2013, Trout was hitting in the .320's to .330's. In 2014, Trout finished with a career low .287. For some, that is considered a good batting average for the whole season, but for a guy who is being considered by some to be the next face of Major League Baseball, they shouldn't be batting below .290. Towards the end of the regular season, Trout was having a large slump and his average kept dipping. To the likes of the other finalists for the AL MVP (Martinez and Brantley), they separate themselves largely from Trout. Here is their batting average comparisons:
Martinez - .335
Brantley - .327
Trout - .287
Mike Trout should be considered an MVP candidate every year and he is going to get an MVP award. There's a good chance that the media pushes for it to happen this season. Victor Martinez doesn't play in the field anymore and focuses strictly on batting. As a designated hitter, Martinez should be a good hitter and he had an incredible season for a guy a couple seasons removed from a serious knee injury and at the age he is. Michael Brantley, continually gets better each season, and this season broke out in almost every category and finished top 5 in a lot of categories. Brantley also had no offense to back him up so he was responsible for a bulk load of it. If I had the vote, I would crown Michael Brantley, who's attention could be stolen from the 2014 AL Cy Young Award winner, Corey Kluber. Also, Michael Brantley was one of two players to finish at 200 hits or more (Jose Altuve the other). Mike Trout I feel is going to receive votes to make up for the 2012 and 2013 seasons, because of guilt and not strictly baseball-related. The baseball writers need to get the vote right and it should come down to Martinez vs. Brantley for the MVP award. Mike Trout does not deserve the 2014 AL MVP.
Friday, October 17, 2014
The Giants Understand the Playoffs
The San Francisco Giants wrapped up the 2014 NLCS series in exciting fashion on journeyman and familiar face in the organization, Travis Ishikawa's three-run home run in the bottom of the 9th inning of Game 5. Giants had the fight and drive to do all in their power and what was given to them to stay in San Francisco and finish off the series. Cardinals were a familiar opponent and both teams excel at handling tough situations. Mike Matheny, a former catcher of Bruce Bochy's San Francisco ball club, came up empty-handed once again, but both show much respect for one another. A series of fielding errors, pitching decisions, and a series-changing injury to Yadier Molina hurt the Cardinals chances for advancement to the 2014 World Series and for an anticipated Missouri World Series. Giants are a hard team to figure out who seem lately to excel in seasons where it is an even year. During the regular season, they dealt with injuries to key guys and inconsistencies from positions that needed to be addressed. Quietly, Brian Sabean made all the right moves for this team, but not in a way most fans would've directed their attention to. Opposed to making a move "just because", Brian Sabean chose to look down in the minors and pick out guys who he felt were ready to make the jump to the big leagues. Pulling out players from Richmond and Fresno with names such as: Joe Panik, Andrew Susac, Juan Perez, Matt Duffy, Hunter Strickland, Adam Duvall, and Bruce Bochy's own son, Brett. When Angel Pagan went down to back injuries, Hector Sanchez dealing with a concussion, Matt Cain having season-ending surgery, Tim Lincecum being removed from the starting rotation, and Brandon Belt's broken wrist and concussion, the Giants season looked bleak and headed south with looks of preparation for next season. Giants started the year with an impressive start, but the injuries soon took storm and left the season with questions. As a result, Sabean won the day and this team saw a spark to finish out the year and found a way to lock up a wild-card spot. Is this a sign of luck or is this done from remarkable work of the Giants front office and coaching staff? It boils down to whatever situations are handed to the Giants, they seem to find solutions to their problems and respond. It is safe to say, the San Francisco Giants aren't lucky, they just understand the playoffs. The Giants have had the likes of Willie Mays, Barry Bonds, Willie McCovey, Juan Marichal, Jeff Kent, Will Clark, Matt Williams, and not once could any of them bring a World Title to San Francisco. The genius of Bruce Bochy, his staff, and the Giants front office started in 2010 with the World Series championship. Playoffs always bring out heroes, but Giants always find a way to have multiple heroes to their seasons. In 2010, Cody Ross, Tim Lincecum, Buster Posey, Edgar Renteria, Madison Bumgarner, and Juan Uribe were the key contributors to their first World Championship. When 2012 came, Angel Pagan, Marco Scutaro, Hunter Pence, Tim Lincecum (from the bullpen), Javier Lopez, Pablo Sandoval, and Brandon Belt were big parts to their second championship. In 2014, Joe Panik, Pablo Sandoval, Madison Bumgarner, Yusmiero Petit, Travis Ishikawa, Brandon Crawford, Hunter Pence, and Matt Duffy have been key contributors to the success they've earned this postseason. Giants know how to bring the best out of their players The World Series is now here and the Giants face a tough Royals team who plays with the same grit the Giants play with. The winner of this World Series will come down to experience and coaching, and that falls in the favor of the San Francisco Giants, who will look to end the mojo the Royals have created this postseason. For a team who looks to ride the regular season comfortably and make you scratch your head, when October comes around, the Giants seem to find a new identity and use it well to their advantage. Royals are a great ball club this season, but the playoffs speaks for the Giants DNA when Bruce Bochy is at the helm. The great coaches are the ones who can adjust what is thrown their way and find a way to respond, and that is Bruce Bochy. It can be called luck or skill, but as I stated earlier, the Giants understand the playoffs and know how to win.
13 Potential Break Out Players for the 2014-2015 NBA Season
In the 2013-2014 NBA season, we saw a Miami Heat team lose to the San Antonio Spurs in the finals which officially broke up "The Big 3". Chris Bosh and Dwayne Wade decided to stay in Miami, while LeBron left to go back to Cleveland. Other surprising moves in the offseason was the 3 team trade of Kevin Love to Cleveland, with Minnesota receiving Andrew Wiggins, Anthony Bennett, and Thaddeus Young in return. Lance Stephenson bolted Indiana and find his way in Charlotte who was a surprising team who made it to the playoffs. Stephenson boosts their guard play and should see a duplicate season from the Hornets. The 2014-2015 season is a season to start fresh and we always see guys outperform their projections. Here is a list of ten guys, some who are already solid players or guys waiting to break out, I predict to have the projections exceeded:
1. SG Bradley Beal (Washington Wizards) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.9% FG, 40.2% 3P FG, 78.8% FT, 17.1 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.3 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Bradley Beal is only 21 years old and came into the league at age 19. Beal only attended Florida for one season until he was drafted by the Washington Wizards with the 3rd pick in the 2012 NBA Draft. In high school and college ball, Beal used his athleticism to get to the basket and step out to hit the three pointer. With the Wizards young and stellar guard play, Beal has formed chemistry with another rising star in John Wall. Wizards have taken some time to develop this team and they look ready to make noise again in the Eastern Conference. Unfortunately, Beal broke his wrist in preseason and is out 6-8 weeks. Wizards shouldn't lose a step, but this may affect Beal from being the break out player I thought he would. He should improve this season regardless of the injury.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 42.7% FG, 38.9% 3P, 81.2% FT, 18.8 PPG. 4.3 RPG, 3.2 APG, 1.3 SPG, 0.3 BPG
2. SG Klay Thompson (Golden State Warriors) 2013-2014 Stats: 44.4% FG, 41.7% 3P FG, 79.5% FT, 18.4 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 2.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.5 BPG
Klay Thompson falls on the break out list again this season because I feel he can make an even big jump from the season before. In the offseason, Klay Thompson has got to play with Team USA and play against our country's best in practices. Coach K made sure to get the best out of Klay this summer and he was hitting shots consistently. If he can transition his Team USA play on offense and the improvements on his defense, he has an offensive-friendly coach awaiting him in Steve Kerr. Steve Kerr knows a thing or two about shooting and hitting three pointers. What has been lethal guard play by Klay Thompson and Steph Curry, could exactly get more lethal if the rest of the team gels and learns to this offense. Steve Kerr wants to cut back on Steph Curry's minutes this year as well as utilize him more on the catch-and-shoot. For adjusting Steph Curry's game, that should allow to open it up for Klay Thompson. I expect big things out of Klay Thompson this season.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.6% FG, 42.8% 3P FG, 81.7% FT, 20.2 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 2.1 APG, 1.3 SPG, 0.7 BPG
3. PF Serge Ibaka (Oklahoma City Thunder) 2013-2014 Stats: 53.6% FG, 38.3% 3P FG, 78.4% FT, 15.1 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 1.0 APG, 2.7 BPG, 0.5 SPG
Serge Ibaka is already a star in this league and shows this year-to-year. Ibaka is one of the best shot blockers in the game along with Anthony Davis, Andre Drummond, DeAndre Jordan, Tim Duncan, and Dwight Howard. Ibaka is lengthy with freakishly long arms and large hands to get up and block the shots. Oklahoma City Thunder had a dilemma in the past to pay for Ibaka or Harden and they chose the Ibaka route and it has paid off. With Kevin Durant now out for the first two months of the season with a Jones fracture of the foot, Thunder will now have to rely on Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka to carry this team until Durant returns to playing. This should increase Ibaka's minutes as well as scoring opportunities.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 53.2 FG%, 35.2% 3P FG, 77.2% FT, 17.7 PPG, 9.6 RPG, 2.5 BPG, 1.2 APG. 0.8 SPG
4. PG Jeff Teague (Atlanta Hawks) 2013-2014 Stats: 43.8% FG, 32.9% 3P FG, 84.6% FT, 16.5 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 6.7 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Jeff Teague had a solid past season which help lead a depleted Hawks roster due to injuries into the playoffs as an 8 seed and almost advancing. Al Horford was lost early in the year for the whole season a vital part to their front court. Paul Millsap and Jeff Teague enjoyed a breakout season in the absence of Horford. With Horford back now, and the Hawks addressing defense in the draft in free agency, their players should create more offense opportunities off turnovers and solid offense. Teague should be one of those players who sees his numbers go up again and someone who made a name for himself in the playoffs. I expect Teague to carry over last season's success and then some.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 44.8% FG, 35.2% 3P FG, 85.3 FT%, 17.9 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 7.6 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG
5. PF Mason Plumlee (Brooklyn Nets) 2013-2014 Stats: 65.9% FG, 62.6% FT, 7.4 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 0.9 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.8 BPG
This is not the first Plumlee we have seen make an impact in the NBA. Riding the bench in Indiana, Miles Plumlee needed that trade to have a break out season in Phoenix. Here is another Plumlee who's up for a break out season. For being limited to 18 minutes a game last season as a rookie Plumlee took advantage and made a statement for why he was taken in the first round. Ahead of Plumlee he has Kevin Garnett who's trying to grab any momentum for production and who could possibly come off the bench this point of his career (Elton Brand for example). Plumlee is young, energetic, and has gained some experience playing for Team USA this past summer against the league's finest players. Brook Lopez is back now and will eat some post minutes, but Plumlee should be able to steal some minutes from Garnett. Plumlee can get 24-25 minutes and rotate with Lopez and Garnett this season. Mason could have a break out year.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 57.2% FG, 64.5 FT%, 12.5 PPG 8.1 RPG, 1.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 1.3 BPG
6. SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Detroit Pistons) 2013-2014 Stats: 39.6% FG, 31.9% 3P FG, 77.0% FT, 5.9 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 0.7 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Kentavious was a rookie last season for a disaster Pistons team. Ever since their early 2000's teams, they've been mediocre since. The Pistons have dealt with shaky coaches, and general managers paying the wrong guys big money (aka Josh Smith). Josh Smith is a good player but he is not a super star. Smith is a complementary player. Pistons decided to get some experience and signed Stan Van Gundy to coach their game and runs the team's operations. Van Gundy is good at getting his big men and outside shooters active. Rodney Stuckey is gone now, and Kyle Singler looks like a 6th man off the bench. This opens the door for the 2013 8th overall pick, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. Pope got limited minutes last season and that could change this year with a new coach, new offense, and players who have left the team. Kentavious has the chance to shine with good passers being able to kick it out to him for the catch-and-shoot. Kentavious is also a decent perimeter defender as well creating turnovers. I expect a break out from Caldwell-Pope.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.1% FG, 36% 3P FG, 79.2% FT, 14.1 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 1.0 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.2 BPG
7. SG Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.4% FG, 34.7% 3P FG, 68.3% FT, 6.8 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 1.9 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.8 BPG
Giannis is an interesting style of player. He kind of fits the mold of Kawahi Leonard in terms of they fit no definitive position. Giannis is the ultimate inbetweener because he has the height of a post, body of a shooting guard, and the play of a small forward so what to do you categorize him as? He fits best at the small forward which I think first year Bucks coach will instill the playbook for Jabari Parker, Brandon Knight, and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Giannis grew again this summer and is only 19 years of age. He is still developing his game and body still, and will be for the next three years in the league. Giannis possesses great athleticism and he can use that to defend the rim or get to the rim. The Bucks have a bright future with the picks they've made the last three years plus acquisitions and free agency signings. Giannis could see an expanded role this year which means more time and more touches as well.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.1%, 35.2% 3P FG, 72.3% FT, 13.7 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 3.6 APG, 1.3 SPG, 1.2 BPG
8. PF Kenneth Faried (Denver Nuggets) 2013-2014 Stats: 54.5% FG, 65.0% FT, 13.7 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 1.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.9 BPG
Kenneth Faried came onto the scene as a surprise this summer for Team USA. It was he and Anthony Davis who dominated the post for Team USA this summer and saw most of the minutes. "The Manimal" is truly a beast when he has the energy. Faried is a high-energy guy who uses his minutes wisely. The only concern is his inconsistency. Faried's game is hot and cold, and this summer he did not show signs of inconsistency. Team USA experience may have been the best option for him and he took advantage of it. Denver came off a mediocre year full of injuries and inexperience head coach Brian Shaw. Shaw and guys who were injured last year are back and ready to contribute as well as an old face from Orlando, Arron Afflalo. Faried has a great supporting cast and will dump it into the post and Faried will see his offensive touches. I see a boom in production offensively and defensively for Faried this season. Got to live up to that contract extension he signed this offseason right?
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 55.7% FG, 66.4% FT, 15.2 PPG, 9.4 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.3 BPG
9. SG Rodney Stuckey (Indiana Pacers) 2013-2014 Stats: 43.6% FG, 27.3% 3P FG, 83.6% FT, 13.9 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 2.1 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.1 BPG
Rodney Stuckey has stayed within in the division and signed with Indiana this offseason. Stuckey put up consistent numbers for 7 years in Detroit but was never a part of a winning culture. Stuckey chose Indiana who has been a consistent team and have gone deep in the playoffs. This season, there is no Paul George, Danny Granger, Evan Turner, or Lance Stephenson. Those are scorers the team relied on last year from the wing. Stuckey has entered an empty field of guards and automatically assumes starting shooting guard this season. Pacers are good at moving the ball and should create opportunities for Stuckey to score and get to the free throw line. Stuckey could be a big part for this Pacers team that is down this season.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 44.6%, 29.1% 3P FG, 84.7% FT, 16.2 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.7 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG
10. C Derrick Favors (Utah Jazz) 2013-2014 Stats: 52.2% FG, 66.9% FT, 13.3 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.5 BPG
Derrick Favors was one of those highly recruited posts and highly praised draft prospects and the Utah Jazz took advantage and received Favors in a trade from New Jersey (at the time) for Derrick Deron Williams and other players. Favors played one season at Georgia Tech and he is still fairly young for the league at age 23. Favors has a solid array of balance on offense and defense, but is stuck in a rotation for a crowded front court between Enes Kanter, Rudy Gobert, and Trevor Booker. Favors is the most valuable of all four and will receive the most minutes. Favors is an exceptional shot blocker and rebounder and has an average offensive game. He was hampered by a hip injury last season and other injuries and looks to be healthy so far for this season. Utah had another successful draft in the Australian guard Dante Exum and small forward Rodney Hood from Duke. With the emergence of Gordon Hayward, and a point guard leader in Trey Burke, this create opportunities down low for the posts and lots of touches for Derrick Favors. This season he should exceed expectations we've all been waiting to see.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 54.1% FG, 68.1% FT, 15.5 PPG, 10.1 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.1 SPG, 1.9 BPG
11. PG Darren Collison (Sacramento Kings) 2013-2014 Stats: 46.7% FG, 37.6% 3P FG, 85.7% FT, 11.4 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Darren Collison was highly touted point guard in college who became average in the NBA. Collison is a solid back up point guard who has played on some good teams, most recently with the Los Angeles Clippers. Collison has always found himself in backup roles. When injuries occurred for other players on the team Collison stepped in real nicely. Now, this year in Sacramento, he is expected to start share duties with Ramon Sessions. Sacramento has a lot of young talent around the point guards who have veteran experience and leadership. Collison should be able to facilitate and feed the ball primarily to DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay, then off to Ben McLemore and others. Collison finally gets the starting nod for now and must live up to the expectations now as a starting guard. Eric Bledsoe made the transition from back-up to starter, so should Darren Collison with a good, young Sacramento talent.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.5% FG, 39.0% 3P FG, 86.5% FT, 13.8 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 5.3 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG
12. SG Victor Oladipo (Orlando Magic) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.9% FG, 32.7% 3P FG, 78.0% FT, 13.8 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 4.1 APG, 1.6 SPG, 0.5 BPG
The NBA's favorite to win Rookie of the Year ended up finishing runner-up last season to Michael Carter-Williams. Oladipo's game was experimental last year so he can establish a position that suits him best. Oladipo is gifted with vision and athleticism and that is good news for an Orlando Magic team who's putting together a good team. With the addition of Elfrid Payton who could win NBA Rookie of the Year, this allows Oladipo and him to create one of the best duos on the perimeter for defense and distributing the ball when on offense. Oladipo's athleticism will drive him to the basket to shoot free throws or will receive a pass for the catch-and-shoot opportunities. Orlando is young and could be dangerous in the next couple years, and Oladipo starting this season could be a big part after Arron Afflalo was traded to Denver. Potential breakout year for Victor.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.9%, 36.2% 3P FG, 80.2% FT, 17.3 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 4.9 APG, 2.0 SPG, 0.6 BPG
13. SG Tony Wroten Jr. (Philadelphia 76ers) 2013-2014 Stats: 42.7% FG, 21.3% 3P FG, 64.1% FT, 13.0 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 3.0 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.2 BPG
For a guy who left school too early, Wroten Jr, has had to work his way onto a team and has earned his way into a starting role at shooting guard this season for now, with K.J. McDaniels being a rookie. Wroten last year filled in for Carter-Williams when he went down with an injury and he filled in just fine. Wroten is not a natural passer and has had to learn, but he does better attacking the basket. Wroten is a poor perimeter shooter, but attacks the basket very well and draws contact. 76ers are going nowhere and are using the draft each year to make their team deeper. This should allow for Wroten to rack up the stat sheet this year.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.4%, 25.7% 3P FG, 66.8% FT, 14.4 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.5 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG
1. SG Bradley Beal (Washington Wizards) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.9% FG, 40.2% 3P FG, 78.8% FT, 17.1 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.3 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Bradley Beal is only 21 years old and came into the league at age 19. Beal only attended Florida for one season until he was drafted by the Washington Wizards with the 3rd pick in the 2012 NBA Draft. In high school and college ball, Beal used his athleticism to get to the basket and step out to hit the three pointer. With the Wizards young and stellar guard play, Beal has formed chemistry with another rising star in John Wall. Wizards have taken some time to develop this team and they look ready to make noise again in the Eastern Conference. Unfortunately, Beal broke his wrist in preseason and is out 6-8 weeks. Wizards shouldn't lose a step, but this may affect Beal from being the break out player I thought he would. He should improve this season regardless of the injury.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 42.7% FG, 38.9% 3P, 81.2% FT, 18.8 PPG. 4.3 RPG, 3.2 APG, 1.3 SPG, 0.3 BPG
2. SG Klay Thompson (Golden State Warriors) 2013-2014 Stats: 44.4% FG, 41.7% 3P FG, 79.5% FT, 18.4 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 2.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.5 BPG
Klay Thompson falls on the break out list again this season because I feel he can make an even big jump from the season before. In the offseason, Klay Thompson has got to play with Team USA and play against our country's best in practices. Coach K made sure to get the best out of Klay this summer and he was hitting shots consistently. If he can transition his Team USA play on offense and the improvements on his defense, he has an offensive-friendly coach awaiting him in Steve Kerr. Steve Kerr knows a thing or two about shooting and hitting three pointers. What has been lethal guard play by Klay Thompson and Steph Curry, could exactly get more lethal if the rest of the team gels and learns to this offense. Steve Kerr wants to cut back on Steph Curry's minutes this year as well as utilize him more on the catch-and-shoot. For adjusting Steph Curry's game, that should allow to open it up for Klay Thompson. I expect big things out of Klay Thompson this season.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.6% FG, 42.8% 3P FG, 81.7% FT, 20.2 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 2.1 APG, 1.3 SPG, 0.7 BPG
3. PF Serge Ibaka (Oklahoma City Thunder) 2013-2014 Stats: 53.6% FG, 38.3% 3P FG, 78.4% FT, 15.1 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 1.0 APG, 2.7 BPG, 0.5 SPG
Serge Ibaka is already a star in this league and shows this year-to-year. Ibaka is one of the best shot blockers in the game along with Anthony Davis, Andre Drummond, DeAndre Jordan, Tim Duncan, and Dwight Howard. Ibaka is lengthy with freakishly long arms and large hands to get up and block the shots. Oklahoma City Thunder had a dilemma in the past to pay for Ibaka or Harden and they chose the Ibaka route and it has paid off. With Kevin Durant now out for the first two months of the season with a Jones fracture of the foot, Thunder will now have to rely on Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka to carry this team until Durant returns to playing. This should increase Ibaka's minutes as well as scoring opportunities.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 53.2 FG%, 35.2% 3P FG, 77.2% FT, 17.7 PPG, 9.6 RPG, 2.5 BPG, 1.2 APG. 0.8 SPG
4. PG Jeff Teague (Atlanta Hawks) 2013-2014 Stats: 43.8% FG, 32.9% 3P FG, 84.6% FT, 16.5 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 6.7 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Jeff Teague had a solid past season which help lead a depleted Hawks roster due to injuries into the playoffs as an 8 seed and almost advancing. Al Horford was lost early in the year for the whole season a vital part to their front court. Paul Millsap and Jeff Teague enjoyed a breakout season in the absence of Horford. With Horford back now, and the Hawks addressing defense in the draft in free agency, their players should create more offense opportunities off turnovers and solid offense. Teague should be one of those players who sees his numbers go up again and someone who made a name for himself in the playoffs. I expect Teague to carry over last season's success and then some.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 44.8% FG, 35.2% 3P FG, 85.3 FT%, 17.9 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 7.6 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG
5. PF Mason Plumlee (Brooklyn Nets) 2013-2014 Stats: 65.9% FG, 62.6% FT, 7.4 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 0.9 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.8 BPG
This is not the first Plumlee we have seen make an impact in the NBA. Riding the bench in Indiana, Miles Plumlee needed that trade to have a break out season in Phoenix. Here is another Plumlee who's up for a break out season. For being limited to 18 minutes a game last season as a rookie Plumlee took advantage and made a statement for why he was taken in the first round. Ahead of Plumlee he has Kevin Garnett who's trying to grab any momentum for production and who could possibly come off the bench this point of his career (Elton Brand for example). Plumlee is young, energetic, and has gained some experience playing for Team USA this past summer against the league's finest players. Brook Lopez is back now and will eat some post minutes, but Plumlee should be able to steal some minutes from Garnett. Plumlee can get 24-25 minutes and rotate with Lopez and Garnett this season. Mason could have a break out year.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 57.2% FG, 64.5 FT%, 12.5 PPG 8.1 RPG, 1.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 1.3 BPG
6. SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Detroit Pistons) 2013-2014 Stats: 39.6% FG, 31.9% 3P FG, 77.0% FT, 5.9 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 0.7 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Kentavious was a rookie last season for a disaster Pistons team. Ever since their early 2000's teams, they've been mediocre since. The Pistons have dealt with shaky coaches, and general managers paying the wrong guys big money (aka Josh Smith). Josh Smith is a good player but he is not a super star. Smith is a complementary player. Pistons decided to get some experience and signed Stan Van Gundy to coach their game and runs the team's operations. Van Gundy is good at getting his big men and outside shooters active. Rodney Stuckey is gone now, and Kyle Singler looks like a 6th man off the bench. This opens the door for the 2013 8th overall pick, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. Pope got limited minutes last season and that could change this year with a new coach, new offense, and players who have left the team. Kentavious has the chance to shine with good passers being able to kick it out to him for the catch-and-shoot. Kentavious is also a decent perimeter defender as well creating turnovers. I expect a break out from Caldwell-Pope.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.1% FG, 36% 3P FG, 79.2% FT, 14.1 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 1.0 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.2 BPG
7. SG Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.4% FG, 34.7% 3P FG, 68.3% FT, 6.8 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 1.9 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.8 BPG
Giannis is an interesting style of player. He kind of fits the mold of Kawahi Leonard in terms of they fit no definitive position. Giannis is the ultimate inbetweener because he has the height of a post, body of a shooting guard, and the play of a small forward so what to do you categorize him as? He fits best at the small forward which I think first year Bucks coach will instill the playbook for Jabari Parker, Brandon Knight, and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Giannis grew again this summer and is only 19 years of age. He is still developing his game and body still, and will be for the next three years in the league. Giannis possesses great athleticism and he can use that to defend the rim or get to the rim. The Bucks have a bright future with the picks they've made the last three years plus acquisitions and free agency signings. Giannis could see an expanded role this year which means more time and more touches as well.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.1%, 35.2% 3P FG, 72.3% FT, 13.7 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 3.6 APG, 1.3 SPG, 1.2 BPG
8. PF Kenneth Faried (Denver Nuggets) 2013-2014 Stats: 54.5% FG, 65.0% FT, 13.7 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 1.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.9 BPG
Kenneth Faried came onto the scene as a surprise this summer for Team USA. It was he and Anthony Davis who dominated the post for Team USA this summer and saw most of the minutes. "The Manimal" is truly a beast when he has the energy. Faried is a high-energy guy who uses his minutes wisely. The only concern is his inconsistency. Faried's game is hot and cold, and this summer he did not show signs of inconsistency. Team USA experience may have been the best option for him and he took advantage of it. Denver came off a mediocre year full of injuries and inexperience head coach Brian Shaw. Shaw and guys who were injured last year are back and ready to contribute as well as an old face from Orlando, Arron Afflalo. Faried has a great supporting cast and will dump it into the post and Faried will see his offensive touches. I see a boom in production offensively and defensively for Faried this season. Got to live up to that contract extension he signed this offseason right?
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 55.7% FG, 66.4% FT, 15.2 PPG, 9.4 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.3 BPG
9. SG Rodney Stuckey (Indiana Pacers) 2013-2014 Stats: 43.6% FG, 27.3% 3P FG, 83.6% FT, 13.9 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 2.1 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.1 BPG
Rodney Stuckey has stayed within in the division and signed with Indiana this offseason. Stuckey put up consistent numbers for 7 years in Detroit but was never a part of a winning culture. Stuckey chose Indiana who has been a consistent team and have gone deep in the playoffs. This season, there is no Paul George, Danny Granger, Evan Turner, or Lance Stephenson. Those are scorers the team relied on last year from the wing. Stuckey has entered an empty field of guards and automatically assumes starting shooting guard this season. Pacers are good at moving the ball and should create opportunities for Stuckey to score and get to the free throw line. Stuckey could be a big part for this Pacers team that is down this season.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 44.6%, 29.1% 3P FG, 84.7% FT, 16.2 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.7 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG
10. C Derrick Favors (Utah Jazz) 2013-2014 Stats: 52.2% FG, 66.9% FT, 13.3 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.5 BPG
Derrick Favors was one of those highly recruited posts and highly praised draft prospects and the Utah Jazz took advantage and received Favors in a trade from New Jersey (at the time) for Derrick Deron Williams and other players. Favors played one season at Georgia Tech and he is still fairly young for the league at age 23. Favors has a solid array of balance on offense and defense, but is stuck in a rotation for a crowded front court between Enes Kanter, Rudy Gobert, and Trevor Booker. Favors is the most valuable of all four and will receive the most minutes. Favors is an exceptional shot blocker and rebounder and has an average offensive game. He was hampered by a hip injury last season and other injuries and looks to be healthy so far for this season. Utah had another successful draft in the Australian guard Dante Exum and small forward Rodney Hood from Duke. With the emergence of Gordon Hayward, and a point guard leader in Trey Burke, this create opportunities down low for the posts and lots of touches for Derrick Favors. This season he should exceed expectations we've all been waiting to see.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 54.1% FG, 68.1% FT, 15.5 PPG, 10.1 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.1 SPG, 1.9 BPG
11. PG Darren Collison (Sacramento Kings) 2013-2014 Stats: 46.7% FG, 37.6% 3P FG, 85.7% FT, 11.4 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.2 BPG
Darren Collison was highly touted point guard in college who became average in the NBA. Collison is a solid back up point guard who has played on some good teams, most recently with the Los Angeles Clippers. Collison has always found himself in backup roles. When injuries occurred for other players on the team Collison stepped in real nicely. Now, this year in Sacramento, he is expected to start share duties with Ramon Sessions. Sacramento has a lot of young talent around the point guards who have veteran experience and leadership. Collison should be able to facilitate and feed the ball primarily to DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay, then off to Ben McLemore and others. Collison finally gets the starting nod for now and must live up to the expectations now as a starting guard. Eric Bledsoe made the transition from back-up to starter, so should Darren Collison with a good, young Sacramento talent.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 45.5% FG, 39.0% 3P FG, 86.5% FT, 13.8 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 5.3 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG
12. SG Victor Oladipo (Orlando Magic) 2013-2014 Stats: 41.9% FG, 32.7% 3P FG, 78.0% FT, 13.8 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 4.1 APG, 1.6 SPG, 0.5 BPG
The NBA's favorite to win Rookie of the Year ended up finishing runner-up last season to Michael Carter-Williams. Oladipo's game was experimental last year so he can establish a position that suits him best. Oladipo is gifted with vision and athleticism and that is good news for an Orlando Magic team who's putting together a good team. With the addition of Elfrid Payton who could win NBA Rookie of the Year, this allows Oladipo and him to create one of the best duos on the perimeter for defense and distributing the ball when on offense. Oladipo's athleticism will drive him to the basket to shoot free throws or will receive a pass for the catch-and-shoot opportunities. Orlando is young and could be dangerous in the next couple years, and Oladipo starting this season could be a big part after Arron Afflalo was traded to Denver. Potential breakout year for Victor.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.9%, 36.2% 3P FG, 80.2% FT, 17.3 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 4.9 APG, 2.0 SPG, 0.6 BPG
13. SG Tony Wroten Jr. (Philadelphia 76ers) 2013-2014 Stats: 42.7% FG, 21.3% 3P FG, 64.1% FT, 13.0 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 3.0 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.2 BPG
For a guy who left school too early, Wroten Jr, has had to work his way onto a team and has earned his way into a starting role at shooting guard this season for now, with K.J. McDaniels being a rookie. Wroten last year filled in for Carter-Williams when he went down with an injury and he filled in just fine. Wroten is not a natural passer and has had to learn, but he does better attacking the basket. Wroten is a poor perimeter shooter, but attacks the basket very well and draws contact. 76ers are going nowhere and are using the draft each year to make their team deeper. This should allow for Wroten to rack up the stat sheet this year.
Projected 2014-2015 Stats: 43.4%, 25.7% 3P FG, 66.8% FT, 14.4 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.5 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.2 BPG
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